APAM Stock Analysis: Aperam | AS

Steel | AS, Netherlands | Market Cap: 3.262m EUR | 12M Return: 85.3% | LU0569974404 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Stainless Steel, Electrical Steel, Specialty Alloys, Steel Tubes
Total Rating 50
Safety 82
Buy Signal -0.07
Steel
Industry Rotation: -0.7
Market Cap: 3.81B
Avg Turnover: 5.01M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.0%
VaR 5th Pctl5.31%
VaR vs Median-5.11%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.56
Rel. Str. IBD77
Rel. Str. Peer Group48.2
Character TTM
Beta1.065
Beta Downside0.925
Hurst Exponent0.560
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD26.69%
CAGR/Max DD1.04
CAGR/Mean DD2.34
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of APAM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 2.55, "2021-09": 2.53, "2021-12": 4.06, "2022-03": 2.81, "2022-06": 4.15, "2022-09": 1.64, "2022-12": -0.23, "2023-03": 1.83, "2023-06": 0.59, "2023-09": -0.58, "2023-12": -0.32, "2024-03": -0.32, "2024-06": 0.82, "2024-09": 2.44, "2024-12": 0.17, "2025-03": -0.249, "2025-06": 0.25, "2025-09": -0.2903, "2025-12": 0.3968, "2026-03": 0.041, "2026-06": 1.5846,
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of APAM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1272, 2021-09: 1257, 2021-12: 1396, 2022-03: 2265, 2022-06: 2457, 2022-09: 1818, 2022-12: 1616, 2023-03: 1876, 2023-06: 1702, 2023-09: 1463, 2023-12: 1551, 2024-03: 1657, 2024-06: 1634, 2024-09: 1493, 2024-12: 1471, 2025-03: 1658, 2025-06: 1654, 2025-09: 1410, 2025-12: 1358, 2026-03: 1575, 2026-06: 1689,
Rev. CAGR: -3.28%
Rev. Trend: -94.7%
Last SUE: -0.46
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -1.1% 8
Feb +4.4% 33
Mar -7.9% 31
Apr +0.1% 2
May +2.1% 9
Jun -7.1% 58
Jul +2.2% 29
Aug -1.5% 17
Sep +2.3% 15
Oct -0.1% 0
Nov +7.7% 18
Dec +0.1% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: APAM Aperam

Aperam S.A. is a Luxembourg-based producer and global supplier of stainless steel and specialty alloy products, operating through four segments: Stainless & Electrical Steel, Services & Solutions, Alloys & Specialties, and Recycling & Renewables. Beyond flat and electrical stainless steel, the company manufactures specialty carbon products, specialty alloys, tubes, and customized value-added steel solutions, while also collecting, trading, and recycling stainless steel scrap and high-performance alloys. Its end markets span aerospace, automotive, construction, medical, and oil and gas, with products distributed through steel service centers, transformation facilities, and sales offices.

The stainless steel sector is closely tied to industrial activity and is particularly exposed to demand from automotive, construction, and capital goods cycles, while recycling plays a strategic role given that stainless steel is one of the most recycled materials in the metals industry, retaining its properties through repeated reuse. Aperam was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Luxembourg.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Nickel price swings directly impact stainless steel margins
  • European energy costs pressure overall production profitability
  • EU CBAM regulation strengthens domestic stainless steel pricing power
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 127.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.63 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 22.07% < 20% (prev 14.50%; Δ 7.57% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 459.0m > Net Income 127.0m
Net Debt (1.11b) to EBITDA (391.0m): 2.84 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.77 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (73.2m) vs 12m ago 0.32% < -2%
Gross Margin: 4.86% > 18% (prev 6.84%; Δ -1.98% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 111.9% > 50% (prev 117.2%; Δ -5.34% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.07 > 6 (EBIT TTM 145.0m / Interest Expense TTM 70.0m)
Altman Z'' 5.05
A: 0.25 (Total Current Assets 2.08b - Total Current Liabilities 751.0m) / Total Assets 5.43b
B: 0.51 (Retained Earnings 2.76b / Total Assets 5.43b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 145.0m / Avg Total Assets 5.39b)
D: 1.53 (Book Value of Equity 3.27b / Total Liabilities 2.14b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.05 = AAA
Beneish M -2.60
DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 714.0m/746.0m, Revenue 6.03b/6.28b)
GMI: 1.41 (GM 6.84% / 4.86%)
AQI: 1.15 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.18)
SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 6.03b / 6.28b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 127.0m - CFO 459.0m) / TA 5.43b)
Beneish M = -2.60 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of APAM shares?

As of August 27, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 46.36 with a total of 113,337 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.02%, over one month by -5.30%, over three months by -9.23% and over the past year by +85.27%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 44.20 (which is 4.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is APAM a buy, sell or hold?

Aperam has no consensus analysts rating.

Aperam (APAM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.81b (3.26b EUR * 1.1672 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 25.7257
P/E Forward = 14.5349
P/S = 0.5408
P/B = 0.997
P/EG = 0.7398
Revenue TTM = 6.03b EUR
EBIT TTM = 145.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 391.0m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.01b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 224.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 117.0m
Net Debt = 1.11b EUR (calculated: Debt 1.44b - CCE 334.0m)
Enterprise Value = 4.37b EUR (3.26b + Debt 1.44b - CCE 334.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.07 (Ebit TTM 145.0m / Interest Expense TTM 70.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.46x (Enterprise Value 4.37b / FCF TTM 351.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.03% (FCF TTM 351.0m / Enterprise Value 4.37b)
FCF Margin = 5.82% (FCF TTM 351.0m / Revenue TTM 6.03b)
Net Margin = 2.11% (Net Income TTM 127.0m / Revenue TTM 6.03b)
Gross Margin = 4.86% ((Revenue TTM 6.03b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.04% (prev 5.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 4.37b / Total Assets 5.43b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.85% (Interest Expense 70.0m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = 108.8m (EBIT 145.0m * (1 - 25.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.77 (Total Current Assets 2.08b / Total Current Liabilities 751.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.27b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.84 (Net Debt 1.11b / EBITDA 391.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.16 (Net Debt 1.11b / FCF TTM 351.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.36% (Net Income 127.0m / Total Assets 5.43b)
RoE = 3.94% (Net Income TTM 127.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.22b)
RoCE = 3.42% (EBIT 145.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.22b + L.T.Debt 1.01b))
RoIC = 2.36% (NOPAT 108.8m / Invested Capital 4.60b)
WACC = 7.86% (E(3.26b)/V(4.71b) * Re(9.73%) + D(1.44b)/V(4.71b) * Rd(4.85%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 84.17 | Cagr: 0.59%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈271.4m ; Y1≈311.1m ; Y5≈457.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 79.77 (EV 6.89b - Net Debt 1.11b = Equity 5.78b / Shares 72.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -94.67 | Revenue CAGR: -3.28% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.40 | Chg30d=+13.11% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+140.0% | GrowthRev=+8.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.61 | Chg30d=+6.51% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=+92.4% | GrowthRev=+11.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +36% (up=8, down=3)