METSO Stock Analysis: Metso | HE
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | HE, Finland | Market Cap: 14.492m EUR | 12M Return: 64.5% | FI0009014575 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 15.8M
EPS Trend: -60.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -36.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Metso Oyj is a Finland-based industrial company headquartered in Espoo that supplies technologies, end-to-end solutions, and services to the aggregates, minerals processing, and metals refining industries on a global basis. It operates through two reporting segments, Aggregates and Minerals, and offers a broad portfolio spanning mobile and stationary equipment such as crushers, screens, conveyors, feeders, and air classifiers, along with specialized processing technologies including grinding, flotation, magnetic separation, filtration, and hydrometallurgy. Beyond original equipment, the company generates revenue from spare and wear parts (for example, crusher liners, mill liners, screening media, and slurry pump parts) and from lifecycle services covering maintenance, repairs, modernizations, process optimization, and training. The company was incorporated in 1990 and was previously named Metso Outotec Oyj before rebranding.
Metso sits within the heavy machinery and mining-equipment value chain, supplying capital goods and aftermarket support to commodity producers and construction aggregates operations; its business model pairs project-driven equipment sales with a substantial installed-base services stream from wear parts and maintenance contracts, which typically provides more stable recurring revenue. The stock trades on the Helsinki exchange under the ticker METSO and is classified within the GICS Industrials sector, specifically the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry.
- Mining capex cycle lifts minerals processing equipment orders
- Aftermarket services revenue grows on installed base expansion
- Energy transition metals demand drives minerals segment growth
| Net Income: 495.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.66 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 22.27% < 20% (prev 28.62%; Δ -6.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 627.0m > Net Income 495.0m |
| Net Debt (1.34b) to EBITDA (951.0m): 1.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.39 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (853.3m) vs 12m ago 11.91% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 32.98% > 18% (prev 32.32%; Δ 0.67% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 73.26% > 50% (prev 66.63%; Δ 6.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.67 > 6 (EBIT TTM 759.0m / Interest Expense TTM 99.0m) |
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 4.23b - Total Current Liabilities 3.04b) / Total Assets 7.39b |
| B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 1.57b / Total Assets 7.39b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 759.0m / Avg Total Assets 7.31b) |
| D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 2.60b / Total Liabilities 4.78b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.02 = A |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 1.63b/1.60b, Revenue 5.36b/4.82b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 32.32% / 32.98%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 5.36b / 4.82b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 495.0m - CFO 627.0m) / TA 7.39b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 17.84 with a total of 1,128,375 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.25%, over one month by +5.81%, over three months by +11.08% and over the past year by +64.45%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 17.10 (which is 4.1% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Metso has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 29.1667
P/E Forward = 23.9808
P/S = 2.7047
P/B = 5.5631
P/EG = 1.5269
Revenue TTM = 5.36b EUR
EBIT TTM = 759.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 951.0m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.31b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 214.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.72b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 121.0m
Net Debt = 1.34b EUR (calculated: Debt 1.72b - CCE 383.0m)
Enterprise Value = 15.8b EUR (14.5b + Debt 1.72b - CCE 383.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.67 (Ebit TTM 759.0m / Interest Expense TTM 99.0m)
EV/FCF = 34.71x (Enterprise Value 15.8b / FCF TTM 456.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.88% (FCF TTM 456.0m / Enterprise Value 15.8b)
FCF Margin = 8.51% (FCF TTM 456.0m / Revenue TTM 5.36b)
Net Margin = 9.24% (Net Income TTM 495.0m / Revenue TTM 5.36b)
Gross Margin = 32.98% ((Revenue TTM 5.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.36% (prev 34.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.14 (Enterprise Value 15.8b / Total Assets 7.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.75% (Interest Expense 99.0m / Debt 1.72b)
Taxrate = 23.14% (152.0m / 657.0m)
NOPAT = 583.4m (EBIT 759.0m * (1 - 23.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 4.23b / Total Current Liabilities 3.04b)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 1.72b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.41 (Net Debt 1.34b / EBITDA 951.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.93 (Net Debt 1.34b / FCF TTM 456.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.77% (Net Income 495.0m / Total Assets 7.39b)
RoE = 18.64% (Net Income TTM 495.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.66b)
RoCE = 19.15% (EBIT 759.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.66b + L.T.Debt 1.31b))
RoIC = 13.55% (NOPAT 583.4m / Invested Capital 4.30b)
WACC = 9.65% (E(14.5b)/V(16.2b) * Re(10.27%) + D(1.72b)/V(16.2b) * Rd(5.75%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 2.98 | Cagr: 1.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.88% ; FCFF base≈404.0m ; Y1≈463.1m ; Y5≈681.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 8.46 (EV 8.34b - Net Debt 1.34b = Equity 7.01b / Shares 828.1m; r=9.65% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -60.59 | EPS CAGR: -6.86% | SUE: -0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -36.55 | Revenue CAGR: -2.20% | SUE: -0.45 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=-0.29% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=-0.49% | Revisions=+19% | GrowthEPS=+40.7% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.86 | Chg30d=+0.41% | Revisions=+31% | GrowthEPS=+17.2% | GrowthRev=+9.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +18% (up=18, down=12)