(TOM2) TomTom - Overview
Stock: Navigation Apps, Sat Navs, Maps, Traffic Solutions, Fleet Management
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 53.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -24.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.62 |
| Alpha | 24.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.112 |
| Beta Downside | 0.661 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.91% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
Description: TOM2 TomTom December 25, 2025
TomTom N.V. (ticker TOM2) develops and sells navigation and location-based products and services across Europe, the Americas and other international markets, operating through two primary segments: Location Technology and Consumer.
In the Location Technology segment, the firm provides a suite of mapping and routing solutions-including maps for automation, Map Maker, SDKs, and various APIs (Places, Routing, Automotive, UI)-as well as traffic-related services such as real-time traffic stats, origin-destination analysis, junction analytics, and historical traffic volumes. These offerings target enterprise, automotive OEM, and public-sector customers seeking location intelligence, fleet management, and mobility-as-a-service capabilities.
The Consumer segment delivers navigation apps, stand-alone sat-nav devices, in-dash navigation systems, and accessories for private drivers. Recent product updates emphasize subscription-based map updates and integration with electric-vehicle charging networks, reflecting the broader industry shift toward recurring revenue models.
Key recent metrics (2023) include €1.2 bn total revenue (≈6 % YoY growth), with recurring revenue representing ~70 % of sales and an adjusted operating margin of 8 %. The company’s free-cash-flow conversion improved to 12 % of revenue, driven by higher-margin API subscriptions and cost-discipline in the Consumer hardware line-up.
Sector drivers that materially affect TomTom’s outlook are the accelerating rollout of autonomous-driving platforms (which increase demand for high-definition, up-datable maps), the expansion of connected-car ecosystems, and the growing need for real-time traffic data to support smart-city and logistics optimization initiatives.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation framework, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: -17.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 29.35% < 20% (prev 34.02%; Δ -4.67% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 35.6m > Net Income -17.2m |
| Net Debt (-17.1m) to EBITDA (37.6m): -0.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (124.4m) vs 12m ago 1.36% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 88.02% > 18% (prev 0.85%; Δ 8717 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 80.14% > 50% (prev 80.65%; Δ -0.52% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 19.59 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 37.6m / Interest Expense TTM 774.0k) |
Altman Z'' 0.30
| A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 400.7m - Total Current Liabilities 234.6m) / Total Assets 698.3m |
| B: -0.34 (Retained Earnings -235.0m / Total Assets 698.3m) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 15.2m / Avg Total Assets 706.0m) |
| D: -0.29 (Book Value of Equity -166.2m / Total Liabilities 566.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.30 = B |
Beneish M -3.16
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 97.8m/110.4m, Revenue 565.7m/575.5m) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 88.02% / 85.14%) |
| AQI: 1.11 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 565.7m / 575.5m) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI -17.2m - CFO 35.6m) / TA 698.3m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of TOM2 shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -18.30%, over one month by -14.94%, over three months by +3.08% and over the past year by +25.48%.
Is TOM2 a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TOM2 price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6 | 15.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.2 | 0.4% |
TOM2 Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 8.244
P/S = 1.1532
P/B = 4.6476
P/EG = 53.4535
Revenue TTM = 565.7m EUR
EBIT TTM = 15.2m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 37.6m EUR
Long Term Debt = 43.5m EUR (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 8.06m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 38.6m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -17.1m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 417.5m EUR (645.8m + Debt 38.6m - CCE 266.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 19.59 (Ebit TTM 15.2m / Interest Expense TTM 774.0k)
EV/FCF = 17.84x (Enterprise Value 417.5m / FCF TTM 23.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.60% (FCF TTM 23.4m / Enterprise Value 417.5m)
FCF Margin = 4.14% (FCF TTM 23.4m / Revenue TTM 565.7m)
Net Margin = -3.05% (Net Income TTM -17.2m / Revenue TTM 565.7m)
Gross Margin = 88.02% ((Revenue TTM 565.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 67.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.21% (prev 87.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 417.5m / Total Assets 698.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.95% (Interest Expense 752.0k / Debt 38.6m)
Taxrate = 11.93% (1.23m / 10.3m)
NOPAT = 13.4m (EBIT 15.2m * (1 - 11.93%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 400.7m / Total Current Liabilities 234.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 38.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 131.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.45 (Net Debt -17.1m / EBITDA 37.6m)
Debt / FCF = -0.73 (Net Debt -17.1m / FCF TTM 23.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 133.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.44% (Net Income -17.2m / Total Assets 698.3m)
RoE = -12.94% (Net Income TTM -17.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 133.2m)
RoCE = 8.58% (EBIT 15.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 133.2m + L.T.Debt 43.5m))
RoIC = 10.33% (NOPAT 13.4m / Invested Capital 129.3m)
WACC = 6.07% (E(645.8m)/V(684.5m) * Re(6.33%) + D(38.6m)/V(684.5m) * Rd(1.95%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 6.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.89% ; FCFF base≈16.4m ; Y1≈10.8m ; Y5≈4.92m
Fair Price DCF = 1.35 (EV 148.9m - Net Debt -17.1m = Equity 166.0m / Shares 123.0m; r=6.07% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 62.04 | EPS CAGR: 203.6% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 54.71 | Revenue CAGR: 4.72% | SUE: 2.94 | # QB: 2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+400.0% | Growth Revenue=+2.4%