(INPST) Inpost - Overview
Stock: Parcel Lockers, Pick-Up Points, Door Couriers, Cashless Payments, InPost Fresh
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.31 |
| Alpha | -27.27 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.400 |
| Beta Downside | 0.419 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.13% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.38 |
Description: INPST Inpost January 10, 2026
InPost S.A. (ticker INPST) is a Luxembourg-registered, out-of-home e-commerce enablement platform that operates parcel-locker networks (Automated Parcel Machines, APM) and a suite of last-mile services across Poland and a growing footprint in Western Europe. The business is organized into four reporting segments: APM (locker-based deliveries), To-Door (courier door-to-door deliveries), Mondial Relay (locker and PUDO points in France, Spain, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg and Portugal) and International Other (locker and PUDO points in the UK and Italy, plus fulfilment, fresh-food, marketing, IT, and InPost Pay services). The company was founded in 1999 and remains headquartered in Luxembourg.
As of the most recent fiscal year, InPost operated roughly 13,500 APMs and 6,200 PUDO locations, delivering an estimated 1.2 billion parcels-a volume that grew ≈ 15 % YoY, outpacing the European e-commerce parcel growth rate of about 9 % (base-rate). FY-2023 revenue reached €820 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~12 %, reflecting the scalability of the locker model and the higher contribution margin of value-added services such as InPost Fresh and InPost Pay. The Mondial Relay segment now accounts for ~ 35 % of total revenue, driven by strong demand for omnichannel fulfilment in the French and Spanish markets.
Key economic drivers include continued acceleration of online retail sales, pressure on retailers to reduce last-mile costs, and regulatory incentives for low-emission delivery solutions-factors that favor locker-based networks. A potential risk is intensifying competition from national postal operators expanding their own locker fleets, which could compress margins if InPost’s network density does not keep pace with demand. For a deeper, data-rich assessment of InPost’s valuation dynamics, you may find the ValueRay platform’s analyst notes useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 894.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -5.43% < 20% (prev -0.89%; Δ -4.54% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 3.01b > Net Income 894.2m |
| Net Debt (8.70b) to EBITDA (3.73b): 2.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (502.1m) vs 12m ago 0.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.23% > 18% (prev 0.97%; Δ 4426 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 97.50% > 50% (prev 90.24%; Δ 7.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.41 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.73b / Interest Expense TTM 515.3m) |
Altman Z'' 1.44
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 4.00b - Total Current Liabilities 4.74b) / Total Assets 16.58b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 3.22b / Total Assets 16.58b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 1.76b / Avg Total Assets 13.96b) |
| D: 0.24 (Book Value of Equity 3.24b / Total Liabilities 13.48b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.44 = BB |
Beneish M -1.73
| DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 2.42b/1.52b, Revenue 13.61b/10.22b) |
| GMI: 2.15 (GM 45.23% / 97.39%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.27) |
| SGI: 1.33 (Revenue 13.61b / 10.22b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI 894.2m - CFO 3.01b) / TA 16.58b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.73 (Cap -4..+1) = CCC |
What is the price of INPST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.76%, over one month by -10.68%, over three months by +25.59% and over the past year by -16.77%.
Is INPST a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the INPST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 16.9 | 27.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 13.4 | 0.9% |
INPST Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
Market Cap PLN = 27.80b (6.59b EUR * 4.2166 EUR.PLN)
P/E Trailing = 31.4286
P/S = 2.0434
P/B = 8.9715
Revenue TTM = 13.61b PLN
EBIT TTM = 1.76b PLN
EBITDA TTM = 3.73b PLN
Long Term Debt = 5.57b PLN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.99b PLN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.11b PLN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.70b PLN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36.50b PLN (27.80b + Debt 10.11b - CCE 1.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 1.76b / Interest Expense TTM 515.3m)
EV/FCF = 25.46x (Enterprise Value 36.50b / FCF TTM 1.43b)
FCF Yield = 3.93% (FCF TTM 1.43b / Enterprise Value 36.50b)
FCF Margin = 10.53% (FCF TTM 1.43b / Revenue TTM 13.61b)
Net Margin = 6.57% (Net Income TTM 894.2m / Revenue TTM 13.61b)
Gross Margin = 45.23% ((Revenue TTM 13.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.45b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.12% (prev 22.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.20 (Enterprise Value 36.50b / Total Assets 16.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.61% (Interest Expense 162.6m / Debt 10.11b)
Taxrate = 34.17% (85.3m / 249.6m)
NOPAT = 1.16b (EBIT 1.76b * (1 - 34.17%))
Current Ratio = 0.84 (Total Current Assets 4.00b / Total Current Liabilities 4.74b)
Debt / Equity = 3.27 (Debt 10.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.33 (Net Debt 8.70b / EBITDA 3.73b)
Debt / FCF = 6.07 (Net Debt 8.70b / FCF TTM 1.43b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.41% (Net Income 894.2m / Total Assets 16.58b)
RoE = 32.11% (Net Income TTM 894.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.79b)
RoCE = 21.04% (EBIT 1.76b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.79b + L.T.Debt 5.57b))
RoIC = 13.79% (NOPAT 1.16b / Invested Capital 8.39b)
WACC = 5.70% (E(27.80b)/V(37.91b) * Re(7.39%) + D(10.11b)/V(37.91b) * Rd(1.61%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 7.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 88.43% ; FCFF base≈1.41b ; Y1≈1.74b ; Y5≈2.96b
Fair Price DCF = 155.4 (EV 86.33b - Net Debt 8.70b = Equity 77.64b / Shares 499.5m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 67.45 | EPS CAGR: 18.81% | SUE: -0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.27 | Revenue CAGR: 24.22% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.95 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.22 | Chg30d=+0.119 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+26.2% | Growth Revenue=+18.5%