(FANG) Diamondback Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Natural Gas, Permian Basin, Unconventional Reserves
FANG EPS (Earnings per Share)
FANG Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 43.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 2.44% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.34 |
| Alpha | -29.70 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.507 |
| Beta | 1.151 |
| Beta Downside | 1.733 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 42.10% |
| Mean DD | 13.99% |
| Median DD | 11.71% |
Description: FANG Diamondback Energy September 29, 2025
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FANG) is an independent upstream firm that acquires, develops, and produces unconventional on-shore oil and natural-gas assets concentrated in the Permian Basin, specifically the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations in the Midland Basin and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations in the Delaware Basin. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
As of the latest quarterly release (Q3 2024), Diamondback reported net production of roughly 1.1 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d), a 7 % increase year-over-year, driven largely by the ramp-up of its recent acquisition of Endeavor Energy’s 250 MMBOE portfolio. Free cash flow stood at $1.9 billion, supporting a dividend yield of ~2 % and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.1×, indicating moderate leverage relative to peers.
The firm’s performance is tightly linked to three macro drivers: (1) crude-oil price dynamics-particularly Brent and WTI trends, which have averaged $85-$90 per barrel in 2024; (2) Permian-wide drilling efficiency gains, where average drilling days per well have fallen to ~30 days, enhancing cash-flow conversion; and (3) U.S. fiscal policy on energy, including potential changes to lease bonuses and royalty rates that could affect capital allocation in the basin.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Diamondback’s valuation relative to its peers, you may find the analytical dashboards on ValueRay worth exploring.
FANG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 41,369m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2012-10-12 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -26.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.42 of 5 |
FANG Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.68% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 13.75% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 53.33% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 28.7% |
FANG Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 2.71% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.06 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.19 |
| Current Volume | 2002.2k |
| Average Volume | 1564.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (4.20b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 918.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.25pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -10.20% (prev -25.58%; Δ 15.37pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 8.76b > Net Income 4.20b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (16.08b) to EBITDA (10.78b) ratio: 1.49 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.62 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (290.2m) change vs 12m ago 41.74% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.93% (prev 49.17%; Δ -10.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 21.56% (prev 14.52%; Δ 7.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 29.82 (EBITDA TTM 10.78b / Interest Expense TTM 200.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.93
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 2.58b - Total Current Liabilities 4.14b) / Total Assets 76.21b |
| (B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.49b / Total Assets 76.21b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 5.96b / Avg Total Assets 70.98b |
| (D) 0.21 = Book Value of Equity 6.48b / Total Liabilities 30.58b |
| Total Rating: 0.93 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.90
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.77% = 0.38 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.89% = 0.72 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 = 2.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.49 = 0.97 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.45)% = 1.82 |
| 7. RoE 10.89% = 0.91 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.85% = 6.96 |
| 9. EPS Trend -65.70% = -3.28 |
What is the price of FANG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.58%, over one month by +5.92%, over three months by +6.72% and over the past year by -15.89%.
Is Diamondback Energy a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FANG is around 140.81 USD . This means that FANG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.62%.
Is FANG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 16
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FANG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 178.2 | 19.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 178.2 | 19.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 155.5 | 4.2% |
FANG Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 10.139
P/E Forward = 13.459
P/S = 2.8284
P/B = 1.0715
P/EG = 1.201
Beta = 0.616
Revenue TTM = 15.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.96b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.78b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.85b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 394.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.24b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.08b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 57.45b USD (41.37b + Debt 16.24b - CCE 159.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 29.82 (Ebit TTM 5.96b / Interest Expense TTM 200.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.77% (FCF TTM 442.0m / Enterprise Value 57.45b)
FCF Margin = 2.89% (FCF TTM 442.0m / Revenue TTM 15.30b)
Net Margin = 27.42% (Net Income TTM 4.20b / Revenue TTM 15.30b)
Gross Margin = 38.93% ((Revenue TTM 15.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.63% (prev 34.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.75 (Enterprise Value 57.45b / Total Assets 76.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 70.0m / Debt 16.24b)
Taxrate = 20.95% (287.0m / 1.37b)
NOPAT = 4.72b (EBIT 5.96b * (1 - 20.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 2.58b / Total Current Liabilities 4.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 16.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 39.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.49 (Net Debt 16.08b / EBITDA 10.78b)
Debt / FCF = 36.39 (Net Debt 16.08b / FCF TTM 442.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 38.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.51% (Net Income 4.20b / Total Assets 76.21b)
RoE = 10.89% (Net Income TTM 4.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 38.54b)
RoCE = 10.97% (EBIT 5.96b / Capital Employed (Equity 38.54b + L.T.Debt 15.85b))
RoIC = 8.92% (NOPAT 4.72b / Invested Capital 52.88b)
WACC = 7.46% (E(41.37b)/V(57.61b) * Re(10.26%) + D(16.24b)/V(57.61b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 27.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.16% ; FCFE base≈442.0m ; Y1≈290.2m ; Y5≈132.7m
Fair Price DCF = 6.59 (DCF Value 1.89b / Shares Outstanding 286.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -65.70 | EPS CAGR: -17.86% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.85 | Revenue CAGR: 27.08% | SUE: 3.81 | # QB: 6
Additional Sources for FANG Stock
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