REP Stock Analysis: Repsol S.A. | MC
Oil & Gas Integrated | MC, Spain | Market Cap: 24.562m EUR | 12M Return: 92.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 86.5M
EPS Trend: -91.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -0.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Repsol, S.A. is a Madrid-headquartered multi-energy company founded in 1927 (formerly Repsol YPF, renamed in May 2012) operating in Spain, Peru, the United States, Portugal, and internationally. The company is organized into four reporting segments: Upstream (exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas, plus low-carbon geological solutions); Industrial (oil refining, trading, transport and wholesale of crude oil, natural gas and fuels, and activities in hydrogen, sustainable biofuels, and synthetic fuels); Customer (gas station/mobility business, retail electricity and gas, lubricants, and fuel products including gasoline, diesel, aviation kerosene, LPG, and biofuels); and Low-Carbon Generation (electricity from hydroelectric, wind, and photovoltaic sources). Additional activities span financial services, CO2 capture and pyrolysis pilot plants, hydrogen value chain development, molecular recycling, petrochemicals, waste management, LNG regasification, EV charging, and insurance/reinsurance, alongside consumer offerings such as the Waylet, Vivit, and WiBLE apps.
Classified under GICS as Integrated Oil & Gas, Repsols structure combines upstream hydrocarbon production with midstream trading/transport and downstream refining and marketing, giving it vertical exposure across the full oil and gas value chain. Its parallel investment in renewable generation, biofuels, hydrogen, and carbon capture reflects the broader energy transition strategy being adopted by major integrated oil and gas peers, who are increasingly allocating capital toward low-carbon assets alongside legacy fossil fuel operations.
- Brent crude price swings drive upstream production revenue and cash flow
- Spanish windfall tax pressures refining and marketing segment margins
- Renewable capacity expansion accelerates low-carbon generation investment returns
| Net Income: 2.46b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.62 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.86% < 20% (prev 7.61%; Δ 6.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 5.18b > Net Income 2.46b |
| Net Debt (11.9b) to EBITDA (6.34b): 1.88 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.43 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.13b) vs 12m ago -4.23% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.34% > 18% (prev 18.08%; Δ 1.26% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.55% > 50% (prev 113.7%; Δ -25.16% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.37 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.97b / Interest Expense TTM 383.0m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 25.9b - Total Current Liabilities 18.1b) / Total Assets 65.0b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 929.0m / Total Assets 65.0b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 3.97b / Avg Total Assets 63.3b) |
| D: 0.59 (Book Value of Equity 23.0b / Total Liabilities 39.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.87 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.64 (Receivables 9.79b/7.45b, Revenue 56.1b/70.0b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 18.08% / 19.34%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 0.80 (Revenue 56.1b / 70.0b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 2.46b - CFO 5.18b) / TA 65.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.66 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 23.23 with a total of 2,910,301 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.98%, over one month by +4.95%, over three months by +3.90% and over the past year by +92.16%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 22.20 (which is 4.4% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Repsol S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 10.5
P/E Forward = 6.105
P/S = 0.4956
P/B = 0.9261
P/EG = 0.433
Revenue TTM = 56.1b EUR
EBIT TTM = 3.97b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 6.34b EUR
Long Term Debt = 11.4b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.69b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.1b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.89b
Net Debt = 11.9b EUR (calculated: Debt 20.1b - CCE 8.17b)
Enterprise Value = 36.5b EUR (24.6b + Debt 20.1b - CCE 8.17b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.37 (Ebit TTM 3.97b / Interest Expense TTM 383.0m)
EV/FCF = 28.59x (Enterprise Value 36.5b / FCF TTM 1.27b)
FCF Yield = 3.50% (FCF TTM 1.27b / Enterprise Value 36.5b)
FCF Margin = 2.27% (FCF TTM 1.27b / Revenue TTM 56.1b)
Net Margin = 4.39% (Net Income TTM 2.46b / Revenue TTM 56.1b)
Gross Margin = 19.34% ((Revenue TTM 56.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 45.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.95% (prev 12.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 36.5b / Total Assets 65.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.91% (Interest Expense 383.0m / Debt 20.1b)
Taxrate = 27.08% (1.01b / 3.73b)
NOPAT = 2.90b (EBIT 3.97b * (1 - 27.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 25.9b / Total Current Liabilities 18.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.87 (Debt 20.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.88 (Net Debt 11.9b / EBITDA 6.34b)
Debt / FCF = 9.33 (Net Debt 11.9b / FCF TTM 1.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.89% (Net Income 2.46b / Total Assets 65.0b)
RoE = 10.51% (Net Income TTM 2.46b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.4b)
RoCE = 11.41% (EBIT 3.97b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.4b + L.T.Debt 11.4b))
RoIC = 6.19% (NOPAT 2.90b / Invested Capital 46.8b)
WACC = 4.40% (E(24.6b)/V(44.6b) * Re(6.85%) + D(20.1b)/V(44.6b) * Rd(1.91%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 6.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -55.56 | Cagr: -3.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈848.6m ; Y1≈972.8m ; Y5≈1.43b
[DCF] Fair Price = 8.83 (EV 21.5b - Net Debt 11.9b = Equity 9.65b / Shares 1.09b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -91.30 | EPS CAGR: -21.59% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -0.24 | Revenue CAGR: -0.02% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.30 | Chg30d=+2.27% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=-0.72% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.88 | Chg30d=+1.00% | Revisions=+72% | GrowthEPS=+58.0% | GrowthRev=+21.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.32 | Chg30d=-0.45% | Revisions=+6% | GrowthEPS=-14.4% | GrowthRev=-7.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33% (up=27, down=13)