REP Stock Analysis: Repsol S.A. | MC
Oil & Gas Integrated | MC, Spain | Market Cap: 31.707m EUR | 12M Return: 113.5% | ES0173516115 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 102M
EPS Trend: -59.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 4.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Repsol S.A. is a Spanish integrated multi-energy company founded in 1927 and headquartered in Madrid, operating across Spain, Peru, the United States, Portugal, and other international markets. The company was formerly known as Repsol YPF, S.A. before adopting its current name in May 2012, and is listed on the Madrid Stock Exchange under the ticker REP. As a large-cap energy stock, it sits within the GICS Integrated Oil & Gas sub-industry, a classification that covers firms participating across the full hydrocarbon value chain from exploration through refined product marketing.
The companys operations are organized into four main reporting segments. The Upstream segment focuses on the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas, alongside low-carbon geological solutions. The Industrial segment handles oil refining, trading, transport, and wholesale of crude oil, natural gas, and fuels, as well as activities in hydrogen, sustainable biofuels, and synthetic fuels. The Customer segment operates the gas station and mobility business and sells electricity, gas, lubricants, and fuel products including gasoline, diesel, aviation kerosene, LPG, and biofuels. The Low-Carbon Generation segment produces electricity from hydroelectric, wind, and photovoltaic sources.
Beyond these core segments, Repsol is involved in a wide range of adjacent activities, including financial services, carbon capture and pyrolysis pilot plants, hydrogen production and storage, molecular recycling facilities, petrochemical production, waste management, LNG regasification, electric vehicle charging, and customer-facing digital apps such as Waylet, Vivit, and WiBLE. The breadth of these activities reflects the broader energy transition underway in the integrated oil and gas sector, where incumbents are diversifying into renewables, low-carbon fuels, and circular economy businesses to offset declining long-term demand for traditional fossil fuels.
- Brent crude price swings drive Upstream segment cash flow
- Refining margins weaken on soft European crack spreads
- EU emissions rules accelerate low-carbon capex and hydrogen investment
| Net Income: 3.50b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.92% < 20% (prev 6.14%; Δ 8.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 5.55b > Net Income 3.50b |
| Net Debt (7.52b) to EBITDA (8.29b): 0.91 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.13b) vs 12m ago -0.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.95% > 18% (prev 17.61%; Δ 4.34% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 100.0% > 50% (prev 116.5%; Δ -16.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.19 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.88b / Interest Expense TTM 387.0m) |
| A: 0.15 (Total Current Assets 25.2b - Total Current Liabilities 16.1b) / Total Assets 62.6b |
| B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 19.2b / Total Assets 62.6b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 5.88b / Avg Total Assets 60.9b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 26.3b / Total Liabilities 33.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.42 = A |
| DSRI: 1.32 (Receivables 8.13b/6.97b, Revenue 60.9b/68.8b) |
| GMI: 0.80 (GM 17.61% / 21.95%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 60.9b / 68.8b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 3.50b - CFO 5.55b) / TA 62.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 30.09 with a total of 5,065,957 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.94%, over one month by +6.21%, over three months by +29.92% and over the past year by +113.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 27.60 (which is 8.3% or 2.8 ATR below the current price).
Repsol S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 9.6786
P/E Forward = 6.4475
P/S = 0.5833
P/B = 1.2456
P/EG = 0.4526
Revenue TTM = 60.9b EUR
EBIT TTM = 5.88b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 8.29b EUR
Long Term Debt = 8.55b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.00b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.5b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.76b
Net Debt = 7.52b EUR (calculated: Debt 15.5b - CCE 8.02b)
Enterprise Value = 39.2b EUR (31.7b + Debt 15.5b - CCE 8.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.19 (Ebit TTM 5.88b / Interest Expense TTM 387.0m)
EV/FCF = 21.56x (Enterprise Value 39.2b / FCF TTM 1.82b)
FCF Yield = 4.64% (FCF TTM 1.82b / Enterprise Value 39.2b)
FCF Margin = 2.99% (FCF TTM 1.82b / Revenue TTM 60.9b)
Net Margin = 5.74% (Net Income TTM 3.50b / Revenue TTM 60.9b)
Gross Margin = 21.95% ((Revenue TTM 60.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 47.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.71% (prev 29.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 39.2b / Total Assets 62.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.49% (Interest Expense 387.0m / Debt 15.5b)
Taxrate = 34.21% (1.92b / 5.60b)
NOPAT = 3.87b (EBIT 5.88b * (1 - 34.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 25.2b / Total Current Liabilities 16.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.59 (Debt 15.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 26.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.91 (Net Debt 7.52b / EBITDA 8.29b)
Debt / FCF = 4.13 (Net Debt 7.52b / FCF TTM 1.82b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.75% (Net Income 3.50b / Total Assets 62.6b)
RoE = 14.10% (Net Income TTM 3.50b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.8b)
RoCE = 17.63% (EBIT 5.88b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.8b + L.T.Debt 8.55b))
RoIC = 8.51% (NOPAT 3.87b / Invested Capital 45.5b)
WACC = 4.68% (E(31.7b)/V(47.2b) * Re(6.17%) + D(15.5b)/V(47.2b) * Rd(2.49%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 6.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -55.02 | Cagr: -3.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.58b ; Y1≈1.81b ; Y5≈2.67b
[DCF] Fair Price = 30.67 (EV 40.1b - Net Debt 7.52b = Equity 32.6b / Shares 1.06b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -59.62 | EPS CAGR: -13.38% | SUE: 1.77 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 4.53 | Revenue CAGR: 0.45% | SUE: -2.14 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.11 | Chg30d=+26.79% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.07 | Chg30d=+6.93% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+106.3% | GrowthRev=+36.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.79 | Chg30d=+4.74% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=-25.2% | GrowthRev=-16.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +27% (up=8, down=4)