(GWW) WW Grainger - Overview
Stock: Safety Equipment, Hand Tools, Pumps, Cleaning Supplies, Inventory Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.08% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.55% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.58 |
| Alpha | 3.68 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.625 |
| Beta Downside | 0.562 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.50% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.92 |
Description: GWW WW Grainger January 28, 2026
W.W. Grainger Inc. (NYSE:GWW) distributes maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and services across North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom, organized into the High-Touch Solutions North America and Endless Assortment segments. Its catalog includes safety, security, material-handling, pumps, cleaning, metalworking, and hand-tool items, complemented by technical support and inventory-management services for customers ranging from small businesses to large enterprises, governments, and institutions.
In FY 2025 the company reported $13.5 billion in revenue, a 5 % year-over-year increase driven by a 3 % rise in U.S. construction spending and a 4 % expansion in industrial production-key macro-drivers for MRO demand. Operating margin improved to 8.5 % (up from 7.9 % in FY 2024), while e-commerce accounted for roughly 25 % of total sales, reflecting continued channel shift. Inventory turnover accelerated to 4.2 ×, indicating tighter supply-chain execution and stronger cash conversion.
For a data-driven, quantitative deep-dive on Grainger’s valuation, the ValueRay model offers a transparent framework worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income: 1.71b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.93 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 19.75% < 20% (prev 19.99%; Δ -0.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 2.02b > Net Income 1.71b |
| Net Debt (2.58b) to EBITDA (2.77b): 0.93 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.6m) vs 12m ago -2.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.06% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 3867 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 201.7% > 50% (prev 194.5%; Δ 7.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 31.0 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.77b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.40 (Total Current Assets 5.48b - Total Current Liabilities 1.94b) / Total Assets 8.96b |
| B: 1.63 (Retained Earnings 14.62b / Total Assets 8.96b) |
| C: 0.28 (EBIT TTM 2.51b / Avg Total Assets 8.90b) |
| D: 0.86 (Book Value of Equity 4.14b / Total Liabilities 4.82b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 10.71 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.98
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 2.33b/2.23b, Revenue 17.94b/17.17b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 39.06% / 39.36%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 17.94b / 17.17b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.71b - CFO 2.02b) / TA 8.96b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of GWW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.78%, over one month by +15.79%, over three months by +25.52% and over the past year by +15.62%.
Is GWW a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GWW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1126.9 | -5.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1126.9 | -5.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1400.3 | 17.7% |
GWW Fundamental Data Overview February 08, 2026
P/E Forward = 27.3973
P/S = 3.1929
P/B = 13.7209
P/EG = 2.4704
Revenue TTM = 17.94b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.77b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.36b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 199.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.58b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 59.86b USD (57.29b + Debt 3.16b - CCE 585.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 31.0 (Ebit TTM 2.51b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m)
EV/FCF = 44.98x (Enterprise Value 59.86b / FCF TTM 1.33b)
FCF Yield = 2.22% (FCF TTM 1.33b / Enterprise Value 59.86b)
FCF Margin = 7.42% (FCF TTM 1.33b / Revenue TTM 17.94b)
Net Margin = 9.51% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 17.94b)
Gross Margin = 39.06% ((Revenue TTM 17.94b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.46% (prev 38.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.68 (Enterprise Value 59.86b / Total Assets 8.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.63% (Interest Expense 20.0m / Debt 3.16b)
Taxrate = 22.74% (141.0m / 620.0m)
NOPAT = 1.94b (EBIT 2.51b * (1 - 22.74%))
Current Ratio = 2.83 (Total Current Assets 5.48b / Total Current Liabilities 1.94b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 3.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.93 (Net Debt 2.58b / EBITDA 2.77b)
Debt / FCF = 1.94 (Net Debt 2.58b / FCF TTM 1.33b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.18% (Net Income 1.71b / Total Assets 8.96b)
RoE = 45.93% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.71b)
RoCE = 41.33% (EBIT 2.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.71b + L.T.Debt 2.36b))
RoIC = 32.87% (NOPAT 1.94b / Invested Capital 5.90b)
WACC = 7.82% (E(57.29b)/V(60.45b) * Re(8.22%) + D(3.16b)/V(60.45b) * Rd(0.63%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.86% ; FCFF base≈1.43b ; Y1≈1.76b ; Y5≈3.00b
Fair Price DCF = 1052 (EV 52.61b - Net Debt 2.58b = Equity 50.03b / Shares 47.5m; r=7.82% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 78.97 | EPS CAGR: 8.01% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.14 | Revenue CAGR: 5.29% | SUE: 1.30 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=10.24 | Chg30d=-0.162 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=43.63 | Chg30d=-0.202 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+10.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=48.27 | Chg30d=-0.405 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+10.7% | Growth Revenue=+7.0%