(PNL) PostNL - Overview
Exchange: AS •
Country: Netherlands •
Currency: EUR •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: NL0009739416
Stock: Mail, Parcels, Logistics, Fulfillment
Total Rating 54
Risk 57
Buy Signal 0.06
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.18% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.65% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -43.04% |
| Payout Consistency | 65.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 146.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.41% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.72 |
| Alpha | 20.86 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.070 |
| Beta Downside | 0.231 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 58.04% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.11 |
Description: PNL PostNL December 27, 2025
PostNL N.V. (formerly TNT N.V., renamed in May 2011) is a Dutch-based provider of postal and logistics services to both business and consumer customers in the Netherlands, the broader European market, and globally. The firm operates primarily through its “Parcels & Mail NL” and “PostNL Other” segments, handling the collection, sorting, transport, and delivery of letters and parcels while also offering data-management, direct-marketing, fulfillment, and cross-border mail and parcel solutions from its headquarters in The Hague.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023) show total revenue of roughly €5.3 billion, with parcel volumes growing about 8 % year-on-year driven by sustained e-commerce demand, while traditional mail volumes continued to contract by roughly 6 % as digital communication replaces paper. Core cost pressures stem from rising fuel prices, labor-market tightness in the Netherlands, and the need for network automation-factors that shape margin trends across the Air Freight & Logistics sub-industry.
For a deeper, data-driven breakdown of PostNL’s valuation levers, the ValueRay platform offers a granular view worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: -16.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.70% < 20% (prev -1.97%; Δ -5.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 175.0m > Net Income -16.0m |
| Net Debt (652.0m) to EBITDA (244.0m): 2.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.77 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (508.7m) vs 12m ago 1.31% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 10.62% > 18% (prev 0.13%; Δ 1049 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 150.6% > 50% (prev 135.1%; Δ 15.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.30 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 244.0m / Interest Expense TTM 37.0m) |
Altman Z'' -0.77
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 855.0m - Total Current Liabilities 1.11b) / Total Assets 1.99b |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 6.00m / Total Assets 1.99b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 11.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.18b) |
| D: 0.02 (Book Value of Equity 36.0m / Total Liabilities 1.86b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.77 = CCC |
Beneish M -2.68
| DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 369.0m/294.0m, Revenue 3.29b/3.20b) |
| GMI: 1.22 (GM 10.62% / 12.95%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 3.29b / 3.20b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI -16.0m - CFO 175.0m) / TA 1.99b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.68 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of PNL shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 1.24 with a total of 1,443,450 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.99%, over one month by +8.09%, over three months by +29.51% and over the past year by +26.63%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.99%, over one month by +8.09%, over three months by +29.51% and over the past year by +26.63%.
Is PNL a buy, sell or hold?
PostNL has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts/targets for the PNL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1 | -18.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.4 | 10.5% |
PNL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
Market Cap USD = 582.3m (493.4m EUR * 1.1801 EUR.USD)
P/E Forward = 23.3645
P/S = 0.1831
P/B = 4.6377
P/EG = -1.84
Revenue TTM = 3.29b EUR
EBIT TTM = 11.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 244.0m EUR
Long Term Debt = 397.0m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 387.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 990.0m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 652.0m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.05b EUR (493.4m + Debt 990.0m - CCE 438.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.30 (Ebit TTM 11.0m / Interest Expense TTM 37.0m)
EV/FCF = 15.84x (Enterprise Value 1.05b / FCF TTM 66.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.31% (FCF TTM 66.0m / Enterprise Value 1.05b)
FCF Margin = 2.01% (FCF TTM 66.0m / Revenue TTM 3.29b)
Net Margin = -0.49% (Net Income TTM -16.0m / Revenue TTM 3.29b)
Gross Margin = 10.62% ((Revenue TTM 3.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 1.31% (prev -0.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 1.05b / Total Assets 1.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 10.0m / Debt 990.0m)
Taxrate = 24.0% (6.00m / 25.0m)
NOPAT = 8.36m (EBIT 11.0m * (1 - 24.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 855.0m / Total Current Liabilities 1.11b)
Debt / Equity = 7.73 (Debt 990.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 128.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.67 (Net Debt 652.0m / EBITDA 244.0m)
Debt / FCF = 9.88 (Net Debt 652.0m / FCF TTM 66.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 168.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.73% (Net Income -16.0m / Total Assets 1.99b)
RoE = -9.51% (Net Income TTM -16.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 168.2m)
RoCE = 1.95% (EBIT 11.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 168.2m + L.T.Debt 397.0m))
RoIC = 0.97% (NOPAT 8.36m / Invested Capital 858.0m)
WACC = 2.56% (E(493.4m)/V(1.48b) * Re(6.17%) + D(990.0m)/V(1.48b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 6.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.70%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.88% ; FCFF base≈77.6m ; Y1≈54.4m ; Y5≈28.3m
Fair Price DCF = 0.47 (EV 890.0m - Net Debt 652.0m = Equity 238.0m / Shares 508.7m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -35.09% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-35.09%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -48.92 | EPS CAGR: -56.07% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -7.36 | Revenue CAGR: -5.36% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.09 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+69.6% | Growth Revenue=+2.6%
P/E Forward = 23.3645
P/S = 0.1831
P/B = 4.6377
P/EG = -1.84
Revenue TTM = 3.29b EUR
EBIT TTM = 11.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 244.0m EUR
Long Term Debt = 397.0m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 387.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 990.0m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 652.0m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.05b EUR (493.4m + Debt 990.0m - CCE 438.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.30 (Ebit TTM 11.0m / Interest Expense TTM 37.0m)
EV/FCF = 15.84x (Enterprise Value 1.05b / FCF TTM 66.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.31% (FCF TTM 66.0m / Enterprise Value 1.05b)
FCF Margin = 2.01% (FCF TTM 66.0m / Revenue TTM 3.29b)
Net Margin = -0.49% (Net Income TTM -16.0m / Revenue TTM 3.29b)
Gross Margin = 10.62% ((Revenue TTM 3.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 1.31% (prev -0.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 1.05b / Total Assets 1.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 10.0m / Debt 990.0m)
Taxrate = 24.0% (6.00m / 25.0m)
NOPAT = 8.36m (EBIT 11.0m * (1 - 24.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 855.0m / Total Current Liabilities 1.11b)
Debt / Equity = 7.73 (Debt 990.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 128.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.67 (Net Debt 652.0m / EBITDA 244.0m)
Debt / FCF = 9.88 (Net Debt 652.0m / FCF TTM 66.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 168.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.73% (Net Income -16.0m / Total Assets 1.99b)
RoE = -9.51% (Net Income TTM -16.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 168.2m)
RoCE = 1.95% (EBIT 11.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 168.2m + L.T.Debt 397.0m))
RoIC = 0.97% (NOPAT 8.36m / Invested Capital 858.0m)
WACC = 2.56% (E(493.4m)/V(1.48b) * Re(6.17%) + D(990.0m)/V(1.48b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 6.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.70%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.88% ; FCFF base≈77.6m ; Y1≈54.4m ; Y5≈28.3m
Fair Price DCF = 0.47 (EV 890.0m - Net Debt 652.0m = Equity 238.0m / Shares 508.7m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -35.09% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-35.09%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -48.92 | EPS CAGR: -56.07% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -7.36 | Revenue CAGR: -5.36% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.09 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+69.6% | Growth Revenue=+2.6%