VLK Stock Analysis: Van Lanschot | AS

Banks - Regional | AS, Netherlands | Market Cap: 2.810m EUR | 12M Return: 39.6% | NL0000302636 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Private Banking, Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Asset Management
Total Rating 44
Safety 33
Buy Signal 0.58
Regional Banks
Sub-Industry Rotation: +0.8
Market Cap: 3.12B
Avg Turnover: 2.35M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility23.2%
VaR 5th Pctl3.70%
VaR vs Median-2.91%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.39
Rel. Str. IBD81.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group82.8 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.447
Beta Downside0.035
Hurst Exponent0.479
Choppyness57.3%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD18.32%
CAGR/Max DD2.39
CAGR/Mean DD8.93

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan -0.7% 0
Feb +0.4% 0
Mar -0.9% 4
Apr +5.3% 28
May -0.0% 0
Jun -2.0% 28
Jul -0.6% 14
Aug +0.7% 4
Sep -1.0% 4
Oct -1.2% 4
Nov +1.3% 9
Dec +0.4% 21

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: VLK Van Lanschot

Van Lanschot Kempen NV (AS: VLK) is a Dutch financial services provider founded in 1737 and headquartered in s-Hertogenbosch, the Netherlands. The company operates across four segments: Private Clients Netherlands, Private Clients Belgium, Investment Management Clients, and Investment Banking Clients, serving entrepreneurs, family businesses, high-net-worth individuals, business professionals, foundations, pension funds, and affluent retail clients in the Netherlands, Belgium, and selected international markets.

Its service offering spans private banking, wealth management, an online investment platform, owned funds-related services, and fiduciary/strategies management. Specialist investment banking capabilities cover equities research and trading, mergers and acquisitions, equity capital markets, and debt advisory for corporate and institutional investors. The group also conducts interest rate, market, and liquidity risk management alongside structured product activities.

Van Lanschot is classified within the GICS Financials sector (Regional Banks sub-industry) and is positioned as one of the Netherlands longest-established wealth and private banking franchises, with a mid-cap market capitalization of approximately $3.2 billion USD. The company adopted its current name in July 2021, having previously operated as Van Lanschot Kempen Wealth Management NV.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • ECB rate cuts squeeze net interest margin
  • Private banking AUM growth lifts fee income
  • M&A and ECM deal flow boosts investment banking
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 177.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.12 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -913.6% < 20% (prev -1.46k%; Δ 546.0% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 469.8m > Net Income 177.7m
Net Debt (855.3m) to EBITDA (182.3m): 4.69 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.13 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.7m) vs 12m ago 0.78% < -2%
Gross Margin: 64.42% > 18% (prev 33.08%; Δ 31.34% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 7.40% > 50% (prev 4.43%; Δ 2.96% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.31 > 6 (EBIT TTM 138.9m / Interest Expense TTM 444.1m)
Altman Z'' -4.17
A: -0.66 (Total Current Assets 1.78b - Total Current Liabilities 13.2b) / Total Assets 17.4b
B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 83.7m / Total Assets 17.4b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 138.9m / Avg Total Assets 17.0b)
D: 0.08 (Book Value of Equity 1.30b / Total Liabilities 16.1b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.17 = D
Beneish M -3.70
DSRI: 0.10 (Receivables 290k/155.3m, Revenue 1.25b/733.8m)
GMI: 0.51 (GM 33.08% / 64.42%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.89 / AQ_t-1 0.89)
SGI: 1.71 (Revenue 1.25b / 733.8m)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 177.7m - CFO 469.8m) / TA 17.4b)
Beneish M = -3.70 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of VLK shares?

As of November 12, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 66.45 with a total of 26,352 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.67%, over one month by +5.64%, over three months by +1.30% and over the past year by +39.61%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 63.00 (which is 5.2% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).

Is VLK a buy, sell or hold?

Van Lanschot has no consensus analysts rating.

Van Lanschot (VLK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.12b (2.81b EUR * 1.10943 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.8909
P/E Forward = 13.0719
P/S = 3.4917
P/B = 2.1018
P/EG = 0.3074
Revenue TTM = 1.25b EUR
EBIT TTM = 138.9m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 182.3m EUR
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = 566.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.63b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 855.3m EUR (calculated: Debt 2.63b - CCE 1.78b)
Enterprise Value = 3.67b EUR (2.81b + Debt 2.63b - CCE 1.78b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.31 (Ebit TTM 138.9m / Interest Expense TTM 444.1m)
EV/FCF = 8.47x (Enterprise Value 3.67b / FCF TTM 432.9m)
FCF Yield = 11.81% (FCF TTM 432.9m / Enterprise Value 3.67b)
FCF Margin = 34.52% (FCF TTM 432.9m / Revenue TTM 1.25b)
Net Margin = 14.17% (Net Income TTM 177.7m / Revenue TTM 1.25b)
Gross Margin = 64.42% ((Revenue TTM 1.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 446.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.78% (prev 62.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.21 (Enterprise Value 3.67b / Total Assets 17.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 16.87% (Interest Expense 444.1m / Debt 2.63b)
Taxrate = 27.96% (64.6m / 230.8m)
NOPAT = 100.0m (EBIT 138.9m * (1 - 27.96%))
Current Ratio = 0.13 (Total Current Assets 1.78b / Total Current Liabilities 13.2b)
Debt / Equity = 2.02 (Debt 2.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.69 (Net Debt 855.3m / EBITDA 182.3m)
Debt / FCF = 1.98 (Net Debt 855.3m / FCF TTM 432.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.05% (Net Income 177.7m / Total Assets 17.4b)
RoE = 13.58% (Net Income TTM 177.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.31b)
RoCE = 3.36% (EBIT 138.9m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 17.4b - Current Liab 13.2b))
RoIC = 2.16% (NOPAT 100.0m / Invested Capital 4.63b)
WACC = 9.57% (E(2.81b)/V(5.44b) * Re(7.15%) + D(2.63b)/V(5.44b) * Rd(16.87%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 2.19 | Cagr: -1.54%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.13% ; FCFF base≈284.7m ; Y1≈326.3m ; Y5≈480.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 120.6 (EV 5.95b - Net Debt 855.3m = Equity 5.09b / Shares 42.2m; r=9.57% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.73 | Revenue CAGR: 37.29% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.55 | Chg30d=+0.29% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+16.8% | GrowthRev=+13.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.81 | Chg30d=+0.07% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+5.7% | GrowthRev=+6.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=2, down=0)