Best Stocks with Predictive Metrics + Cheatsheet
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| SYMBOL | MKT CAP | VRT | SIGNAL | RS | IS | IS SHARE | PERF 3M | PERF 12M | ALPHA | BETA | VOLATILITY | SAFETY | PIOTROSKI | ROIC-WACC | SUE | REVISIONS | ROIC RANK | FWD P/E | DIV YIELD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STX NASDAQ Seagate Technology |
181B | 89 | 1.3 | 99 | 94 | 57% | 4.8% | 366.2% | 328.5% | 2.70 | 71.5% | 81 | 8 | 39.5 pp | 6.79 | +96% | 78 | 22.8 | 0.8% |
| HALO NASDAQ Halozyme Therapeutics |
12.5B | 84 | 1.5 | 94 | 94 | 88% | 50.2% | 41.2% | 38.8% | -0.10 | 36.8% | 76 | 9 | 13.2 pp | 4.47 | +31% | 91 | 11.2 | - |
| ATRO NASDAQ Astronics |
3.21B | 83 | 0.6 | 94 | 97 | 77% | 12.0% | 147.4% | 124.1% | 1.27 | 53.5% | 92 | 8 | 5.5 pp | 3.76 | +36% | 91 | 27.2 | - |
| WDC NASDAQ Western Digital |
159B | 80 | 1.0 | 99 | 88 | 61% | -6.8% | 411.1% | 376.1% | 2.58 | 56.3% | 86 | 7 | 63.9 pp | 1.93 | +91% | 93 | 21.7 | 0.2% |
| KEYS NYSE Keysight Technologies |
54.9B | 78 | 1.5 | 86 | 87 | 53% | -0.1% | 95.8% | 64.6% | 1.84 | 35.0% | 77 | 8 | 1.7 pp | 7.93 | +64% | 74 | 20.2 | - |
| OII NYSE Oceaneering International |
5.04B | 76 | 0.9 | 93 | 90 | 71% | 24.3% | 103.1% | 78.4% | 1.31 | 47.8% | 77 | 6 | 2.7 pp | 4.66 | +55% | 83 | 18.8 | - |
| FTDR NASDAQ Frontdoor |
5.69B | 75 | 0.9 | 82 | 90 | 94% | 22.1% | 23.1% | 4.1% | 1.02 | 34.6% | 85 | 9 | 10.6 pp | 1.76 | +75% | 88 | 15.6 | - |
| MILDEF ST MilDef |
1.13B | 75 | 0.6 | 91 | 97 | 88% | 20.8% | 32.8% | 40.0% | -0.25 | 55.4% | 71 | 7 | 8.7 pp | 1.80 | +46% | 87 | 27.4 | 0.4% |
| CHEF NASDAQ The Chefs Warehouse |
4.66B | 74 | 1.0 | 94 | 95 | 82% | 32.2% | 69.1% | 55.3% | 0.62 | 36.7% | 83 | 4 | 1.4 pp | 5.91 | +85% | 50 | 29.3 | - |
| CSCO NASDAQ Cisco Systems |
428B | 74 | 0.9 | 81 | 84 | 70% | -8.7% | 65.9% | 49.2% | 0.93 | 28.9% | 76 | 7 | 6.3 pp | 8.00 | +72% | 78 | 20.5 | 2.1% |
| SXT NYSE Sensient Technologies |
5.70B | 74 | 1.0 | 81 | 84 | 90% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 11.4% | 0.25 | 29.5% | 87 | 6 | 2.3 pp | 3.84 | +79% | 67 | 22.7 | 1.6% |
| DGX NYSE Quest Diagnostics |
26.4B | 73 | 0.7 | 77 | 87 | 97% | 15.6% | 31.2% | 27.8% | -0.06 | 21.4% | 81 | 7 | 3.5 pp | 6.83 | +89% | 55 | 19.7 | 1.7% |
| CON NYSE Concentra Holdings Parent |
4.40B | 73 | 1.1 | 93 | 93 | 75% | 31.2% | 55.6% | 40.0% | 0.52 | 29.3% | 74 | 6 | 5.1 pp | 5.72 | +50% | 77 | 17.6 | 1.0% |
| METSO HE Metso |
18.2B | 71 | 0.6 | 84 | 82 | 82% | 21.6% | 62.0% | 43.4% | 1.21 | 31.5% | 85 | 8 | 3.9 pp | -0.99 | +15% | 83 | 21.1 | 2.8% |
| PBI NYSE Pitney Bowes |
2.39B | 70 | 0.5 | 88 | 88 | 87% | 2.9% | 50.7% | 22.3% | 0.90 | 37.3% | 88 | 7 | 10.7 pp | 1.19 | +46% | 83 | 9.5 | 3.0% |
| PAYC NYSE Paycom Software |
10.8B | 69 | 0.7 | 90 | 90 | 74% | 58.6% | -2.2% | -15.4% | 0.56 | 44.3% | 78 | 7 | 19.3 pp | 6.92 | +94% | 91 | 18.0 | 1.0% |
