FER Stock Analysis: Ferrovial S.A. | MC

Engineering & Construction | MC, Spain | Market Cap: 32.821m EUR | 12M Return: -13% | NL0015001FS8 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Toll Roads, Airports, Construction, Energy
Total Rating 42
Safety 62
Buy Signal -1.29
Engineering & Construction
Industry Rotation: +4.5
Market Cap: 36.9B
Avg Turnover: 50.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility24.0%
VaR 5th Pctl4.27%
VaR vs Median8.11%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.72
Rel. Str. IBD9.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group27.2
Character TTM
Beta0.614
Beta Downside0.421
Hurst Exponent0.584
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.18%
CAGR/Max DD0.62
CAGR/Mean DD4.27
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FER over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.11, "2021-12": 0.18, "2022-03": -0.02, "2022-06": 0.15, "2022-09": 0.078, "2022-12": 0.08, "2023-03": -0.01, "2023-06": 0.11, "2023-09": 0, "2023-12": 0, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": 0.93, "2025-03": null, "2025-06": null, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": null, "2026-06": 0.36,
Last SUE: 0.58
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FER over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1842, 2021-12: 1971, 2022-03: 1767, 2022-06: 3534, 2022-09: 1981, 2022-12: 4017, 2023-03: 1970, 2023-06: 3940, 2023-09: 2281, 2023-12: 4574, 2024-03: 2133.5, 2024-06: 4267, 2024-09: 2440, 2024-12: 4880, 2025-03: 2234.5, 2025-06: 4469, 2025-12: 5158, 2026-03: 2098, 2026-06: 4701,
Rev. CAGR: 10.59%
Rev. Trend: 88.0%
Last SUE: 2.43
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Fakeout
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.5% 17
Feb -2.7% 8
Mar +1.1% 5
Apr +1.6% 51
May +1.7% 17
Jun -1.5% 22
Jul +0.3% 7
Aug +0.7% 5
Sep -2.2% 28
Oct -0.9% 11
Nov +3.3% 19
Dec -0.1% 10

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FER Ferrovial S.A.

Ferrovial N.V. (FER) is a Dutch-headquartered infrastructure company founded in 1952 and based in Amsterdam, operating across the United States, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. Its business is organized into four segments: Construction, Highways, Airports, and Energy. The company develops, finances, and operates toll road concessions, designs and builds public and private infrastructure projects, invests in and manages airports, and is active in energy transmission, renewable generation, energy efficiency services, and waste management.

As a major player in the Construction & Engineering sub-industry, Ferrovial typically relies on long-term concession agreements and public-private partnerships (PPPs) to monetize transportation infrastructure assets such as toll roads and airports, generating recurring revenue through usage fees and long-duration contracts alongside its project-based construction work.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • US toll road traffic volume drives Highway segment revenue growth
  • Energy segment expands through renewable infrastructure project wins
  • Construction backlog grows on US public infrastructure spending
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 888.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.16 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.84% < 20% (prev -2.45%; Δ 9.29% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 2.76b > Net Income 888.0m
Net Debt (7.13b) to EBITDA (2.60b): 2.74 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.20 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (720.6m) vs 12m ago -0.20% < -2%
Gross Margin: 55.97% > 18% (prev 35.94%; Δ 20.02% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 61.08% > 50% (prev 52.03%; Δ 9.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.11b / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.41
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 6.81b - Total Current Liabilities 5.69b) / Total Assets 27.2b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 2.61b / Total Assets 27.2b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 2.11b / Avg Total Assets 26.9b)
D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 5.72b / Total Liabilities 19.8b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.41 = BB
Beneish M -3.35
DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 2.31b/2.19b, Revenue 16.4b/13.8b)
GMI: 0.64 (GM 35.94% / 55.97%)
AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.70 / AQ_t-1 0.75)
SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 16.4b / 13.8b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 888.0m - CFO 2.76b) / TA 27.2b)
Beneish M = -3.35 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of FER shares?

As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 44.30 with a total of 1,373,760 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.75%, over one month by -11.40%, over three months by -21.43% and over the past year by -12.97%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 42.70 (which is 3.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is FER a buy, sell or hold?

Ferrovial S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

Ferrovial S.A. (FER) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 36.9b (32.8b EUR * 1.1253 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 29.218
P/E Forward = 42.9185
P/S = 3.3291
P/B = 6.0947
P/EG = 10.1342
Revenue TTM = 16.4b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.11b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.60b EUR
Long Term Debt = 10.0b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 381.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.0b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 333.0m
Net Debt = 7.13b EUR (calculated: Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.86b)
Enterprise Value = 39.9b EUR (32.8b + Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.82 (Ebit TTM 2.11b / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m)
EV/FCF = 18.05x (Enterprise Value 39.9b / FCF TTM 2.21b)
FCF Yield = 5.54% (FCF TTM 2.21b / Enterprise Value 39.9b)
FCF Margin = 13.48% (FCF TTM 2.21b / Revenue TTM 16.4b)
Net Margin = 5.41% (Net Income TTM 888.0m / Revenue TTM 16.4b)
Gross Margin = 55.97% ((Revenue TTM 16.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.44% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.47 (Enterprise Value 39.9b / Total Assets 27.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.99% (Interest Expense 438.0m / Debt 11.0b)
Taxrate = 10.68% (47.0m / 440.0m)
NOPAT = 1.89b (EBIT 2.11b * (1 - 10.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.20 (Total Current Assets 6.81b / Total Current Liabilities 5.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.92 (Debt 11.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.72b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.74 (Net Debt 7.13b / EBITDA 2.60b)
Debt / FCF = 3.22 (Net Debt 7.13b / FCF TTM 2.21b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.30% (Net Income 888.0m / Total Assets 27.2b)
RoE = 15.16% (Net Income TTM 888.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.86b)
RoCE = 13.29% (EBIT 2.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.86b + L.T.Debt 10.0b))
RoIC = 8.94% (NOPAT 1.89b / Invested Capital 21.1b)
WACC = 6.99% (E(32.8b)/V(43.8b) * Re(8.14%) + D(11.0b)/V(43.8b) * Rd(3.99%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 8.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 48.89 | Cagr: 1.52%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.86b ; Y1≈2.13b ; Y5≈3.13b
[DCF] Fair Price = 55.57 (EV 47.1b - Net Debt 7.13b = Equity 40.0b / Shares 720.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.01 | Revenue CAGR: 10.59% | SUE: 2.43 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=-2.95% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+1.9% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.15 | Chg30d=-1.92% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+18.8% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -73% (up=0, down=8)