(MT) ArcelorMittal - Overview
Stock: Steel, Iron Ore, Coking Coal
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.7% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.89 |
| Alpha | 82.41 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.498 |
| Beta Downside | 0.752 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.02% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.68 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: MT ArcelorMittal February 11, 2026
ArcelorMittal S.A. (AS: MT) is a vertically integrated steel and mining group operating across the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. Its product portfolio spans semi-finished flat and long steel (slabs, coils, plates, bars, wire-rods, rails) and finished specialty items (tinplate, colour-coated coils, seamless and welded tubes), complemented by mining outputs such as iron-ore concentrates, pellets and coking coal. Sales are channeled through a centralized marketing network to end-markets including automotive, appliances, construction, energy and machinery.
In FY 2025 the company reported revenue of roughly $81 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $13.2 billion, with steel production at 71 million tonnes-up 2 % YoY despite a 5 % decline in European demand. Iron-ore prices, a key cost driver, averaged $115 per tonne in Q4 2025, supporting higher mining margins. A material risk remains the tightening EU carbon-pricing regime, which could raise steel-making costs by an estimated 4-6 % if no additional offsets are secured.
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Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 3.28b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.05 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.66% < 20% (prev 12.10%; Δ 0.56% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 4.28b > Net Income 3.28b |
| Net Debt (7.93b) to EBITDA (6.46b): 1.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.36 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (766.0m) vs 12m ago -3.89% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 68.26% > 50% (prev 69.86%; Δ -1.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.02 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 6.46b / Interest Expense TTM 308.1m) |
Beneish M -4.00
| DSRI: 0.60 (Receivables 3.48b/5.66b, Revenue 63.85b/62.44b) |
| GMI: 0.31 (GM 100.0% / 31.24%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 63.85b / 62.44b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 3.28b - CFO 4.28b) / TA 97.71b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -4.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of MT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.07%, over one month by +26.57%, over three months by +50.47% and over the past year by +91.67%.
Is MT a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the MT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.6 | -6.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 63.2 | 21.2% |
MT Fundamental Data Overview February 14, 2026
P/E Trailing = 16.0116
P/E Forward = 14.6413
P/S = 0.6853
P/B = 0.8776
P/EG = 0.6568
Revenue TTM = 63.85b EUR
EBIT TTM = 3.40b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 6.46b EUR
Long Term Debt = 10.49b EUR (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 2.74b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 13.41b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 7.93b EUR (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 49.98b EUR (42.04b + Debt 13.41b - CCE 5.48b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.02 (Ebit TTM 3.40b / Interest Expense TTM 308.1m)
EV/FCF = 861.7x (Enterprise Value 49.98b / FCF TTM 58.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.12% (FCF TTM 58.0m / Enterprise Value 49.98b)
FCF Margin = 0.09% (FCF TTM 58.0m / Revenue TTM 63.85b)
Net Margin = 5.14% (Net Income TTM 3.28b / Revenue TTM 63.85b)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 63.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.51 (Enterprise Value 49.98b / Total Assets 97.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 176.1m / Debt 13.41b)
Taxrate = 9.97% (373.6m / 3.75b)
NOPAT = 3.06b (EBIT 3.40b * (1 - 9.97%))
Current Ratio = 1.36 (Total Current Assets 30.61b / Total Current Liabilities 22.52b)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 13.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last fiscal year 54.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.23 (Net Debt 7.93b / EBITDA 6.46b)
Debt / FCF = 136.8 (Net Debt 7.93b / FCF TTM 58.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 52.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.51% (Net Income 3.28b / Total Assets 97.71b)
RoE = 6.27% (Net Income TTM 3.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 52.35b)
RoCE = 5.40% (EBIT 3.40b / Capital Employed (Equity 52.35b + L.T.Debt 10.49b))
RoIC = 4.59% (NOPAT 3.06b / Invested Capital 66.55b)
WACC = 6.16% (E(42.04b)/V(55.45b) * Re(7.75%) + D(13.41b)/V(55.45b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 7.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.93%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.39% ; FCFF base≈430.8m ; Y1≈282.8m ; Y5≈129.0m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 3.80b - Net Debt 7.93b = -4.13b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -76.36 | EPS CAGR: -34.77% | SUE: 1.01 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -72.91 | Revenue CAGR: -5.77% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=-0.209 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.20 | Chg30d=+0.119 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+35.0% | Growth Revenue=+10.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.70 | Chg30d=+0.525 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%