(HODL) VanEck Bitcoin Trust - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: BATS • Country: USA • Currency: USD • Type: Etf • ISIN: US92189K1051

Bitcoin, Exposure, Shares, ETF

Description: HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust

The VanEck Bitcoin Trust (BATS:HODL) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that directly holds bitcoin, providing investors with exposure to the cryptocurrencys price movements. The trusts net asset value (NAV) is calculated daily based on the MarketVectorTM Bitcoin Benchmark Rate, ensuring a fair and transparent valuation of its shares.

As a Digital Assets ETF, HODL offers a straightforward way for investors to gain access to the bitcoin market without having to directly purchase or manage the underlying cryptocurrency. With a substantial Assets Under Management (AUM) of $1.66 billion, the trust has established itself as a significant player in the cryptocurrency investment landscape.

Analyzing the trusts price movements, we can observe that it is currently trading near its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA20) of $30.18, indicating a potential resistance level. The 50-day SMA ($27.62) and 200-day SMA ($24.60) suggest a longer-term uptrend, as the trusts price remains above these averages. The Average True Range (ATR) of 2.68% indicates moderate volatility, which is expected in the cryptocurrency market.

Using a combination of technical and fundamental analysis, we can forecast that HODLs price may continue to consolidate around its current levels, potentially testing the $31.46 52-week high in the near term. However, a significant increase in AUM or a surge in bitcoins price could drive the trusts price higher, potentially breaking through the current resistance level. Conversely, a decline in bitcoins price or a decrease in AUM could lead to a pullback in HODLs price, potentially testing the $27.62 SMA50 support level.

To make informed investment decisions, its essential to closely monitor the trusts price movements, AUM, and the overall cryptocurrency market trends, as well as adjust expectations according to the evolving landscape.

Additional Sources for HODL ETF

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle

HODL ETF Overview

Market Cap in USD 1,920m
Category Digital Assets
TER 0.20%
IPO / Inception 2024-01-04

HODL ETF Ratings

Growth Rating 52.8
Fundamental -
Dividend Rating 0.0
Rel. Strength 54.1
Analysts -
Fair Price Momentum 36.24 USD
Fair Price DCF -

HODL Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

HODL Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 80.9%
Growth Correlation 12m 81.5%
Growth Correlation 5y 83.7%
CAGR 5y 76.59%
CAGR/Max DD 5y 2.73
Sharpe Ratio 12m 0.18
Alpha 67.76
Beta 0.567
Volatility 33.47%
Current Volume 973.9k
Average Volume 20d 1050.2k
Stop Loss 31 (-3.2%)
What is the price of HODL shares?
As of August 03, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 32.01 with a total of 973,874 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.18%, over one month by +7.31%, over three months by +17.08% and over the past year by +78.60%.
Is VanEck Bitcoin Trust a good stock to buy?
Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Analyses, VanEck Bitcoin Trust (BATS:HODL) is currently (August 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a Growth Technical Rating of 52.83 and therefor an somewhat technical positive rating according to historical growth.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HODL is around 36.24 USD . This means that HODL is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +13.21% (Margin of Safety).
Is HODL a buy, sell or hold?
VanEck Bitcoin Trust has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts for HODL share price target?
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust will be worth about 41.2 in August 2026. The stock is currently trading at 32.01. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +28.68%.
Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price - -
Analysts Target Price - -
ValueRay Target Price 41.2 28.7%