(AD) Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: AS •
Country: Netherlands •
Currency: EUR •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: NL0011794037
Supermarkets, Convenience, Online, Pharmacy, Fuel
AD EPS (Earnings per Share)
AD Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 26.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.64 |
| Alpha | 11.32 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.561 |
| Beta | -0.051 |
| Beta Downside | -0.135 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 18.67% |
| Mean DD | 5.64% |
| Median DD | 4.40% |
Description: AD Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize October 14, 2025
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. (ticker AD) is a Dutch-based multinational retailer that operates a broad portfolio of supermarkets, convenience stores and online grocery platforms across the Netherlands, the United States and other international markets. Its store network carries a full-line assortment-including fresh produce, dairy, meat, bakery, seafood, frozen foods, grocery, alcohol, health-and-beauty, household goods, electronics, gasoline and pharmacy items-under well-known banners such as Albert, Delhaize, Food Lion, Giant, Hannaford, Stop & Shop, and Super Indo.
Recent public filings show that FY 2023 net sales reached roughly €81.5 billion, with e-commerce contributing about 10 % of total revenue and growing at a compound annual rate of 15 % over the past three years. Same-store sales in the U.S. segment rose 3.5 % YoY, while the European business posted a modest 1.2 % increase, reflecting divergent consumer spending trends. Key economic drivers for the company include inflation-driven food price volatility, labor-cost pressure in both regions, and the ongoing shift toward omni-channel shopping that rewards strong logistics and digital fulfillment capabilities.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform provides granular, real-time metrics that can help you validate these assumptions and assess the stock’s risk-adjusted upside.
AD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 37,601m |
| Sub-Industry | Food Retail |
| IPO / Inception | |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1.0% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
AD Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.26% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.08% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.70% |
| Payout Consistency | 79.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 44.9% |
AD Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 12.32% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.66 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.19 |
| Current Volume | 1399.6k |
| Average Volume | 1399.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (2.07b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.53b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.57% (prev -3.63%; Δ -1.94pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.61b > Net Income 2.07b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (805.0m) to EBITDA (5.70b) ratio: 0.14 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.70 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (896.9m) change vs 12m ago -2.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 26.45% (prev 26.88%; Δ -0.43pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 190.7% (prev 187.1%; Δ 3.54pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.49 (EBITDA TTM 5.70b / Interest Expense TTM 808.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.56
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 13.17% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.17% = 1.29 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.54 = 2.36 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.14 = 2.48 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.50)% = 3.13 |
| 7. RoE 14.04% = 1.17 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 32.10% = 2.41 |
| 9. EPS Trend 4.33% = 0.22 |
What is the price of AD shares?
As of November 16, 2025, the stock is trading at EUR 36.17 with a total of 1,399,585 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.53%, over one month by +1.23%, over three months by +4.30% and over the past year by +15.77%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.53%, over one month by +1.23%, over three months by +4.30% and over the past year by +15.77%.
Is Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize a good stock to buy?
Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (AS:AD) is currently (November 2025)
ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 68.56 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AD is around 38.31 EUR . This means that AD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 5.92%.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AD is around 38.31 EUR . This means that AD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 5.92%.
Is AD a buy, sell or hold?
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts/targets for the AD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 37.6 | 4% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 41.4 | 14.5% |
AD Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 1970
Market Cap USD = 37.60b (32.44b EUR * 1.159 EUR.USD)
Market Cap EUR = 32.44b (32.44b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 15.9339
P/E Forward = 13.245
P/S = 0.3521
P/B = 2.3553
P/EG = 1.9874
Beta = 0.286
Revenue TTM = 92.14b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.01b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 5.70b EUR
Long Term Debt = 4.59b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.89b EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.48b EUR (Calculated: Short Term 2.89b + Long Term 4.59b)
Net Debt = 805.0m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36.13b EUR (32.44b + Debt 7.48b - CCE 3.79b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.49 (Ebit TTM 2.01b / Interest Expense TTM 808.0m)
FCF Yield = 13.17% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Enterprise Value 36.13b)
FCF Margin = 5.17% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Revenue TTM 92.14b)
Net Margin = 2.24% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 92.14b)
Gross Margin = 26.45% ((Revenue TTM 92.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 67.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.46% (prev 26.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 36.13b / Total Assets 49.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.75% (Interest Expense 206.0m / Debt 7.48b)
Taxrate = 23.40% (175.0m / 748.0m)
NOPAT = 1.54b (EBIT 2.01b * (1 - 23.40%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 12.14b / Total Current Liabilities 17.27b)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 7.48b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.14 (Net Debt 805.0m / EBITDA 5.70b)
Debt / FCF = 0.17 (Net Debt 805.0m / FCF TTM 4.76b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.21% (Net Income 2.07b / Total Assets 49.03b)
RoE = 14.04% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 14.71b)
RoCE = 10.43% (EBIT 2.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 14.71b + L.T.Debt 4.59b))
RoIC = 7.64% (NOPAT 1.54b / Invested Capital 20.20b)
WACC = 5.13% (E(32.44b)/V(39.92b) * Re(5.83%) + D(7.48b)/V(39.92b) * Rd(2.75%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.71% ; FCFE base≈4.54b ; Y1≈5.03b ; Y5≈6.55b
Fair Price DCF = 126.9 (DCF Value 113.87b / Shares Outstanding 896.9m; 5y FCF grow 12.41% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 4.33 | EPS CAGR: -2.58% | SUE: 1.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 32.10 | Revenue CAGR: -1.36% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
Market Cap EUR = 32.44b (32.44b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 15.9339
P/E Forward = 13.245
P/S = 0.3521
P/B = 2.3553
P/EG = 1.9874
Beta = 0.286
Revenue TTM = 92.14b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.01b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 5.70b EUR
Long Term Debt = 4.59b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.89b EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.48b EUR (Calculated: Short Term 2.89b + Long Term 4.59b)
Net Debt = 805.0m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36.13b EUR (32.44b + Debt 7.48b - CCE 3.79b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.49 (Ebit TTM 2.01b / Interest Expense TTM 808.0m)
FCF Yield = 13.17% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Enterprise Value 36.13b)
FCF Margin = 5.17% (FCF TTM 4.76b / Revenue TTM 92.14b)
Net Margin = 2.24% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 92.14b)
Gross Margin = 26.45% ((Revenue TTM 92.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 67.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.46% (prev 26.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 36.13b / Total Assets 49.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.75% (Interest Expense 206.0m / Debt 7.48b)
Taxrate = 23.40% (175.0m / 748.0m)
NOPAT = 1.54b (EBIT 2.01b * (1 - 23.40%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 12.14b / Total Current Liabilities 17.27b)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 7.48b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.14 (Net Debt 805.0m / EBITDA 5.70b)
Debt / FCF = 0.17 (Net Debt 805.0m / FCF TTM 4.76b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.21% (Net Income 2.07b / Total Assets 49.03b)
RoE = 14.04% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 14.71b)
RoCE = 10.43% (EBIT 2.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 14.71b + L.T.Debt 4.59b))
RoIC = 7.64% (NOPAT 1.54b / Invested Capital 20.20b)
WACC = 5.13% (E(32.44b)/V(39.92b) * Re(5.83%) + D(7.48b)/V(39.92b) * Rd(2.75%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.71% ; FCFE base≈4.54b ; Y1≈5.03b ; Y5≈6.55b
Fair Price DCF = 126.9 (DCF Value 113.87b / Shares Outstanding 896.9m; 5y FCF grow 12.41% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 4.33 | EPS CAGR: -2.58% | SUE: 1.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 32.10 | Revenue CAGR: -1.36% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0