BC Stock Analysis: Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A. | MI
Luxury Goods | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 5.554m EUR | 12M Return: -5.9% | IT0004764699 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 17.3M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A. is an Italian luxury fashion house founded in 1978 and headquartered in Solomeo, Italy, listed on the Milan Stock Exchange under the ticker BC. The company designs, produces, and sells ready-to-wear clothing, footwear, leather goods, accessories, and lifestyle products for women, men, and children under the Brunello Cucinelli brand, with operations spanning Italy, Europe, the United States, and Asia. Its distribution combines directly operated retail stores, single-brand boutiques, shop-in-shops within department stores, and an online channel.
The company is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods sub-industry, a segment where brand heritage, craftsmanship, and selective distribution typically drive pricing power. Brunello Cucinelli operates as a subsidiary of Fedone S.R.L., reflecting a controlled ownership structure common among founder-led Italian luxury maisons.
- Asia luxury demand recovery accelerates revenue growth
- Direct retail expansion lifts margins above wholesale channel
- Euro strength pressures reported revenue and margin translation
| Net Income: 137.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.63% < 20% (prev 18.92%; Δ -5.30% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 290.8m > Net Income 137.9m |
| Net Debt (1.86b) to EBITDA (395.3m): 4.72 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.35 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (68.0m) vs 12m ago 0.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 9.34% > 18% (prev 46.50%; Δ -37.17% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.19% > 50% (prev 66.96%; Δ 5.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.10 > 6 (EBIT TTM 203.0m / Interest Expense TTM 96.9m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 767.3m - Total Current Liabilities 566.6m) / Total Assets 2.08b |
| B: 0.02 (Retained Earnings 44.7m / Total Assets 2.08b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 203.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.04b) |
| D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 548.0m / Total Liabilities 1.51b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.75 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 113.2m/103.6m, Revenue 1.47b/1.34b) |
| GMI: 4.98 (GM 46.50% / 9.34%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 1.47b / 1.34b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 137.9m - CFO 290.8m) / TA 2.08b) |
| Beneish M = 0.68 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of October 16, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 83.70 with a total of 288,464 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.49%, over one month by +10.71%, over three months by -0.33% and over the past year by -5.94%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 78.90 (which is 5.7% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A. has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 40.4356
P/E Forward = 32.1543
P/S = 3.7701
P/B = 10.0917
P/EG = 2.6411
Revenue TTM = 1.47b EUR
EBIT TTM = 203.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 395.3m EUR
Long Term Debt = 231.0m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 298.5m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.04b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 822.0m
Net Debt = 1.86b EUR (calculated: Debt 2.04b - CCE 180.8m)
Enterprise Value = 7.42b EUR (5.55b + Debt 2.04b - CCE 180.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.10 (Ebit TTM 203.0m / Interest Expense TTM 96.9m)
EV/FCF = 44.17x (Enterprise Value 7.42b / FCF TTM 168.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.26% (FCF TTM 168.0m / Enterprise Value 7.42b)
FCF Margin = 11.40% (FCF TTM 168.0m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Net Margin = 9.36% (Net Income TTM 137.9m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Gross Margin = 9.34% ((Revenue TTM 1.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.87% (prev -0.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.57 (Enterprise Value 7.42b / Total Assets 2.08b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.74% (Interest Expense 96.9m / Debt 2.04b)
Taxrate = 28.65% (57.6m / 201.1m)
NOPAT = 144.8m (EBIT 203.0m * (1 - 28.65%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 767.3m / Total Current Liabilities 566.6m)
Debt / Equity = 3.73 (Debt 2.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 548.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.72 (Net Debt 1.86b / EBITDA 395.3m)
Debt / FCF = 11.10 (Net Debt 1.86b / FCF TTM 168.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 518.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.76% (Net Income 137.9m / Total Assets 2.08b)
RoE = 26.57% (Net Income TTM 137.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 518.9m)
RoCE = 27.07% (EBIT 203.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 518.9m + L.T.Debt 231.0m))
RoIC = 8.35% (NOPAT 144.8m / Invested Capital 1.74b)
WACC = 7.17% (E(5.55b)/V(7.60b) * Re(8.56%) + D(2.04b)/V(7.60b) * Rd(4.74%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 7.69 | Cagr: 0.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈133.6m ; Y1≈153.2m ; Y5≈225.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 22.48 (EV 3.39b - Net Debt 1.86b = Equity 1.53b / Shares 68.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
Revenue Correlation: 89.23 | Revenue CAGR: 18.63% | SUE: 2.50 | # QB: 1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.28 | Chg30d=-0.17% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+9.9% | GrowthRev=+9.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.63 | Chg30d=+0.34% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+15.4% | GrowthRev=+10.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -27% (up=4, down=8)