OUT1V Stock Analysis: Outokumpu | HE
Steel | HE, Finland | Market Cap: 2.541m EUR | 12M Return: 66.3% | FI0009002422 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 5.43M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -93.3%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Outokumpu Oyj is a Finnish stainless-steel producer founded in 1910 and headquartered in Helsinki, with operations across Europe, the Americas, and Asia-Pacific. The company runs four segments-Europe, the Americas, Ferrochrome, and Other operations-and offers a broad portfolio including cold and hot rolled coils, strips, sheets and plates, quarto plates, precision strips, structural components (such as welded I-beams, hollow-section tubes, and bent profiles), stainless-steel powders, and nickel-based alloys.
Its products serve a wide range of end markets, including commercial kitchens and home appliances, food processing, automotive and transportation, building and infrastructure, energy, marine, and heavy industries. Beyond manufacturing, Outokumpu provides value-added services such as cutting, polishing, brushing, welding, machining, and plate bending.
As a GICS-classified Materials-sector steel company, Outokumpu operates in the stainless-steel value chain, which is more specialized than carbon steel and is characterized by higher corrosion resistance and alloy content. The inclusion of a dedicated Ferrochrome segment reflects vertical integration, since ferrochrome is a key input alloy in stainless-steel production, helping the company manage raw-material supply and cost volatility in a cyclical industry tied to construction, industrial, and consumer-durable demand.
- Nickel and ferrochrome price swings drive stainless steel margins
- European construction and automotive demand supports Europe segment volumes
- Americas price actions and capacity utilization lift segment profitability
| Net Income: -81.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.72% < 20% (prev 16.80%; Δ 0.92% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 207.0m > Net Income -81.0m |
| Net Debt (423.0m) to EBITDA (171.0m): 2.47 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.53 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (471.4m) vs 12m ago 8.53% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 4.72% > 18% (prev 3.78%; Δ 0.94% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 93.18% > 50% (prev 102.9%; Δ -9.68% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.96 > 6 (EBIT TTM -49.0m / Interest Expense TTM 51.0m) |
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 2.81b - Total Current Liabilities 1.83b) / Total Assets 6.02b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 215.0m / Total Assets 6.02b) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -49.0m / Avg Total Assets 5.89b) |
| D: 1.33 (Book Value of Equity 3.43b / Total Liabilities 2.59b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.51 = A |
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 632.0m/615.0m, Revenue 5.49b/5.93b) |
| GMI: 0.80 (GM 3.78% / 4.72%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 0.93 (Revenue 5.49b / 5.93b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -81.0m - CFO 207.0m) / TA 6.02b) |
| Beneish M = -3.19 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 27, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 5.69 with a total of 896,116 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.36%, over one month by -1.13%, over three months by -6.19% and over the past year by +66.33%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.10 (which is 10.4% or 3 ATR below the current price).
Outokumpu has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Forward = 7.9114
P/S = 0.4627
P/B = 0.7407
P/EG = 2.1771
Revenue TTM = 5.49b EUR
EBIT TTM = -49.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 171.0m EUR
Long Term Debt = 363.0m EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 86.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 793.0m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 199.0m
Net Debt = 423.0m EUR (calculated: Debt 793.0m - CCE 370.0m)
Enterprise Value = 2.96b EUR (2.54b + Debt 793.0m - CCE 370.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.96 (Ebit TTM -49.0m / Interest Expense TTM 51.0m)
EV/FCF = 47.04x (Enterprise Value 2.96b / FCF TTM 63.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.13% (FCF TTM 63.0m / Enterprise Value 2.96b)
FCF Margin = 1.15% (FCF TTM 63.0m / Revenue TTM 5.49b)
Net Margin = -1.48% (Net Income TTM -81.0m / Revenue TTM 5.49b)
Gross Margin = 4.72% ((Revenue TTM 5.49b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.65% (prev 5.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.49 (Enterprise Value 2.96b / Total Assets 6.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.43% (Interest Expense 51.0m / Debt 793.0m)
Taxrate = 21.88% (7.00m / 32.0m)
NOPAT = -38.3m (EBIT -49.0m * (1 - 21.88%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 2.81b / Total Current Liabilities 1.83b)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 793.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.47 (Net Debt 423.0m / EBITDA 171.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.71 (Net Debt 423.0m / FCF TTM 63.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.37% (Net Income -81.0m / Total Assets 6.02b)
RoE = -2.37% (Net Income TTM -81.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.42b)
RoCE = -1.29% (EBIT -49.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.42b + L.T.Debt 363.0m))
RoIC = -0.96% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -38.3m / Invested Capital 4.00b)
WACC = 7.93% (E(2.54b)/V(3.33b) * Re(8.84%) + D(793.0m)/V(3.33b) * Rd(6.43%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 87.87 | Cagr: 4.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈52.6m ; Y1≈60.3m ; Y5≈88.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.94 (EV 1.34b - Net Debt 423.0m = Equity 912.4m / Shares 471.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -93.29 | Revenue CAGR: -9.30% | SUE: -0.89 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-30.56% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=-25.04% | Revisions=-67% | GrowthEPS=+217.7% | GrowthRev=+12.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=-7.97% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+154.3% | GrowthRev=+8.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -59% (up=2, down=12)