(TYA) Simplify Exchange Traded - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: BATS • Country: USA • Currency: USD • Type: Etf • ISIN: US82889N7984

TYA: Futures, Options, Government Securities, Fixed Income ETFs

The Simplify Risk Parity Treasury ETF (TYA) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that aims to deliver returns that are on par with or exceed the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Index over a calendar quarter. This fund is designed for investors seeking exposure to long-term U.S. Treasury securities, albeit through a more complex investment strategy involving derivatives.

TYA achieves its investment objective by primarily investing in futures contracts, call and put options on U.S. Treasury futures, and directly in U.S. government securities such as Treasury bills, notes, and bonds, or in fixed-income ETFs that focus on U.S. Treasuries. This approach allows the fund to gain significant exposure to the long end of the yield curve, potentially benefiting from movements in interest rates.

Given its investment strategy, TYA is likely to be highly sensitive to changes in long-term interest rates and overall market volatility. The funds use of derivatives not only amplifies its potential returns but also its potential risks, making it a product that requires careful consideration and monitoring.

Analyzing the , we see that TYAs last price is $12.78, which is below its short-term (SMA20 at $13.16) and long-term moving averages (SMA50 at $13.10, SMA200 at $13.02). This indicates a bearish trend in the short to long term. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.24 or 1.92% suggests moderate volatility. The fund is currently trading below its 52-week high of $14.39 but above its 52-week low of $11.64, indicating some resilience.

Considering the , TYA has Assets Under Management (AUM) of $152.55 million, which is relatively modest. This size can be both a blessing and a curse; it allows for more nimble management but may also limit the funds ability to absorb large inflows or outflows without impacting its net asset value.

Forecasting TYAs performance involves analyzing both its technical and fundamental data. Given the current bearish trend indicated by its price relative to its moving averages, and assuming that interest rates continue to be a significant driver of its performance, we can anticipate that TYA might continue to face challenges if long-term interest rates rise. However, if rates stabilize or decline, TYA could potentially recover or even outperform. With an AUM of $152.55 million, the fund has a reasonable size to be considered viable, but its performance will heavily depend on the fund managers ability to navigate the derivatives market effectively.

Based on the current technical indicators and assuming a scenario where long-term interest rates stabilize or slightly decrease, we could forecast a potential recovery for TYA, with a possible target price near its SMA50 or SMA200 levels in the short to medium term. However, this forecast is contingent upon the broader market conditions and the funds management strategy.

Additional Sources for TYA ETF

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle

TYA ETF Overview

Market Cap in USD 146m
Category Long Government
TER 0.17%
IPO / Inception 2021-09-27

TYA ETF Ratings

Growth Rating -49.2
Fundamental -
Dividend Rating 60.3
Rel. Strength 6.63
Analysts -
Fair Price Momentum 12.33 USD
Fair Price DCF -

TYA Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 4.05%
Yield on Cost 5y 2.37%
Annual Growth 5y 114.61%
Payout Consistency 78.5%
Payout Ratio %

TYA Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -28.9%
Growth Correlation 12m -16.9%
Growth Correlation 5y -78.1%
CAGR 5y -13.33%
CAGR/Max DD 5y -0.26
Sharpe Ratio 12m 0.07
Alpha -0.52
Beta -0.204
Volatility 19.67%
Current Volume 47k
Average Volume 20d 47.3k
What is the price of TYA shares?
As of June 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 13.00 with a total of 46,963 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.25%, over one month by +2.01%, over three months by +0.05% and over the past year by +2.20%.
Is Simplify Exchange Traded a good stock to buy?
Probably not. Based on ValueRay´s Analyses, Simplify Exchange Traded (BATS:TYA) is currently (June 2025) not a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Growth Rating of -49.22 and therefor a somwhat technical negative rating according to historical growth.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TYA is around 12.33 USD . This means that TYA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.15%.
Is TYA a buy, sell or hold?
Simplify Exchange Traded has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts for TYA share price target?
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, TYA Simplify Exchange Traded will be worth about 13.3 in June 2026. The stock is currently trading at 13.00. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +2.38%.
Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price - -
Analysts Target Price - -
ValueRay Target Price 13.3 2.4%