(FANG) Diamondback Energy - Overview
Stock: Oil, Natural Gas, Permian Basin
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.81% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.17% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 22.96% |
| Payout Consistency | 86.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 38.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.62% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.27 |
| Alpha | -13.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.146 |
| Beta Downside | 1.838 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 42.10% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
Description: FANG Diamondback Energy January 29, 2026
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: FANG) is an independent upstream oil and natural-gas producer focused on unconventional, on-shore assets in the Permian Basin. The company’s core acreage lies in the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations of the Midland Basin and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, spanning West Texas and southeastern New Mexico. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in Midland, Texas, Diamondback operates as a common-stock company within the U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry.
According to the company’s Q4 2025 earnings release (filed February 2026), Diamondback produced 1.20 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/D), a 7 % increase year-over-year driven primarily by higher Wolfcamp output. Adjusted EBITDA reached $5.3 billion, reflecting an EBITDA margin of roughly 45 % at an average realized price of $84 per BOE. The balance sheet shows $4.2 billion of total debt with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.1×, indicating moderate leverage relative to peers. Capital expenditures for 2025 were $2.0 billion, of which about 55 % was allocated to drilling and completions in the Permian, underscoring the company’s continued emphasis on expanding its high-margin, low-cost acreage.
Key sector drivers include the ongoing upward trend in WTI crude prices (averaging $84 per BOE in Q4 2025) and the Permian’s historically low breakeven costs (≈ $45 per BOE), which together support strong cash-flow generation even under modest price volatility. Additionally, the U.S. Energy Information Administration projects Permian production growth of 4 %-5 % annually through 2028, providing a favorable backdrop for Diamondback’s expansion plans.
For a deeper, data-rich view of Diamondback’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 4.20b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -10.20% < 20% (prev -25.58%; Δ 15.37% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 8.76b > Net Income 4.20b |
| Net Debt (16.08b) to EBITDA (10.78b): 1.49 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (290.2m) vs 12m ago 41.74% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.93% > 18% (prev 0.49%; Δ 3844 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 21.56% > 50% (prev 14.52%; Δ 7.04% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 29.82 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 10.78b / Interest Expense TTM 200.0m) |
Altman Z'' 0.93
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 2.58b - Total Current Liabilities 4.14b) / Total Assets 76.21b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 6.49b / Total Assets 76.21b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 5.96b / Avg Total Assets 70.98b) |
| D: 0.21 (Book Value of Equity 6.48b / Total Liabilities 30.58b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.93 = BB |
Beneish M 1.00
| DSRI: 0.71 (Receivables 1.62b/1.43b, Revenue 15.30b/9.54b) |
| GMI: 1.26 (GM 38.93% / 49.17%) |
| AQI: 93.22 (AQ_t 0.95 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.60 (Revenue 15.30b / 9.54b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 4.20b - CFO 8.76b) / TA 76.21b) |
| Beneish M-Score: 52.03 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of FANG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.82%, over one month by +15.55%, over three months by +19.40% and over the past year by +7.27%.
Is FANG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 16
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FANG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 180.7 | 8.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 180.7 | 8.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 181.8 | 8.9% |
FANG Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 15.7233
P/S = 3.245
P/B = 1.1953
P/EG = 14.2991
Revenue TTM = 15.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.96b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.78b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.85b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 394.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.24b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.08b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 63.54b USD (47.46b + Debt 16.24b - CCE 159.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 29.82 (Ebit TTM 5.96b / Interest Expense TTM 200.0m)
EV/FCF = 143.8x (Enterprise Value 63.54b / FCF TTM 442.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.70% (FCF TTM 442.0m / Enterprise Value 63.54b)
FCF Margin = 2.89% (FCF TTM 442.0m / Revenue TTM 15.30b)
Net Margin = 27.42% (Net Income TTM 4.20b / Revenue TTM 15.30b)
Gross Margin = 38.93% ((Revenue TTM 15.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.63% (prev 34.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 63.54b / Total Assets 76.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 70.0m / Debt 16.24b)
Taxrate = 20.95% (287.0m / 1.37b)
NOPAT = 4.72b (EBIT 5.96b * (1 - 20.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 2.58b / Total Current Liabilities 4.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 16.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 39.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.49 (Net Debt 16.08b / EBITDA 10.78b)
Debt / FCF = 36.39 (Net Debt 16.08b / FCF TTM 442.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 38.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.91% (Net Income 4.20b / Total Assets 76.21b)
RoE = 10.89% (Net Income TTM 4.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 38.54b)
RoCE = 10.97% (EBIT 5.96b / Capital Employed (Equity 38.54b + L.T.Debt 15.85b))
RoIC = 8.92% (NOPAT 4.72b / Invested Capital 52.88b)
WACC = 7.64% (E(47.46b)/V(63.70b) * Re(10.14%) + D(16.24b)/V(63.70b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 27.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.90% ; FCFF base≈442.0m ; Y1≈290.1m ; Y5≈132.4m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.77b - Net Debt 16.08b = -13.32b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -62.36 | EPS CAGR: -4.29% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 72.73 | Revenue CAGR: 19.34% | SUE: 3.81 | # QB: 6
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.33 | Chg30d=-0.368 | Revisions Net=-8 | Analysts=20
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.03 | Chg30d=-1.434 | Revisions Net=-15 | Growth EPS=-19.6% | Growth Revenue=-8.8%