NOVO-B Stock Analysis: Novo Nordisk | CO

Drug Manufacturers - General | CO, Denmark | Market Cap: 1.304.733m DKK | 12M Return: -14.6% | DK0062498333 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Insulin Therapy, Obesity Treatment, Rare Disease, Hormone Replacement
Total Rating 55
Safety 78
Buy Signal 0.21
Drug Manufacturers - General
Industry Rotation: +3.5
Market Cap: 204B
Avg Turnover: 1.28B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.2%
VaR 5th Pctl6.84%
VaR vs Median0.63%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.05
Rel. Str. IBD40.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group18.3
Character TTM
Beta0.476
Beta Downside0.902
Hurst Exponent0.455
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD76.75%
CAGR/Max DD-0.27
CAGR/Mean DD-0.55
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NOVO-B over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 2.63, "2021-09": 2.64, "2021-12": 2.38, "2022-03": 3.11, "2022-06": 2.93, "2022-09": 3.17, "2022-12": 3.01, "2023-03": 4.39, "2023-06": 4.32, "2023-09": 5, "2023-12": 4.91, "2024-03": 5.68, "2024-06": 4.49, "2024-09": 6.12, "2024-12": 6.34, "2025-03": 6.53, "2025-06": 5.96, "2025-09": 4.5, "2025-12": 6.04, "2026-03": 6.63, "2026-06": 6.18,
EPS CAGR: 11.71%
EPS Trend: 85.3%
Last SUE: 2.09
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of NOVO-B over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 33041, 2021-09: 35622, 2021-12: 38333, 2022-03: 42031, 2022-06: 41265, 2022-09: 45566, 2022-12: 48092, 2023-03: 53367, 2023-06: 54300, 2023-09: 58731, 2023-12: 65863, 2024-03: 65349, 2024-06: 68060, 2024-09: 71311, 2024-12: 85683, 2025-03: 78087, 2025-06: 76857, 2025-09: 74976, 2025-12: 79144, 2026-03: 96823, 2026-06: 78488,
Rev. CAGR: 16.54%
Rev. Trend: 96.1%
Last SUE: 0.76
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.5% 17
Feb -0.2% 7
Mar +1.8% 22
Apr +1.0% 5
May +1.4% 18
Jun -0.0% 7
Jul -2.0% 20
Aug +2.3% 17
Sep -3.4% 45
Oct -2.0% 0
Nov +1.1% 23
Dec +0.0% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NOVO-B Novo Nordisk

Novo Nordisk A/S is a Danish pharmaceutical company founded in 1923 and headquartered in Bagsvaerd, Denmark. It operates through two business segments: Obesity and Diabetes Care, which focuses on diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular, and emerging therapy areas; and Rare Disease, which addresses rare blood disorders, rare endocrine disorders, and hormone replacement therapy.

The companys product portfolio includes smart insulin pens (NovoPen 6 and NovoPen Echo Plus), the Dose Check insulin dose guidance application, growth hormone pens, injection needles, and Wegovy, an oral GLP-1 receptor agonist therapy for weight management. Novo Nordisk distributes its products globally across Europe, North America, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.

