(AAON) AAON - NASDAQ

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products & Equipment | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 11.199m USD | Total Return: 80.4% in 12m

Rooftop Units, Air Handling, Heat Pumps, Energy Recovery
Total Rating 66
Safety 79
Buy Signal 1.30
Building Products & Equipment
Industry Rotation: +20.0
Market Cap: 11.2B
Avg Turnover: 131M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility62.2%
VaR 5th Pctl10.0%
VaR vs Median-1.92%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.18
Rel. Str. IBD91.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group98.4
Character TTM
Beta2.058
Beta Downside2.068
Hurst Exponent0.525
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD48.86%
CAGR/Max DD0.58
CAGR/Mean DD1.41
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AAON over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.25, "2021-09": 0.19, "2021-12": 0.18, "2022-03": 0.22, "2022-06": 0.2, "2022-09": 0.34, "2022-12": 0.71, "2023-03": 0.45, "2023-06": 0.55, "2023-09": 0.64, "2023-12": 0.56, "2024-03": 0.46, "2024-06": 0.62, "2024-09": 0.63, "2024-12": 0.3, "2025-03": 0.37, "2025-06": 0.19, "2025-09": 0.37, "2025-12": 0.39, "2026-03": 0.48,
EPS CAGR: -19.86%
EPS Trend: -84.3%
Last SUE: 1.50
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of AAON over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 143.876, 2021-09: 138.571, 2021-12: 136.282, 2022-03: 182.771, 2022-06: 208.814, 2022-09: 242.605, 2022-12: 254.598, 2023-03: 265.953, 2023-06: 283.957, 2023-09: 311.97, 2023-12: 306.638, 2024-03: 262.099, 2024-06: 313.566, 2024-09: 327.252, 2024-12: 297.718, 2025-03: 322.054, 2025-06: 311.567, 2025-09: 384.238, 2025-12: 424.217, 2026-03: 496.936,
Rev. CAGR: 12.55%
Rev. Trend: 92.1%
Last SUE: 3.54
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

P/E ratio 96.3

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs Leader, Idiosyncratic Leader, Confidence

Description: AAON AAON

AAON, Inc. engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells air conditioning and heating equipment for commercial and industrial customers in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three reportable segments-AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX-and offers a broad product portfolio that includes rooftop units, data center cooling solutions, cleanroom systems, air handling units, energy recovery units, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and controls. Its customer base spans retail, manufacturing, education, lodging, supermarkets, data centers, medical and pharmaceutical facilities, and other commercial end markets. Products are distributed through independent manufacturer representative organizations, an internal sales force, and online channels. AAON was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

AAON is classified within the Industrials sector under the Building Products sub-industry, reflecting its role as a manufacturer of equipment used in commercial building systems rather than a pure-play HVAC service provider. The inclusion of dedicated data center cooling and cleanroom offerings aligns the business with growing demand from hyperscale computing, semiconductor, and life sciences construction segments.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Data center cooling demand surges with AI infrastructure buildout
  • Steel and copper input costs pressure product margins
  • BASX cleanroom and data center segment expands rapidly
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 118.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.53 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 36.12% < 20% (prev 28.96%; Δ 7.16% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 43.7m > Net Income 118.1m
Net Debt (469.0m) to EBITDA (249.6m): 1.88 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.62 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (83.2m) vs 12m ago -0.21% < -2%
Gross Margin: 26.24% > 18% (prev 31.04%; Δ -4.79% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 104.7% > 50% (prev 96.95%; Δ 7.71% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 17.05 > 6 (EBIT TTM 168.3m / Interest Expense TTM 9.87m)
Altman Z'' 5.59
A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 943.7m - Total Current Liabilities 359.6m) / Total Assets 1.79b
B: 0.48 (Retained Earnings 862.0m / Total Assets 1.79b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 168.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.54b)
D: 1.09 (Book Value of Equity 934.2m / Total Liabilities 855.5m)
Altman-Z'' = 5.59 = AAA
Beneish M -2.52
DSRI: 1.31 (Receivables 608.2m/361.1m, Revenue 1.62b/1.26b)
GMI: 1.18 (GM 31.04% / 26.24%)
AQI: 0.78 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.12)
SGI: 1.28 (Revenue 1.62b / 1.26b)
TATA: 0.04 (NI 118.1m - CFO 43.7m) / TA 1.79b)
Beneish M = -2.52 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of AAON shares?

As of June 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 131.60 with a total of 1,131,132 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.72%, over one month by -6.68%, over three months by +56.76% and over the past year by +80.42%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 121.40 (which is 7.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is AAON a buy, sell or hold?

AAON has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.83. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AAON.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AAON price?
Analysts Target Price 143.5 9%
AAON (AAON) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 23 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 11.2b (11.2b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 96.2817
P/E Forward = 65.7895
P/S = 6.926
P/B = 11.9876
P/EG = 4.1082
Revenue TTM = 1.62b USD
EBIT TTM = 168.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 249.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 425.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 469.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 18.2m
Net Debt = 469.0m USD (calculated: Debt 469.0m - CCE 13.0k)
Enterprise Value = 11.7b USD (11.2b + Debt 469.0m - CCE 13.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 17.05 (Ebit TTM 168.3m / Interest Expense TTM 9.87m)
EV/FCF = -80.34x (Enterprise Value 11.7b / FCF TTM -145.2m)
FCF Yield = -1.24% (FCF TTM -145.2m / Enterprise Value 11.7b)
FCF Margin = -8.98% (FCF TTM -145.2m / Revenue TTM 1.62b)
Net Margin = 7.30% (Net Income TTM 118.1m / Revenue TTM 1.62b)
Gross Margin = 26.24% ((Revenue TTM 1.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.15% (prev 25.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.52 (Enterprise Value 11.7b / Total Assets 1.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.10% (Interest Expense 9.87m / Debt 469.0m)
Taxrate = 20.38% (30.2m / 148.3m)
NOPAT = 134.0m (EBIT 168.3m * (1 - 20.38%))
Current Ratio = 2.62 (Total Current Assets 943.7m / Total Current Liabilities 359.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.50 (Debt 469.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 934.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.88 (Net Debt 469.0m / EBITDA 249.6m)
 Debt / FCF = -3.23 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 469.0m / FCF TTM -145.2m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 881.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.65% (Net Income 118.1m / Total Assets 1.79b)
RoE = 13.40% (Net Income TTM 118.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 881.3m)
RoCE = 12.88% (EBIT 168.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 881.3m + L.T.Debt 425.2m))
RoIC = 9.30% (NOPAT 134.0m / Invested Capital 1.44b)
WACC = 12.76% (E(11.2b)/V(11.7b) * Re(13.22%) + D(469.0m)/V(11.7b) * Rd(2.10%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 13.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -51.11 | Cagr: -0.14%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -145.2m)
 EPS Correlation: -84.28 | EPS CAGR: -19.86% | SUE: 1.50 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 92.10 | Revenue CAGR: 12.55% | SUE: 3.54 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=+5.60% | Revisions=-14% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.66 | Chg30d=+10.37% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.26 | Chg30d=+13.91% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+67.4% | GrowthRev=+43.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.29 | Chg30d=+11.14% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+45.7% | GrowthRev=+10.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%