FER Stock Analysis: Ferrovial S.A. | MC

Engineering & Construction | MC, Spain | Market Cap: 38.750m EUR | 12M Return: 15.9% | NL0015001FS8 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Highways, Airports, Construction, Energy Infrastructure
Total Rating 46
Safety 62
Buy Signal -0.74
Engineering & Construction
Industry Rotation: +3.5
Market Cap: 45.3B
Avg Turnover: 37.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility22.0%
VaR 5th Pctl3.89%
VaR vs Median7.69%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.61
Rel. Str. IBD16.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group24.4
Character TTM
Beta0.601
Beta Downside0.371
Hurst Exponent0.589
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD15.39%
CAGR/Max DD1.60
CAGR/Mean DD7.04
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FER over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.13, "2021-09": 0.11, "2021-12": 0.18, "2022-03": -0.02, "2022-06": 0.15, "2022-09": 0.078, "2022-12": 0.08, "2023-03": -0.01, "2023-06": 0.11, "2023-09": 0, "2023-12": 0, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": 0.93, "2025-03": null, "2025-06": null, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": null, "2026-06": 0.36,
Last SUE: 0.58
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FER over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1600, 2021-09: 1842, 2021-12: 1971, 2022-03: 1767, 2022-06: 3534, 2022-09: 1981, 2022-12: 4017, 2023-03: 1970, 2023-06: 3940, 2023-09: 2281, 2023-12: 4574, 2024-03: 2133.5, 2024-06: 4267, 2024-09: 2440, 2024-12: 4880, 2025-03: 2234.5, 2025-06: 4469, 2025-12: 5158, 2026-03: 2098, 2026-06: 4701,
Rev. CAGR: 10.59%
Rev. Trend: 88.0%
Last SUE: 2.43
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.5% 17
Feb -2.7% 8
Mar +1.1% 5
Apr +1.6% 51
May +1.4% 17
Jun -1.5% 22
Jul +0.4% 8
Aug +0.9% 11
Sep -2.2% 28
Oct -0.8% 11
Nov +3.2% 19
Dec +0.1% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FER Ferrovial S.A.

Ferrovial is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company founded in 1952 and headquartered in Amsterdam, operating across the United States, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. It is organized into four business segments: Construction, Highways, Airports, and Energy.

The company develops, finances, and operates toll road infrastructure and airports, while also carrying out public and private construction works. Through its Energy segment, Ferrovial is involved in energy transmission and renewable generation infrastructure, energy efficiency services, and the operation of waste management plants.

Sector context: As a Construction & Engineering company, Ferrovials business model relies heavily on long-term public-private partnership (PPP) concessions for transportation assets such as toll roads and airports, where revenue is generated over multi-decade contract periods, complemented by a project-based construction backlog.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • U.S. toll road traffic growth lifts Highways segment EBITDA margins
  • Federal infrastructure spending expands Construction backlog and new awards
  • Energy segment scales with renewable transmission infrastructure project wins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 888.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.16 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.84% < 20% (prev -2.45%; Δ 9.29% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 2.76b > Net Income 888.0m
Net Debt (7.13b) to EBITDA (2.15b): 3.32 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.20 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (720.6m) vs 12m ago -0.20% < -2%
Gross Margin: 55.97% > 18% (prev 35.94%; Δ 20.02% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 61.08% > 50% (prev 52.03%; Δ 9.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.78 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.30
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 6.81b - Total Current Liabilities 5.69b) / Total Assets 27.2b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 2.61b / Total Assets 27.2b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Avg Total Assets 26.9b)
D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 5.72b / Total Liabilities 19.8b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.30 = BB
Beneish M -3.35
DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 2.31b/2.19b, Revenue 16.4b/13.8b)
GMI: 0.64 (GM 35.94% / 55.97%)
AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.70 / AQ_t-1 0.75)
SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 16.4b / 13.8b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 888.0m - CFO 2.76b) / TA 27.2b)
Beneish M = -3.35 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of FER shares?

As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 53.76 with a total of 950,237 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.14%, over one month by -3.17%, over three months by -9.83% and over the past year by +15.85%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 52.00 (which is 3.3% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is FER a buy, sell or hold?

Ferrovial S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

Ferrovial S.A. (FER) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 23 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 45.3b (38.8b EUR * 1.1683 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 64.7711
P/E Forward = 52.0833
P/S = 3.9305
P/B = 6.8843
P/EG = 4.3745
Revenue TTM = 16.4b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.66b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.15b EUR
Long Term Debt = 10.0b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 381.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.0b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 333.0m
Net Debt = 7.13b EUR (calculated: Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.86b)
Enterprise Value = 45.9b EUR (38.8b + Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.78 (Ebit TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.73x (Enterprise Value 45.9b / FCF TTM 2.21b)
FCF Yield = 4.82% (FCF TTM 2.21b / Enterprise Value 45.9b)
FCF Margin = 13.48% (FCF TTM 2.21b / Revenue TTM 16.4b)
Net Margin = 5.41% (Net Income TTM 888.0m / Revenue TTM 16.4b)
Gross Margin = 55.97% ((Revenue TTM 16.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.44% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.69 (Enterprise Value 45.9b / Total Assets 27.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.99% (Interest Expense 438.0m / Debt 11.0b)
Taxrate = 10.68% (47.0m / 440.0m)
NOPAT = 1.48b (EBIT 1.66b * (1 - 10.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.20 (Total Current Assets 6.81b / Total Current Liabilities 5.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.92 (Debt 11.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.72b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.32 (Net Debt 7.13b / EBITDA 2.15b)
Debt / FCF = 3.22 (Net Debt 7.13b / FCF TTM 2.21b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.30% (Net Income 888.0m / Total Assets 27.2b)
RoE = 15.16% (Net Income TTM 888.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.86b)
RoCE = 10.41% (EBIT 1.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.86b + L.T.Debt 10.0b))
RoIC = 7.01% (NOPAT 1.48b / Invested Capital 21.1b)
WACC = 7.10% (E(38.8b)/V(49.7b) * Re(8.10%) + D(11.0b)/V(49.7b) * Rd(3.99%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 8.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 48.89 | Cagr: 1.52%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.86b ; Y1≈2.13b ; Y5≈3.13b
[DCF] Fair Price = 55.51 (EV 47.1b - Net Debt 7.13b = Equity 40.0b / Shares 720.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.01 | Revenue CAGR: 10.59% | SUE: 2.43 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.01 | Chg30d=+3.22% | Revisions=+18% | GrowthEPS=+7.2% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+1.15% | Revisions=+8% | GrowthEPS=+17.0% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +10% (up=10, down=8)