BC Stock Analysis: Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A. | MI
Luxury Goods | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 5.644m EUR | 12M Return: -25.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 23.6M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A. is an Italian luxury fashion house founded in 1978 and headquartered in Solomeo, Italy, operating as a subsidiary of Fedone S.R.L. The company designs, produces, and sells premium clothing, footwear, leather goods, and accessories across dedicated womens, mens, and kids collections, alongside a lifestyle range that includes home textiles, candles, tableware, and ceramics. It serves customers globally across Italy, the rest of Europe, the United States, and Asia through an omnichannel network of directly operated boutiques, single-brand stores, independent multi-brand retailers, department-store shop-in-shops, and its own online platform.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector, Brunello Cucinelli competes in the global Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods segment, where players typically differentiate through craftsmanship, heritage storytelling, and selective distribution rather than high-volume output. Its vertically integrated approach, anchored in Italian manufacturing and a multi-channel wholesale-plus-retail model, reflects the standard Made in Italy luxury playbook of combining artisan production with controlled brand presentation.
}- China luxury demand recovery accelerates Asia revenue growth
- US direct retail expansion drives Americas segment outperformance
- DTC channel mix shift expands gross and operating margins
| Net Income: 135.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.14 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.04% < 20% (prev 15.43%; Δ 0.61% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 346.2m > Net Income 135.0m |
| Net Debt (585.4m) to EBITDA (408.4m): 1.43 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.42 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (67.9m) vs 12m ago -0.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 91.52% > 18% (prev 92.23%; Δ -0.70% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 74.75% > 50% (prev 73.27%; Δ 1.48% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 900.3 > 6 (EBIT TTM 227.8m / Interest Expense TTM 253k) |
| A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 769.9m - Total Current Liabilities 544.0m) / Total Assets 2.02b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 489.2m / Total Assets 2.02b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 227.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.88b) |
| D: 0.37 (Book Value of Equity 546.0m / Total Liabilities 1.48b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.72 = A |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 101.6m/82.1m, Revenue 1.41b/1.28b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 92.23% / 91.52%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 1.41b / 1.28b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 135.0m - CFO 346.2m) / TA 2.02b) |
| Beneish M = -2.89 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 78.82 with a total of 492,732 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.45%, over one month by -7.96%, over three months by -1.16% and over the past year by -25.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 75.60 (which is 4.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A. has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 41.9192
P/E Forward = 36.4964
P/S = 4.0087
P/B = 10.2544
P/EG = 2.9937
Revenue TTM = 1.41b EUR
EBIT TTM = 227.8m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 408.4m EUR
Long Term Debt = 224.9m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 67.3m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 787.2m EUR (Leases only: 787.2m)
Net Debt = 585.4m EUR (calculated: Debt 787.2m - CCE 201.7m)
Enterprise Value = 6.23b EUR (5.64b + Debt 787.2m - CCE 201.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 900.3 (Ebit TTM 227.8m / Interest Expense TTM 253k)
EV/FCF = 61.73x (Enterprise Value 6.23b / FCF TTM 100.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.62% (FCF TTM 100.9m / Enterprise Value 6.23b)
FCF Margin = 7.17% (FCF TTM 100.9m / Revenue TTM 1.41b)
Net Margin = 9.59% (Net Income TTM 135.0m / Revenue TTM 1.41b)
Gross Margin = 91.52% ((Revenue TTM 1.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 119.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 91.46% (prev 91.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.08 (Enterprise Value 6.23b / Total Assets 2.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.03% (Interest Expense 253k / Debt 787.2m)
Taxrate = 28.54% (56.7m / 198.7m)
NOPAT = 162.8m (EBIT 227.8m * (1 - 28.54%))
Current Ratio = 1.42 (Total Current Assets 769.9m / Total Current Liabilities 544.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.44 (Debt 787.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 546.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.43 (Net Debt 585.4m / EBITDA 408.4m)
Debt / FCF = 5.80 (Net Debt 585.4m / FCF TTM 100.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 490.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.17% (Net Income 135.0m / Total Assets 2.02b)
RoE = 27.51% (Net Income TTM 135.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 490.9m)
RoCE = 31.82% (EBIT 227.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 490.9m + L.T.Debt 224.9m))
RoIC = 11.04% (NOPAT 162.8m / Invested Capital 1.48b)
WACC = 7.09% (E(5.64b)/V(6.43b) * Re(8.08%) + D(787.2m)/V(6.43b) * Rd(0.03%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 8.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -35.99 | Cagr: -0.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.61% ; FCFF base≈96.4m ; Y1≈108.3m ; Y5≈151.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 25.09 (EV 2.29b - Net Debt 585.4m = Equity 1.71b / Shares 68.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 12.70% → 2.50% )
Revenue Correlation: 99.87 | Revenue CAGR: 11.16% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=-9.97% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.26 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+9.0% | GrowthRev=+9.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.58 | Chg30d=+0.37% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+14.4% | GrowthRev=+10.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=3, down=9)