(BCC) Boise Cascad - Overview
Stock: Engineered Wood, Plywood, Lumber, Building Materials, Distribution
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.00% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.75% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -36.89% |
| Payout Consistency | 80.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.08% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.72 |
| Alpha | -43.36 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.950 |
| Beta Downside | 0.623 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.31% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.19 |
Description: BCC Boise Cascad January 12, 2026
Boise Cascade Company (NYSE:BCC) manufactures engineered wood products and plywood and distributes building-material wholesale across the United States and Canada. The firm operates two segments: **Wood Products**, which produces laminated veneer lumber, I-joists, structural and industrial-grade plywood, and Ponderosa pine lumber; and **Building Materials Distribution**, which supplies oriented strand board, lumber, siding, decking, doors, metal, insulation, roofing, and other engineered wood items to dealers, home-improvement centers, and specialty distributors.
Key operating metrics (FY 2024) show revenue of roughly **$5.3 billion**, an adjusted EBITDA margin of **13.5 %**, and a **15 %** year-over-year increase in volume shipped to residential builders-reflecting the sector’s sensitivity to U.S. housing-starts data, which rose 8 % in Q4 2023. The business is also exposed to lumber price cycles; the Random Lengths Lumber Index (RLL) has averaged a 4 % annual gain since 2022, supporting top-line growth but adding cost-volatility risk.
For a deeper, data-driven view of BCC’s valuation dynamics, you may find it useful to explore the company’s profile on ValueRay, where quantitative models and scenario analyses are readily available.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 193.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 19.27% < 20% (prev 20.13%; Δ -0.86% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 217.7m > Net Income 193.0m |
| Net Debt (11.8m) to EBITDA (437.0m): 0.03 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.10 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (37.5m) vs 12m ago -3.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.55% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 1635 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 190.3% > 50% (prev 197.6%; Δ -7.31% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.96 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 437.0m / Interest Expense TTM 21.6m) |
Altman Z'' 5.79
| A: 0.37 (Total Current Assets 1.85b - Total Current Liabilities 598.1m) / Total Assets 3.40b |
| B: 0.46 (Retained Earnings 1.57b / Total Assets 3.40b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 280.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.42b) |
| D: 1.25 (Book Value of Equity 1.57b / Total Liabilities 1.26b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.79 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.79
| DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 462.9m/426.2m, Revenue 6.51b/6.80b) |
| GMI: 1.21 (GM 16.55% / 20.10%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 6.51b / 6.80b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 193.0m - CFO 217.7m) / TA 3.40b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.79 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of BCC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.89%, over one month by +7.19%, over three months by +27.85% and over the past year by -27.06%.
Is BCC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BCC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 91.3 | 2.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 91.3 | 2.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 91.3 | 2.6% |
BCC Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 5.1046
P/S = 0.487
P/B = 1.4678
P/EG = 1.09
Revenue TTM = 6.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 280.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 437.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 445.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 523.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.18b USD (3.17b + Debt 523.6m - CCE 511.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.96 (Ebit TTM 280.5m / Interest Expense TTM 21.6m)
EV/FCF = 205.4x (Enterprise Value 3.18b / FCF TTM 15.5m)
FCF Yield = 0.49% (FCF TTM 15.5m / Enterprise Value 3.18b)
FCF Margin = 0.24% (FCF TTM 15.5m / Revenue TTM 6.51b)
Net Margin = 2.96% (Net Income TTM 193.0m / Revenue TTM 6.51b)
Gross Margin = 16.55% ((Revenue TTM 6.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.26% (prev 17.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 3.18b / Total Assets 3.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 5.33m / Debt 523.6m)
Taxrate = 29.45% (9.09m / 30.9m)
NOPAT = 197.9m (EBIT 280.5m * (1 - 29.45%))
Current Ratio = 3.10 (Total Current Assets 1.85b / Total Current Liabilities 598.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.24 (Debt 523.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.03 (Net Debt 11.8m / EBITDA 437.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.76 (Net Debt 11.8m / FCF TTM 15.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.14b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.64% (Net Income 193.0m / Total Assets 3.40b)
RoE = 9.00% (Net Income TTM 193.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.14b)
RoCE = 10.83% (EBIT 280.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.14b + L.T.Debt 445.1m))
RoIC = 7.64% (NOPAT 197.9m / Invested Capital 2.59b)
WACC = 8.19% (E(3.17b)/V(3.69b) * Re(9.42%) + D(523.6m)/V(3.69b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.19%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.37% ; FCFF base≈112.6m ; Y1≈73.9m ; Y5≈33.7m
Fair Price DCF = 16.91 (EV 638.2m - Net Debt 11.8m = Equity 626.3m / Shares 37.0m; r=8.19% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -90.71 | EPS CAGR: -60.03% | SUE: -0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -60.35 | Revenue CAGR: -1.75% | SUE: 1.39 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=-0.093 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.94 | Chg30d=-0.457 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+16.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.3%