NOVO-B Stock Analysis: Novo Nordisk | CO

Drug Manufacturers - General | CO, Denmark | Market Cap: 1.097.051m DKK | 12M Return: -29.6% | DK0062498333 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Insulin Therapy, Obesity Treatment, Hormone Replacement, Rare Disease
Total Rating 51
Safety 76
Buy Signal -0.65
Drug Manufacturers - General
Industry Rotation: -1.0
Market Cap: 164B
Avg Turnover: 1.42B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility40.1%
VaR 5th Pctl6.62%
VaR vs Median0.37%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.58
Rel. Str. IBD12.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group19.3
Character TTM
Beta0.465
Beta Downside0.949
Hurst Exponent0.478
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD76.75%
CAGR/Max DD-0.32
CAGR/Mean DD-0.61
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NOVO-B over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2.64, "2021-12": 2.38, "2022-03": 3.11, "2022-06": 2.93, "2022-09": 3.17, "2022-12": 3.01, "2023-03": 4.39, "2023-06": 4.32, "2023-09": 5, "2023-12": 4.91, "2024-03": 5.68, "2024-06": 4.49, "2024-09": 6.12, "2024-12": 6.34, "2025-03": 6.53, "2025-06": 5.96, "2025-09": 4.5, "2025-12": 6.04, "2026-03": 6.63, "2026-06": 6.18,
EPS CAGR: 11.71%
EPS Trend: 85.3%
Last SUE: 2.09
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of NOVO-B over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 35622, 2021-12: 38333, 2022-03: 42031, 2022-06: 41265, 2022-09: 45566, 2022-12: 48092, 2023-03: 53367, 2023-06: 54300, 2023-09: 58731, 2023-12: 65863, 2024-03: 65349, 2024-06: 68060, 2024-09: 71311, 2024-12: 85683, 2025-03: 78087, 2025-06: 76857, 2025-09: 74976, 2025-12: 79144, 2026-03: 96823, 2026-06: 78488,
Rev. CAGR: 16.54%
Rev. Trend: 96.1%
Last SUE: 0.76
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.5% 17
Feb -0.2% 7
Mar +1.8% 22
Apr +1.0% 5
May +1.4% 18
Jun -0.0% 7
Jul -2.0% 20
Aug +0.2% 7
Sep -3.4% 45
Oct -2.0% 0
Nov +1.1% 23
Dec +0.0% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NOVO-B Novo Nordisk

Novo Nordisk A/S is a Danish pharmaceutical company founded in 1923 and headquartered in Bagsvaerd, Denmark, with a large market capitalization of approximately $168 billion. The company operates through two primary segments: Obesity and Diabetes Care, and Rare Disease. Its portfolio includes diabetes and obesity treatments such as GLP-1 receptor agonist therapies like Wegovy, as well as smart insulin pens (NovoPen 6 and NovoPen Echo Plus), growth hormone pens, and hormone replacement therapy products. Beyond its core products, Novo Nordisk maintains a global commercial footprint spanning Europe, North America, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.

The company has pursued strategic collaborations to bolster innovation, including a partnership with Anthropic to apply artificial intelligence in drug discovery and software development, and an agreement with Orbis Medicines to develop oral macrocycle therapeutics for cardiometabolic diseases. As a major player in the biotechnology sub-industry within the global health care sector, Novo Nordisk is a leading producer of insulin and GLP-1-based therapies, which represent a rapidly growing segment of the pharmaceutical market driven by rising rates of diabetes and obesity worldwide.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Wegovy and Ozempic sales surge fuel obesity segment growth
  • Eli Lillys Zepbound intensifies GLP-1 market competition
  • US Medicare drug price negotiations threaten pricing power
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 116b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.63 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -9.22% < 20% (prev -14.37%; Δ 5.14% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 133b > Net Income 116b
Net Debt (104b) to EBITDA (173b): 0.60 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.44b) vs 12m ago -0.25% < -2%
Gross Margin: 80.65% > 18% (prev 83.95%; Δ -3.30% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 61.17% > 50% (prev 64.70%; Δ -3.53% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.18 > 6 (EBIT TTM 150b / Interest Expense TTM 18.4b)
Altman Z'' 3.39
A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 209b - Total Current Liabilities 239b) / Total Assets 595b
B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 224b / Total Assets 595b)
C: 0.28 (EBIT TTM 150b / Avg Total Assets 539b)
D: 0.59 (Book Value of Equity 221b / Total Liabilities 374b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.39 = A
Beneish M -2.85
DSRI: 1.20 (Receivables 109b/85.8b, Revenue 329b/312b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 83.95% / 80.65%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.29)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 329b / 312b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 116b - CFO 133b) / TA 595b)
Beneish M = -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NOVO-B shares?

