(KPN) Koninklijke KPN - Overview
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Telecom Services | Exchange: AS (Netherlands) | Market Cap: 17.751m EUR | Total Return: 15.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +5.6
Avg Turnover: 50.1M
EPS Trend: 87.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 83.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Altman Z'' -0.96 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Koninklijke KPN N.V. is the primary telecommunications and IT service provider in the Netherlands, offering a comprehensive suite of fixed and mobile connectivity, broadband internet, and television services. The company serves a diverse client base through its Consumer, Business, Wholesale, and Network segments, utilizing a multi-brand strategy that includes KPN, Simyo, and Youfone.
Operating as an integrated telecommunications provider, KPN manages critical national infrastructure while expanding into high-growth ICT sectors such as cybersecurity, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT). The business model relies on high barriers to entry due to the capital-intensive nature of maintaining fiber-optic and mobile networks, which generate recurring revenue through subscription-based services.
Investors can evaluate the companys long-term financial health and dividend sustainability by reviewing the detailed metrics available on ValueRay. Founded in 1881 and headquartered in Rotterdam, the firm remains a central pillar of the Dutch digital economy through its extensive wholesale network access and specialized health and security divisions.
- Accelerated fiber-to-the-home rollout drives long-term broadband market share gains
- Sustainable growth in mobile service revenue offsets legacy fixed-line copper decline
- Aggressive cost transformation and automation initiatives expand EBITDA AL margins
- Dutch regulatory environment and spectrum auction outcomes impact capital expenditure requirements
- Consistent free cash flow generation supports progressive dividend policy and buybacks
| Net Income: 1.70b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.75% < 20% (prev -9.99%; Δ 3.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 2.31b > Net Income 1.70b |
| Net Debt (8.67b) to EBITDA (5.03b): 1.72 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.16b) vs 12m ago -7.96% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.28% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 4.79k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 91.07% > 50% (prev 45.30%; Δ 45.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.87 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.03b / Interest Expense TTM 530.0m) |
| A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.35b - Total Current Liabilities 2.12b) / Total Assets 13.07b |
| B: -0.37 (Retained Earnings -4.82b / Total Assets 13.07b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 2.05b / Avg Total Assets 12.55b) |
| D: -0.45 (Book Value of Equity -4.70b / Total Liabilities 10.50b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.96 = CCC |
| DSRI: 0.52 (Receivables 640.0m/592.0m, Revenue 11.43b/5.45b) |
| GMI: 0.77 (GM 48.28% / 37.02%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.33) |
| SGI: 2.10 (Revenue 11.43b / 5.45b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.70b - CFO 2.31b) / TA 13.07b) |
| Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.74%, over one month by +0.04%, over three months by +0.39% and over the past year by +15.38%.
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
P/E Trailing = 22.3571
P/E Forward = 17.8891
P/S = 3.0469
P/B = 4.9177
P/EG = 2.0611
Revenue TTM = 11.43b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.05b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 5.03b EUR
Long Term Debt = 5.88b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 528.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.26b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 707.0m
Net Debt = 8.67b EUR (calculated: Debt 9.26b - CCE 587.0m)
Enterprise Value = 26.42b EUR (17.75b + Debt 9.26b - CCE 587.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.87 (Ebit TTM 2.05b / Interest Expense TTM 530.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.45x (Enterprise Value 26.42b / FCF TTM 1.29b)
FCF Yield = 4.89% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Enterprise Value 26.42b)
FCF Margin = 11.31% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Revenue TTM 11.43b)
Net Margin = 14.91% (Net Income TTM 1.70b / Revenue TTM 11.43b)
Gross Margin = 48.28% ((Revenue TTM 11.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.91b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.21% (prev 53.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.02 (Enterprise Value 26.42b / Total Assets 13.07b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.92% (Interest Expense 270.0m / Debt 9.26b)
Taxrate = 20.26% (217.0m / 1.07b)
NOPAT = 1.64b (EBIT 2.05b * (1 - 20.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.64 (Total Current Assets 1.35b / Total Current Liabilities 2.12b)
Debt / Equity = 3.66 (Debt 9.26b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.72 (Net Debt 8.67b / EBITDA 5.03b)
Debt / FCF = 6.71 (Net Debt 8.67b / FCF TTM 1.29b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.58% (Net Income 1.70b / Total Assets 13.07b)
RoE = 21.05% (Net Income TTM 1.70b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.09b)
RoCE = 14.69% (EBIT 2.05b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.09b + L.T.Debt 5.88b))
RoIC = 15.03% (NOPAT 1.64b / Invested Capital 10.89b)
WACC = 4.34% (E(17.75b)/V(27.01b) * Re(5.39%) + D(9.26b)/V(27.01b) * Rd(2.92%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 5.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 29.55 | Cagr: 0.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 86.44% ; FCFF base≈1.16b ; Y1≈1.17b ; Y5≈1.26b
[DCF] Fair Price = 7.64 (EV 37.54b - Net Debt 8.67b = Equity 28.87b / Shares 3.78b; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.67% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 87.58 | EPS CAGR: 4.89% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.93 | Revenue CAGR: 29.83% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-1.28% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=+0.48% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=-2.70% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+9.2% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=+0.40% | Revisions=-14% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%