As a large-cap biotechnology company in the healthcare sector, Novo Nordisks business model is centered on the research, development, manufacture, and distribution of prescription pharmaceuticals, with revenue heavily dependent on patented therapies in the GLP-1 drug class and rare disease treatments. The pharmaceutical industry is characterized by high R&D investment, long product development cycles, and reliance on regulatory approvals and intellectual property protection.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Wegovy and Ozempic demand drives obesity segment growth
  • Eli Lilly Zepbound competition pressures GLP-1 market share
  • US Medicare pricing negotiations threaten diabetes margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 116b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.63 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -9.22% < 20% (prev -14.37%; Δ 5.14% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 133b > Net Income 116b
Net Debt (104b) to EBITDA (173b): 0.60 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.44b) vs 12m ago -0.25% < -2%
Gross Margin: 80.65% > 18% (prev 83.95%; Δ -3.30% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 61.17% > 50% (prev 64.70%; Δ -3.53% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.18 > 6 (EBIT TTM 150b / Interest Expense TTM 18.4b)
Altman Z'' 3.39
A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 209b - Total Current Liabilities 239b) / Total Assets 595b
B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 224b / Total Assets 595b)
C: 0.28 (EBIT TTM 150b / Avg Total Assets 539b)
D: 0.59 (Book Value of Equity 221b / Total Liabilities 374b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.39 = A
Beneish M -2.85
DSRI: 1.20 (Receivables 109b/85.8b, Revenue 329b/312b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 83.95% / 80.65%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.29)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 329b / 312b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 116b - CFO 133b) / TA 595b)
Beneish M = -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NOVO-B shares?

As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at DKK 299.25 with a total of 3,241,705 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.34%, over one month by -5.47%, over three months by +5.45% and over the past year by -14.64%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 287.00 (which is 4.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is NOVO-B a buy, sell or hold?

Novo Nordisk has no consensus analysts rating.

Novo Nordisk (NOVO-B) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 204b (1305b DKK * 0.1563 DKK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.2357
P/E Forward = 13.624
P/S = 3.9606
P/B = 5.9843
P/EG = 3.16
Revenue TTM = 329b DKK
EBIT TTM = 150b DKK
EBITDA TTM = 173b DKK
Long Term Debt = 122b DKK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 18.3b DKK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 149b DKK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 8.57b
Net Debt = 104b DKK (calculated: Debt 149b - CCE 45.0b)
Enterprise Value = 1408b DKK (1305b + Debt 149b - CCE 45.0b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.18 (Ebit TTM 150b / Interest Expense TTM 18.4b)
EV/FCF = 28.79x (Enterprise Value 1408b / FCF TTM 48.9b)
FCF Yield = 3.47% (FCF TTM 48.9b / Enterprise Value 1408b)
FCF Margin = 14.85% (FCF TTM 48.9b / Revenue TTM 329b)
Net Margin = 35.35% (Net Income TTM 116b / Revenue TTM 329b)
Gross Margin = 80.65% ((Revenue TTM 329b - Cost of Revenue TTM 63.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.21% (prev 85.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.37 (Enterprise Value 1408b / Total Assets 595b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.36% (Interest Expense 18.4b / Debt 149b)
Taxrate = 21.72% (32.3b / 149b)
NOPAT = 118b (EBIT 150b * (1 - 21.72%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 209b / Total Current Liabilities 239b)
Debt / Equity = 0.67 (Debt 149b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 221b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.60 (Net Debt 104b / EBITDA 173b)
Debt / FCF = 2.12 (Net Debt 104b / FCF TTM 48.9b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 197b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.62% (Net Income 116b / Total Assets 595b)
RoE = 59.09% (Net Income TTM 116b / Total Stockholder Equity 197b)
RoCE = 47.16% (EBIT 150b / Capital Employed (Equity 197b + L.T.Debt 122b))
RoIC = 32.91% (NOPAT 118b / Invested Capital 358b)
WACC = 7.87% (E(1305b)/V(1453b) * Re(7.66%) + D(149b)/V(1453b) * Rd(12.36%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.98 | Cagr: -0.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈54.1b ; Y1≈47.5b ; Y5≈38.4b
[DCF] Fair Price = 153.0 (EV 616b - Net Debt 104b = Equity 512b / Shares 3.35b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 85.33 | EPS CAGR: 11.71% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 96.08 | Revenue CAGR: 16.54% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.01 | Chg30d=+2.61% | Revisions=+57% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.37 | Chg30d=+1.87% | Revisions=+35% | GrowthEPS=-7.2% | GrowthRev=-3.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.91 | Chg30d=+1.93% | Revisions=+71% | GrowthEPS=+2.6% | GrowthRev=+1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +63% (up=27, down=5)