(ECMPA) Eurocommercial Properties - Ratings and Ratios
Shopping Centers, Retail, Properties
ECMPA EPS (Earnings per Share)
ECMPA Revenue
Description: ECMPA Eurocommercial Properties
Eurocommercial Properties N.V. (ECMPA) is a Dutch retail REIT with a market capitalization of approximately €1.49 billion. As a retail REIT, the companys performance is closely tied to the overall health of the retail sector, as well as macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth, consumer spending, and interest rates.
The companys stock has a beta of 1.321, indicating that it is slightly more volatile than the overall market. This is consistent with the retail REIT sector, which can be sensitive to changes in consumer behavior and economic conditions. Key performance indicators (KPIs) to watch for ECMPA include same-store sales growth, occupancy rates, and rental income growth.
From a valuation perspective, ECMPA trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.12, which is relatively low compared to some of its peers. The forward P/E ratio is 10.78, suggesting that analysts expect earnings to grow in the future. Return on Equity (RoE) is 8.86%, indicating a decent return for shareholders. The companys dividend yield is not explicitly stated, but it is an important metric for income-focused investors.
Economic drivers that are likely to impact ECMPAs performance include changes in consumer spending patterns, the rise of e-commerce, and fluctuations in interest rates. The companys exposure to the European retail market also means that it is subject to macroeconomic trends in the region, such as GDP growth and inflation. As a REIT, ECMPA is required to distribute a significant portion of its income to shareholders, making its dividend payout ratio another important metric to monitor.
ECMPA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,658m |
| Sub-Industry | Retail REITs |
| IPO / Inception |
ECMPA Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 79.1% |
| Fundamental | 55.2% |
| Dividend Rating | 80.5% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 0.88% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
ECMPA Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 6.88% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 23.17% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 51.08% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 75.0% |
ECMPA Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -53.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 90.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 89.2% |
| CAGR 5y | 11.83% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.75 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 2.34 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.23 |
| Alpha | -2.59 |
| Beta | 1.344 |
| Volatility | 17.46% |
| Current Volume | 109k |
| Average Volume 20d | 49.1k |
| Stop Loss | 25.3 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | -0.77 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (129.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 15.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.11pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -51.09% (prev -181.1%; Δ 130.0pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 97.0m <= Net Income 129.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.53b) to EBITDA (174.5m) ratio: 8.75 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.48 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (53.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 79.34% (prev 64.36%; Δ 14.98pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 6.72% (prev 6.74%; Δ -0.01pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.24 (EBITDA TTM 174.5m / Interest Expense TTM 53.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.13
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 125.1m - Total Current Liabilities 260.8m) / Total Assets 4.04b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 42.3m / Total Assets 4.04b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 172.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.95b |
| (D) 0.02 = Book Value of Equity 42.3m / Total Liabilities 1.97b |
| Total Rating: 0.13 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.17
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.18% = 1.09 |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.23% = 6.06 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.77 = 2.21 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 8.75 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.78)% = -5.97 |
| 7. RoE 6.24% = 0.52 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 73.08% = 5.48 |
| 9. EPS Trend 15.47% = 0.77 |
What is the price of ECMPA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.06%, over one month by +0.58%, over three months by -2.61% and over the past year by +16.24%.
Is Eurocommercial Properties a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ECMPA is around 28.79 EUR . This means that ECMPA is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +10.1% (Margin of Safety).
Is ECMPA a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ECMPA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 29.2 | 11.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 31.2 | 19.2% |
ECMPA Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap EUR = 1.42b (1.42b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 10.8958
P/E Forward = 10.7643
P/S = 5.2781
P/B = 0.707
Beta = 1.344
Revenue TTM = 265.7m EUR
EBIT TTM = 172.4m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 174.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.47b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 113.7m EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.59b EUR (Calculated: Short Term 113.7m + Long Term 1.47b)
Net Debt = 1.53b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.95b EUR (1.42b + Debt 1.59b - CCE 61.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.24 (Ebit TTM 172.4m / Interest Expense TTM 53.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.18% (FCF TTM 64.4m / Enterprise Value 2.95b)
FCF Margin = 24.23% (FCF TTM 64.4m / Revenue TTM 265.7m)
Net Margin = 48.64% (Net Income TTM 129.2m / Revenue TTM 265.7m)
Gross Margin = 79.34% ((Revenue TTM 265.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 54.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.57% (prev 71.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 2.95b / Total Assets 4.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.83% (Interest Expense 13.2m / Debt 1.59b)
Taxrate = 90.55% (64.6m / 71.4m)
NOPAT = 16.3m (EBIT 172.4m * (1 - 90.55%))
Current Ratio = 0.48 (Total Current Assets 125.1m / Total Current Liabilities 260.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.77 (Debt 1.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.75 (Net Debt 1.53b / EBITDA 174.5m)
Debt / FCF = 23.73 (Net Debt 1.53b / FCF TTM 64.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.20% (Net Income 129.2m / Total Assets 4.04b)
RoE = 6.24% (Net Income TTM 129.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.07b)
RoCE = 4.87% (EBIT 172.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.07b + L.T.Debt 1.47b))
RoIC = 0.45% (NOPAT 16.3m / Invested Capital 3.64b)
WACC = 5.22% (E(1.42b)/V(3.01b) * Re(10.97%) + D(1.59b)/V(3.01b) * Rd(0.83%) * (1-Tc(0.91)))
Discount Rate = 10.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.29% ; FCFE base≈65.0m ; Y1≈61.6m ; Y5≈58.9m
Fair Price DCF = 12.36 (DCF Value 672.1m / Shares Outstanding 54.4m; 5y FCF grow -6.65% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 15.47 | EPS CAGR: -0.99% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.08 | Revenue CAGR: 5.41% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 8