(AMG) AMG Advanced Metallurgical - Ratings and Ratios
Lithium, Vanadium, Furnaces, Powders, Alloys
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.86% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.46% |
| Payout Consistency | 88.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 38.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 65.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.03% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.39 |
| Alpha | 77.34 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.699 |
| Beta | 0.276 |
| Beta Downside | 0.288 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 74.28% |
| Mean DD | 46.76% |
| Median DD | 54.37% |
Description: AMG AMG Advanced Metallurgical December 01, 2025
AMG Critical Materials N.V. (ticker AMG) is a Netherlands-based diversified metals and mining company that designs, produces, and sells a broad portfolio of energy-storage and specialty-metal products across three operating segments: AMG Lithium, AMG Vanadium, and AMG Technologies.
Beyond engineered metal alloys and vacuum-furnace services for aerospace engines, the firm supplies lithium, niobium, tantalum, feldspar, ferro-vanadium, chrome metal, titanium alloys, processed natural graphite, antimony oxide, silicon metals, and LIVA solid-state batteries, positioning it across the energy, transportation, infrastructure, specialty-metals, and chemicals value chains.
Key quantitative signals (FY 2023): – Lithium segment revenue rose ~38 % YoY, driven by a 45 % increase in solid-state battery orders; – Vanadium segment benefited from a 30 % price uplift in vanadium pentoxide as redox-flow battery deployments accelerated; – EBITDA margin expanded to 12.5 % from 9.8 % the prior year, reflecting higher utilization of its advanced vacuum-furnace capacity. These figures are subject to volatility in commodity prices and the pace of EV-battery adoption.
Sector drivers that materially affect AMG’s outlook include: 1) the global push for renewable-energy storage, which is projected to lift total lithium-ion demand by ~15 % CAGR through 2030; 2) government incentives for vanadium-based flow batteries in Europe and Asia, supporting a projected 12 % annual growth in the vanadium market; 3) a tightening supply of high-purity titanium alloys for aerospace, where demand is expected to outpace supply by ~5 % annually, benefitting AMG’s advanced metallurgy segment.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of AMG’s exposure to the fast-growing solid-state battery market, see the ValueRay analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (10.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 92.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 24.11% (prev 27.61%; Δ -3.49pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 64.1m > Net Income 10.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (503.9m) to EBITDA (145.8m) ratio: 3.46 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.59 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (32.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.19% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.48% (prev 15.41%; Δ 3.07pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 72.42% (prev 71.47%; Δ 0.95pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.36 (EBITDA TTM 145.8m / Interest Expense TTM 61.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.46
| (A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 999.7m - Total Current Liabilities 627.3m) / Total Assets 2.22b |
| (B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 46.4m / Total Assets 2.22b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 83.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.13b |
| (D) 0.03 = Book Value of Equity 46.4m / Total Liabilities 1.63b |
| Total Rating: 1.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 45.06
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.03% |
| 3. FCF Margin -1.06% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.46 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.57)% |
| 7. RoE 1.96% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 14.40% |
| 9. EPS Trend -49.41% |
What is the price of AMG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.04%, over one month by -0.52%, over three months by -3.51% and over the past year by +86.76%.
Is AMG a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the AMG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 32.3 | 19.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 31 | 15% |
AMG Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
Market Cap USD = 1.10b (940.3m EUR * 1.1666 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 26.7292
P/E Forward = 15.949
P/S = 0.5034
P/B = 1.6064
Beta = 1.129
Revenue TTM = 1.54b USD
EBIT TTM = 83.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 145.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 746.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 765.7m USD (Calculated: Short Term 19.1m + Long Term 746.6m)
Net Debt = 503.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.60b USD (1.10b + Debt 765.7m - CCE 261.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.36 (Ebit TTM 83.5m / Interest Expense TTM 61.3m)
FCF Yield = -1.03% (FCF TTM -16.4m / Enterprise Value 1.60b)
FCF Margin = -1.06% (FCF TTM -16.4m / Revenue TTM 1.54b)
Net Margin = 0.68% (Net Income TTM 10.5m / Revenue TTM 1.54b)
Gross Margin = 18.48% ((Revenue TTM 1.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.79% (prev 17.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 1.60b / Total Assets 2.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.18% (Interest Expense 16.7m / Debt 765.7m)
Taxrate = 35.54% (6.87m / 19.3m)
NOPAT = 53.8m (EBIT 83.5m * (1 - 35.54%))
Current Ratio = 1.59 (Total Current Assets 999.7m / Total Current Liabilities 627.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.32 (Debt 765.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 578.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.46 (Net Debt 503.9m / EBITDA 145.8m)
Debt / FCF = -30.67 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 503.9m / FCF TTM -16.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 533.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.47% (Net Income 10.5m / Total Assets 2.22b)
RoE = 1.96% (Net Income TTM 10.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 533.1m)
RoCE = 6.53% (EBIT 83.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 533.1m + L.T.Debt 746.6m))
RoIC = 4.15% (NOPAT 53.8m / Invested Capital 1.30b)
WACC = 4.72% (E(1.10b)/V(1.86b) * Re(7.03%) + D(765.7m)/V(1.86b) * Rd(2.18%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 7.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.81%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -16.4m)
EPS Correlation: -49.41 | EPS CAGR: 22.90% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 14.40 | Revenue CAGR: 9.54% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=-0.085 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+33.9% | Growth Revenue=-2.1%