As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at DKK 255.25 with a total of 5,041,888 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.61%, over one month by -11.65%, over three months by -19.26% and over the past year by -29.55%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 238.90 (which is 6.4% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).

Is NOVO-B a buy, sell or hold?

Novo Nordisk has no consensus analysts rating.

Novo Nordisk (NOVO-B) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 164b (1097b DKK * 0.1498 DKK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.4828
P/E Forward = 12.0048
P/S = 3.3301
P/B = 5.035
P/EG = 4.3787
Revenue TTM = 329b DKK
EBIT TTM = 150b DKK
EBITDA TTM = 173b DKK
Long Term Debt = 122b DKK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 18.3b DKK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 149b DKK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 8.57b
Net Debt = 104b DKK (calculated: Debt 149b - CCE 45.0b)
Enterprise Value = 1201b DKK (1097b + Debt 149b - CCE 45.0b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.18 (Ebit TTM 150b / Interest Expense TTM 18.4b)
EV/FCF = 24.55x (Enterprise Value 1201b / FCF TTM 48.9b)
FCF Yield = 4.07% (FCF TTM 48.9b / Enterprise Value 1201b)
FCF Margin = 14.85% (FCF TTM 48.9b / Revenue TTM 329b)
Net Margin = 35.35% (Net Income TTM 116b / Revenue TTM 329b)
Gross Margin = 80.65% ((Revenue TTM 329b - Cost of Revenue TTM 63.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.21% (prev 85.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.02 (Enterprise Value 1201b / Total Assets 595b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.36% (Interest Expense 18.4b / Debt 149b)
Taxrate = 21.72% (32.3b / 149b)
NOPAT = 118b (EBIT 150b * (1 - 21.72%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 209b / Total Current Liabilities 239b)
Debt / Equity = 0.67 (Debt 149b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 221b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.60 (Net Debt 104b / EBITDA 173b)
Debt / FCF = 2.12 (Net Debt 104b / FCF TTM 48.9b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 197b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.62% (Net Income 116b / Total Assets 595b)
RoE = 59.09% (Net Income TTM 116b / Total Stockholder Equity 197b)
RoCE = 47.16% (EBIT 150b / Capital Employed (Equity 197b + L.T.Debt 122b))
RoIC = 32.91% (NOPAT 118b / Invested Capital 358b)
WACC = 7.87% (E(1097b)/V(1246b) * Re(7.62%) + D(149b)/V(1246b) * Rd(12.36%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.98 | Cagr: -0.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈54.1b ; Y1≈47.5b ; Y5≈38.4b
[DCF] Fair Price = 153.3 (EV 616b - Net Debt 104b = Equity 512b / Shares 3.34b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 85.33 | EPS CAGR: 11.71% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 96.08 | Revenue CAGR: 16.54% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.95 | Chg30d=-0.94% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.68 | Chg30d=+1.29% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=-5.9% | GrowthRev=-2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.89 | Chg30d=+0.22% | Revisions=-18% | GrowthEPS=+1.0% | GrowthRev=+1.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +10% (up=10, down=8)