| KARO NASDAQ Karooooo |
2.01B | 68 | 1.0 | 87 | 92 | 86% | 40.7% | 20.7% | 0.4% | 0.99 | 59.8% | 82 | 7 | 14.4 pp | 0.20 | +9% | 88 | 26.6 | 2.4% |
| DAVE NASDAQ Dave |
4.86B | 68 | 0.7 | 94 | 92 | 73% | 29.8% | 66.6% | 28.1% | 3.64 | 87.3% | 73 | 8 | 28.3 pp | -4.05 | +74% | 97 | 18.6 | - |
| GPRK NYSE GeoPark |
772M | 67 | 0.8 | 90 | 76 | 65% | 10.1% | 92.9% | 84.0% | 0.56 | 48.6% | 76 | 5 | 8.9 pp | 0.12 | +40% | 84 | 22.3 | 1.2% |
| NESTE HE Neste Oil |
29.5B | 67 | 1.3 | 93 | 89 | 79% | 19.2% | 99.7% | 91.1% | 0.31 | 41.9% | 89 | 6 | 6.7 pp | -0.03 | +61% | 64 | 13.1 | 0.7% |
Approach: High-quality industry leaders with strong momentum that beat earnings expectations - combining fundamental strength with peer outperformance, expecting a Post-Earnings Announcement Drift.
High switching costs, unbeatable prices, intangible assets (patents, trademarks, approvals, brand, geographic advantage) or network effects (first mover = legal monopolist).
Evaluate historical P/E, P/B and P/S over the last 10 years. Run a DCF valuation with a margin of safety.
Avoid trading - commissions, taxes and you will miss the best spots by 10% anyway.
- It was a mistake to buy in the first place.
- The stock became wildly overvalued (P/E Forward, PEG in the 90+ percentile of its peer group).
- The moat has been destroyed or fundamentals are deteriorating.
- You need the money for something that matters more (inner peace > portfolio).
Ensures smaller spreads and faster execution. For options trading: > 1,000,000.
Avoids nano caps and reduces risk of price manipulation. For options: > $5B.
Avoids penny stocks — often come with information problems and manipulation risk.
Ensures access to at least 2 fiscal years or 8 quarters of financial data.
Historically, gross margins should be stable and predictable.
High gross margins > 30%.
CAPEX/Sales < 5% and CAPEX/OCF < 15%.
Owner & Family > 20% of shares.
Sustainable, high ROIC (> WACC) with recurring revenues, high gross margins and low capital intensity.
Best CAPEX/Sales in peer group.
Capital Allocation (by priority)ROIC > 20%, historically stable.
60%–90% don't create value.
Preferable over dividends.
20%–35% of EPS (only in absence of better alternatives).
Annual reports, investor presentations, shareholder letters.
Segment diversification (reliance on one product or customer group?) and geographic split (geopolitical risks?).
There are 1,000 reasons to sell a stock, but only one to buy. Which insiders are buying/holding?
Check the ROIC curve over 3–5 years. The more stable, the higher the moat.
CAPEX/Sales < 5%, CAPEX/OCF < 15%.
Interest Coverage (EBIT/Interest) > 10, Net Debt/FCF < 4.
Gross Margin > 30%, FCF Margin > 20% (industry-dependent).
Revenue > 5% YoY, Earnings > 7% YoY.
Secular trends: urbanization, aging, cybersecurity, obesity, digital payments.