(NSSC) NAPCO Security Technologies - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US6304021057
Stock: Access Control, Intrusion Alarm, Fire Alarm, Door Locks, Video Surveillance
Total Rating 68
Risk 98
Buy Signal 0.29
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.63% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 56.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 41.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -22.7% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.45 |
| Alpha | 48.53 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.013 |
| Beta Downside | 0.818 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 65.43% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.19 |
Description: NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies January 20, 2026
Napco Security Technologies (NASDAQ:NSSC) designs, manufactures, and sells electronic security solutions-including access-control readers, intrusion and fire alarm panels, electronic door locks, and video-surveillance hardware-to commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and government customers in the U.S. and abroad. The firm also resells third-party identification readers, cameras, and related peripherals, and it offers a niche line of school-security products, distributing primarily through independent dealers and installers.
Key metrics: FY 2023 revenue was approximately $71 million, with a year-over-year increase of ~8% driven by higher demand for cloud-connected access-control systems; the gross margin sits near 38%, reflecting a shift toward higher-margin software-enabled hardware. The broader electronic security market is projected to grow 6-7% CAGR through 2028, buoyed by rising construction activity, stricter building-code regulations, and increased public-sector spending on critical-infrastructure protection.
For a deeper, data-rich perspective on NSSC’s valuation and competitive positioning, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 47.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 82.68% < 20% (prev 78.84%; Δ 3.84% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 54.7m > Net Income 47.4m |
| Net Debt (-99.7m) to EBITDA (54.3m): -1.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 7.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.9m) vs 12m ago -2.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 56.25% > 18% (prev 0.56%; Δ 5569 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 92.43% > 50% (prev 89.43%; Δ 2.99% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.17 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 54.3m / Interest Expense TTM -17.5m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.75 (Total Current Assets 181.5m - Total Current Liabilities 22.7m) / Total Assets 212.8m |
| B: 1.01 (Retained Earnings 214.8m / Total Assets 212.8m) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 37.9m / Avg Total Assets 207.8m) |
| D: 7.69 (Book Value of Equity 215.4m / Total Liabilities 28.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 17.48 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.12
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 28.1m/24.7m, Revenue 192.0m/181.3m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 56.25% / 56.03%) |
| AQI: 0.72 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 192.0m / 181.3m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 47.4m - CFO 54.7m) / TA 212.8m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of NSSC shares?
As of February 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 43.02 with a total of 388,638 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.88%, over one month by +2.06%, over three months by +1.91% and over the past year by +67.95%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.88%, over one month by +2.06%, over three months by +1.91% and over the past year by +67.95%.
Is NSSC a buy, sell or hold?
NAPCO Security Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold NSSC.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NSSC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 49.7 | 15.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 49.7 | 15.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 52.1 | 21% |
NSSC Fundamental Data Overview February 10, 2026
P/E Trailing = 33.0682
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 8.107
P/B = 8.4233
P/EG = 16.27
Revenue TTM = 192.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 37.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 54.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.25m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.25m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -99.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.45b USD (1.56b + Debt 5.25m - CCE 115.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.17 (Ebit TTM 37.9m / Interest Expense TTM -17.5m)
EV/FCF = 26.96x (Enterprise Value 1.45b / FCF TTM 53.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.71% (FCF TTM 53.7m / Enterprise Value 1.45b)
FCF Margin = 27.94% (FCF TTM 53.7m / Revenue TTM 192.0m)
Net Margin = 24.70% (Net Income TTM 47.4m / Revenue TTM 192.0m)
Gross Margin = 56.25% ((Revenue TTM 192.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 84.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.62% (prev 56.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.80 (Enterprise Value 1.45b / Total Assets 212.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.77% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.25m)
Taxrate = 14.21% (2.24m / 15.7m)
NOPAT = 32.5m (EBIT 37.9m * (1 - 14.21%))
Current Ratio = 7.99 (Total Current Assets 181.5m / Total Current Liabilities 22.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.25m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 184.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.83 (Net Debt -99.7m / EBITDA 54.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.86 (Net Debt -99.7m / FCF TTM 53.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 172.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.83% (Net Income 47.4m / Total Assets 212.8m)
RoE = 27.45% (Net Income TTM 47.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 172.8m)
RoCE = 21.27% (EBIT 37.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 172.8m + L.T.Debt 5.25m))
RoIC = 18.80% (NOPAT 32.5m / Invested Capital 172.8m)
WACC = 9.68% (E(1.56b)/V(1.56b) * Re(9.65%) + D(5.25m)/V(1.56b) * Rd(21.77%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 9.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.50% ; FCFF base≈52.2m ; Y1≈62.5m ; Y5≈99.4m
Fair Price DCF = 38.11 (EV 1.26b - Net Debt -99.7m = Equity 1.36b / Shares 35.7m; r=9.68% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 72.71 | EPS CAGR: 50.45% | SUE: 1.09 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 73.47 | Revenue CAGR: 8.15% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.47 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+16.3% | Growth Revenue=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.61 | Chg30d=+0.120 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.5% | Growth Revenue=+10.0%
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 8.107
P/B = 8.4233
P/EG = 16.27
Revenue TTM = 192.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 37.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 54.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.25m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.25m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -99.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.45b USD (1.56b + Debt 5.25m - CCE 115.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.17 (Ebit TTM 37.9m / Interest Expense TTM -17.5m)
EV/FCF = 26.96x (Enterprise Value 1.45b / FCF TTM 53.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.71% (FCF TTM 53.7m / Enterprise Value 1.45b)
FCF Margin = 27.94% (FCF TTM 53.7m / Revenue TTM 192.0m)
Net Margin = 24.70% (Net Income TTM 47.4m / Revenue TTM 192.0m)
Gross Margin = 56.25% ((Revenue TTM 192.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 84.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.62% (prev 56.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.80 (Enterprise Value 1.45b / Total Assets 212.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.77% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.25m)
Taxrate = 14.21% (2.24m / 15.7m)
NOPAT = 32.5m (EBIT 37.9m * (1 - 14.21%))
Current Ratio = 7.99 (Total Current Assets 181.5m / Total Current Liabilities 22.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.25m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 184.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.83 (Net Debt -99.7m / EBITDA 54.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.86 (Net Debt -99.7m / FCF TTM 53.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 172.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.83% (Net Income 47.4m / Total Assets 212.8m)
RoE = 27.45% (Net Income TTM 47.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 172.8m)
RoCE = 21.27% (EBIT 37.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 172.8m + L.T.Debt 5.25m))
RoIC = 18.80% (NOPAT 32.5m / Invested Capital 172.8m)
WACC = 9.68% (E(1.56b)/V(1.56b) * Re(9.65%) + D(5.25m)/V(1.56b) * Rd(21.77%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 9.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.50% ; FCFF base≈52.2m ; Y1≈62.5m ; Y5≈99.4m
Fair Price DCF = 38.11 (EV 1.26b - Net Debt -99.7m = Equity 1.36b / Shares 35.7m; r=9.68% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 72.71 | EPS CAGR: 50.45% | SUE: 1.09 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 73.47 | Revenue CAGR: 8.15% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.47 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+16.3% | Growth Revenue=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.61 | Chg30d=+0.120 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.5% | Growth Revenue=+10.0%