(CARL-A) Carlsberg - Ratings and Ratios
Beer,Lager,Non-Alcoholic
CARL-A EPS (Earnings per Share)
CARL-A Revenue
Description: CARL-A Carlsberg
Carlsberg A/S is a Danish brewer with a market capitalization of approximately 112 billion DKK, classified under the Brewers sub-industry by GICS. The companys stock is characterized by its relatively low volatility, as suggested by its beta of 0.589, indicating that it tends to be less sensitive to market fluctuations.
Key performance indicators (KPIs) for Carlsberg likely include revenue growth, EBITDA margin, and return on equity (ROE). Although the provided ROE is negative (-157.12), this is an unusual circumstance and may not reflect the companys typical financial health. More commonly, brewers like Carlsberg are evaluated on their ability to maintain margins in a competitive market, manage costs, and expand their market share through strategic investments or organic growth.
Economic drivers for Carlsberg include consumer spending on beverages, competition within the brewing industry, and global market trends. The brewers sub-industry is sensitive to changes in consumer preferences, regulatory environments, and raw material costs. Carlsbergs performance is also influenced by its geographic diversification, brand portfolio, and operational efficiency.
The stocks valuation, as reflected by its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.63 and forward P/E of 15.75, suggests that investors have certain expectations regarding the companys future earnings growth. These multiples are influenced by the companys profitability, growth prospects, and the overall market conditions. A thorough analysis would involve comparing these multiples with those of peers and the industry average to assess whether Carlsberg is under or overvalued relative to its competitors.
CARL-A Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 16,846m |
| Sub-Industry | Brewers |
| IPO / Inception |
CARL-A Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -3.37% |
| Fundamental | 61.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 56.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -27.9% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
CARL-A Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.93% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.17% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 5.15% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 53.6% |
CARL-A Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -78.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -8.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -9.9% |
| CAGR 5y | 1.28% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.03 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.08 |
| Alpha | -26.15 |
| Beta | 0.492 |
| Volatility | 29.14% |
| Current Volume | 5.2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 0.4k |
| Stop Loss | 876.5 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | -3.75 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (-37.05b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.74b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.87pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -17.53% (prev -15.98%; Δ -1.55pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 11.11b > Net Income -37.05b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (24.48b) to EBITDA (22.41b) ratio: 1.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.57 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (132.1m) change vs 12m ago NaN% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.19% (prev 45.36%; Δ -0.17pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 99.80% (prev 95.29%; Δ 4.50pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 9.34 (EBITDA TTM 22.41b / Interest Expense TTM 1.75b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.89
| (A) -0.17 = (Total Current Assets 26.35b - Total Current Liabilities 46.05b) / Total Assets 113.33b |
| (B) 0.23 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 25.58b / Total Assets 113.33b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 16.31b / Avg Total Assets 112.58b |
| (D) 0.31 = Book Value of Equity 25.58b / Total Liabilities 82.72b |
| Total Rating: 0.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.47
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.83% = 2.41 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.68% = 1.42 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.30 = 1.71 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.61 = 0.76 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 15.02% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE -157.1% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -2.71% = -0.14 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -16.37% = -2.50 |
| 10. EPS Trend -18.23% = -0.46 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -14.01% = -1.75 |
What is the price of CARL-A shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.37%, over one month by -0.22%, over three months by -8.48% and over the past year by -15.66%.
Is Carlsberg a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CARL-A is around 852.31 DKK . This means that CARL-A is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.93%.
Is CARL-A a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the CARL-A price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 931.2 | 2.8% |
CARL-A Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap DKK = 107.71b (107.71b DKK * 1.0 DKK.DKK)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 11.54b DKK (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 18.3443
P/E Forward = 16.0256
P/S = 1.3125
P/B = 4.8881
P/EG = 2.6417
Beta = 0.597
Revenue TTM = 112.35b DKK
EBIT TTM = 16.31b DKK
EBITDA TTM = 22.41b DKK
Long Term Debt = 25.72b DKK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.29b DKK (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 36.02b DKK (Calculated: Short Term 10.29b + Long Term 25.72b)
Net Debt = 24.48b DKK (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 132.19b DKK (107.71b + Debt 36.02b - CCE 11.54b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.34 (Ebit TTM 16.31b / Interest Expense TTM 1.75b)
FCF Yield = 4.83% (FCF TTM 6.38b / Enterprise Value 132.19b)
FCF Margin = 5.68% (FCF TTM 6.38b / Revenue TTM 112.35b)
Net Margin = -32.98% (Net Income TTM -37.05b / Revenue TTM 112.35b)
Gross Margin = 45.19% ((Revenue TTM 112.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 61.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.17 (Enterprise Value 132.19b / Book Value Of Equity 25.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.91% (Interest Expense 689.0m / Debt 36.02b)
Taxrate = 21.23% (from quarterly Income Tax Expense: 599.5m / 2.82b)
NOPAT = 12.85b (EBIT 16.31b * (1 - 21.23%))
Current Ratio = 0.57 (Total Current Assets 26.35b / Total Current Liabilities 46.05b)
Debt / Equity = 1.30 (Debt 36.02b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 27.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.61 (Net Debt 24.48b / EBITDA 22.41b)
Debt / FCF = 5.64 (Debt 36.02b / FCF TTM 6.38b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.58b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -32.69% (Net Income -37.05b, Total Assets 113.33b )
RoE = -157.1% (Net Income TTM -37.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.58b)
RoCE = 33.09% (Ebit 16.31b / (Equity 23.58b + L.T.Debt 25.72b))
RoIC = 21.27% (NOPAT 12.85b / Invested Capital 60.42b)
WACC = 6.25% (E(107.71b)/V(143.73b) * Re(7.83%)) + (D(36.02b)/V(143.73b) * Rd(1.91%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.82%
Discount Rate = 7.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.15% ; FCFE base≈9.42b ; Y1≈10.80b ; Y5≈15.06b
Fair Price DCF = 7724 (DCF Value 260.29b / Shares Outstanding 33.7m; 5y FCF grow 17.13% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -2.71 | Revenue CAGR: -16.37%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -8.95
EPS Correlation: -18.23 | EPS CAGR: -14.01%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 30.18