FANG Stock Analysis: Diamondback Energy | NASDAQ
Oil & Gas E&P | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 48.397m USD | 12M Return: 29.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 518M
EPS Trend: -94.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 96.5%
Qual. Beats: 8
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: FANG) is an independent oil and natural gas company that acquires, develops, explores, and exploits unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin of West Texas. The company is headquartered in Midland, Texas, was founded in 2007, and completed its IPO on October 12, 2012. Diamondback is classified within the Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry, and is currently considered a large-cap stock.
The companys operations are concentrated in two key sub-basins within the Permian: the Midland Basin, where it targets the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations, and the Delaware Basin, where it focuses on the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations. As an independent E&P operator, Diamondbacks business model is focused purely on upstream activities-finding, developing, and producing hydrocarbons-without involvement in midstream transportation, refining, or retail fuel distribution, which distinguishes it from the larger, vertically integrated supermajor oil companies.
- WTI crude price swings directly impact Permian revenue per BOE
- Production growth from Spraberry, Wolfcamp, and Bone Spring formations drives volumes
- Capital returns via dividends and buybacks post-Endeavor merger integration
| Net Income: 403.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -13.90% < 20% (prev -5.22%; Δ -8.68% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 8.23b > Net Income 403.0m |
| Net Debt (14.1b) to EBITDA (5.42b): 2.60 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (282.8m) vs 12m ago -2.35% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 41.83% > 18% (prev 43.60%; Δ -1.76% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 21.68% > 50% (prev 18.32%; Δ 3.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.66 > 6 (EBIT TTM 177.0m / Interest Expense TTM 267.0m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 2.70b - Total Current Liabilities 4.82b) / Total Assets 70.1b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 4.47b / Total Assets 70.1b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 177.0m / Avg Total Assets 70.1b) |
| D: 1.33 (Book Value of Equity 36.5b / Total Liabilities 27.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.42 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 2.16b/1.59b, Revenue 15.2b/12.8b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 43.60% / 41.83%) |
| AQI: 0.70 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 15.2b / 12.8b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 403.0m - CFO 8.23b) / TA 70.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 173.73 with a total of 1,847,970 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.44%, over one month by -12.35%, over three months by -10.08% and over the past year by +29.22%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 161.40 (which is 7.1% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Diamondback Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.42. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FANG.
- StrongBuy: 16
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 232.8 | 34% |
P/E Trailing = 175.551
P/E Forward = 7.7101
P/S = 3.3472
P/B = 1.3269
P/EG = 56.777
Revenue TTM = 15.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 177.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.42b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.1b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 749.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 390.0m
Net Debt = 14.1b USD (calculated: Debt 14.3b - CCE 176.0m)
Enterprise Value = 62.5b USD (48.4b + Debt 14.3b - CCE 176.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.66 (Ebit TTM 177.0m / Interest Expense TTM 267.0m)
EV/FCF = 39.26x (Enterprise Value 62.5b / FCF TTM 1.59b)
FCF Yield = 2.55% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Enterprise Value 62.5b)
FCF Margin = 10.48% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Revenue TTM 15.2b)
Net Margin = 2.65% (Net Income TTM 403.0m / Revenue TTM 15.2b)
Gross Margin = 41.83% ((Revenue TTM 15.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.68% (prev 24.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 62.5b / Total Assets 70.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.87% (Interest Expense 267.0m / Debt 14.3b)
Taxrate = 18.18% (32.0m / 176.0m)
NOPAT = 144.8m (EBIT 177.0m * (1 - 18.18%))
Current Ratio = 0.56 (Total Current Assets 2.70b / Total Current Liabilities 4.82b)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 14.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 36.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.60 (Net Debt 14.1b / EBITDA 5.42b)
Debt / FCF = 8.86 (Net Debt 14.1b / FCF TTM 1.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 37.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.58% (Net Income 403.0m / Total Assets 70.1b)
RoE = 1.06% (Net Income TTM 403.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 37.9b)
RoCE = 0.35% (EBIT 177.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 37.9b + L.T.Debt 13.1b))
RoIC = 0.22% (NOPAT 144.8m / Invested Capital 65.8b)
WACC = 6.51% (E(48.4b)/V(62.7b) * Re(7.98%) + D(14.3b)/V(62.7b) * Rd(1.87%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 7.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 33.33 | Cagr: 22.60%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.59b ; Y1≈1.60b ; Y5≈1.69b
[DCF] Fair Price = 43.46 (EV 26.3b - Net Debt 14.1b = Equity 12.2b / Shares 281.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -93.99 | EPS CAGR: -16.88% | SUE: 1.32 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.47 | Revenue CAGR: 31.82% | SUE: 3.05 | # QB: 8
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=6.19 | Chg30d=+0.81% | Revisions=+41% | Analysts=23
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.23 | Chg30d=-2.52% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=20.17 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=+31% | GrowthEPS=+50.9% | GrowthRev=+21.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=17.68 | Chg30d=+0.95% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=-12.3% | GrowthRev=-6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +32% (up=40, down=20)