DAN Stock Analysis: Danieli & C. Officine | MI

Specialty Industrial Machinery | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 4.566m EUR | 12M Return: 55% | IT0000076502 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Steelmaking Equipment, Rolling Mills, Forging Presses, Cranes
Total Rating 54
Safety 85
Buy Signal 0.07
Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Rotation: +1.3
Market Cap: 5.33B
Avg Turnover: 2.73M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.6%
VaR 5th Pctl5.26%
VaR vs Median-2.05%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.23
Rel. Str. IBD55.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group61
Character TTM
Beta1.011
Beta Downside0.668
Hurst Exponent0.528
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD37.40%
CAGR/Max DD1.15
CAGR/Mean DD4.17

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.5 years of data

Jan +6.7% 43
Feb +1.3% 19
Mar +0.2% 5
Apr +2.2% 30
May +0.6% 10
Jun -7.3% 36
Jul +1.4% 17
Aug -0.6% 2
Sep +2.4% 0
Oct -4.1% 23
Nov +1.6% 14
Dec -0.0% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: DAN Danieli & C. Officine

Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. is an Italian industrial machinery company founded in 1914 and headquartered in Buttrio, Italy, that designs, builds, and sells plants and equipment for the global iron and steel industry. The company operates through two segments-Plant Making and Steel Making-offering integrated solutions spanning the entire steel production value chain, from mines and pellet plants to blast furnaces, direct reduction units, steelworks, continuous casting, and rolling mills for both long and flat products. It also supplies downstream processing equipment (peeling, straightening, forging presses, extrusion presses, cutting lines, and cranes) and produces special and structural steel products for engineering applications, serving customers across Europe, the Middle East, the Americas, and Southeast Asia.

As a capital-goods manufacturer in the Industrials sector, Danieli operates a project-based B2B business model typical of heavy plant engineering, where contracts are typically large, technically complex, and tied to long investment cycles of steel producers. The combination of plant engineering with in-house steel production in the Steel Making segment gives the company a vertically integrated position, allowing it to both supply equipment and act as a steelmaker in selected niche product categories.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Green steel transition drives demand for EAF and DRI plants
  • Emerging market capacity expansion lifts order backlog growth
  • Steel Making margins pressured by raw material and energy costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 240.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.36 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 47.74% < 20% (prev 46.55%; Δ 1.19% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 331.8m > Net Income 240.8m
Net Debt (-2.53b) to EBITDA (466.5m): -5.42 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (71.6m) vs 12m ago -3.30% < -2%
Gross Margin: 24.47% > 18% (prev 24.63%; Δ -0.16% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 55.44% > 50% (prev 53.64%; Δ 1.80% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.76 > 6 (EBIT TTM 321.8m / Interest Expense TTM 23.4m)
Altman Z'' 2.60
A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 6.54b - Total Current Liabilities 4.48b) / Total Assets 8.01b
B: 0.02 (Retained Earnings 130.9m / Total Assets 8.01b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 321.8m / Avg Total Assets 7.80b)
D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 2.85b / Total Liabilities 5.15b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.60 = A
Beneish M -3.08
DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 1.06b/1.04b, Revenue 4.32b/4.07b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 24.63% / 24.47%)
AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 4.32b / 4.07b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 240.8m - CFO 331.8m) / TA 8.01b)
Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of DAN shares?

As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 63.80 with a total of 27,544 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.62%, over one month by -6.25%, over three months by -11.08% and over the past year by +54.97%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 58.90 (which is 7.7% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is DAN a buy, sell or hold?

Danieli & C. Officine has no consensus analysts rating.

Danieli & C. Officine (DAN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.33b (4.57b EUR * 1.1683 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.0
P/E Forward = 10.0908
P/S = 1.1587
P/B = 1.5985
P/EG = 2.9312
Revenue TTM = 4.32b EUR
EBIT TTM = 321.8m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 466.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 530.9m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 32.7m EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 35.3m EUR (Leases only: 35.3m)
Net Debt = -2.53b EUR (calculated: Debt 35.3m - CCE 2.56b)
Enterprise Value = 2.04b EUR (4.57b + Debt 35.3m - CCE 2.56b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.76 (Ebit TTM 321.8m / Interest Expense TTM 23.4m)
EV/FCF = 13.06x (Enterprise Value 2.04b / FCF TTM 156.1m)
FCF Yield = 7.66% (FCF TTM 156.1m / Enterprise Value 2.04b)
FCF Margin = 3.61% (FCF TTM 156.1m / Revenue TTM 4.32b)
Net Margin = 5.57% (Net Income TTM 240.8m / Revenue TTM 4.32b)
Gross Margin = 24.47% ((Revenue TTM 4.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.08% (prev 8.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.25 (Enterprise Value 2.04b / Total Assets 8.01b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 66.34% (Interest Expense 23.4m / Debt 35.3m)
 Taxrate = 18.53% (21.7m / 117.1m)
NOPAT = 262.1m (EBIT 321.8m * (1 - 18.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 6.54b / Total Current Liabilities 4.48b)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 35.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.42 (Net Debt -2.53b / EBITDA 466.5m)
Debt / FCF = -16.20 (Net Debt -2.53b / FCF TTM 156.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.68b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.09% (Net Income 240.8m / Total Assets 8.01b)
RoE = 8.99% (Net Income TTM 240.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.68b)
RoCE = 10.02% (EBIT 321.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.68b + L.T.Debt 530.9m))
RoIC = 7.92% (NOPAT 262.1m / Invested Capital 3.31b)
WACC = 9.47% (E(4.57b)/V(4.60b) * Re(9.54%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -35.51 | Cagr: -0.23%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.03% ; FCFF base≈285.2m ; Y1≈250.1m ; Y5≈202.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 144.8 (EV 2.74b - Net Debt -2.53b = Equity 5.27b / Shares 36.4m; r=9.47% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
Revenue Correlation: 96.72 | Revenue CAGR: 11.60% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=4.61 | Chg30d=+2.50% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+9.2% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=1, down=0)