DAN Stock Analysis: Danieli & C. Officine | MI
Specialty Industrial Machinery | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 3.536m EUR | 12M Return: -1.6% | IT0000076502 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.42M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. is an Italian industrial machinery company founded in 1914 and headquartered in Buttrio, Italy, that designs, builds, and sells plants and equipment for the global iron and steel industry. The company operates through two segments-Plant Making and Steel Making-offering integrated solutions spanning the entire steel production value chain, from mines and pellet plants to blast furnaces, direct reduction units, steelworks, continuous casting, and rolling mills for both long and flat products. It also supplies downstream processing equipment (peeling, straightening, forging presses, extrusion presses, cutting lines, and cranes) and produces special and structural steel products for engineering applications, serving customers across Europe, the Middle East, the Americas, and Southeast Asia.
As a capital-goods manufacturer in the Industrials sector, Danieli operates a project-based B2B business model typical of heavy plant engineering, where contracts are typically large, technically complex, and tied to long investment cycles of steel producers. The combination of plant engineering with in-house steel production in the Steel Making segment gives the company a vertically integrated position, allowing it to both supply equipment and act as a steelmaker in selected niche product categories.
- Green steel transition drives demand for EAF and DRI plants
- Emerging market capacity expansion lifts order backlog growth
- Steel Making margins pressured by raw material and energy costs
| Net Income: 290.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.88 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 43.92% < 20% (prev 36.17%; Δ 7.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 563.8m > Net Income 290.7m |
| Net Debt (-2.47b) to EBITDA (532.8m): -4.64 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (80.9m) vs 12m ago 9.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.79% > 18% (prev 40.07%; Δ 6.71% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 60.27% > 50% (prev 69.04%; Δ -8.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 6.54b - Total Current Liabilities 4.48b) / Total Assets 8.01b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 2.11b / Total Assets 8.01b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 396.1m / Avg Total Assets 7.80b) |
| D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 2.85b / Total Liabilities 5.15b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.47 = A |
| DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 1.47b/1.45b, Revenue 4.70b/5.24b) |
| GMI: 0.86 (GM 40.07% / 46.79%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.90 (Revenue 4.70b / 5.24b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 290.7m - CFO 563.8m) / TA 8.01b) |
| Beneish M = -3.20 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 47.66 with a total of 168,532 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.60%, over one month by -16.90%, over three months by -30.68% and over the past year by -1.57%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 45.10 (which is 5.4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Danieli & C. Officine has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 15.3416
P/E Forward = 10.0908
P/S = 0.9223
P/B = 1.4694
P/EG = 2.9312
Revenue TTM = 4.70b EUR
EBIT TTM = 396.1m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 532.8m EUR
Long Term Debt = 530.9m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 46.5m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 634.1m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 35.3m
Net Debt = -2.47b EUR (calculated: Debt 634.1m - CCE 3.11b)
Enterprise Value = 1.06b EUR (3.54b + Debt 634.1m - CCE 3.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 396.1m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 2.69x (Enterprise Value 1.06b / FCF TTM 395.2m)
FCF Yield = 37.12% (FCF TTM 395.2m / Enterprise Value 1.06b)
FCF Margin = 8.41% (FCF TTM 395.2m / Revenue TTM 4.70b)
Net Margin = 6.18% (Net Income TTM 290.7m / Revenue TTM 4.70b)
Gross Margin = 46.79% ((Revenue TTM 4.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.72% (prev 56.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.13 (Enterprise Value 1.06b / Total Assets 8.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 634.1m)
Taxrate = 28.16% (114.1m / 405.2m)
NOPAT = 284.6m (EBIT 396.1m * (1 - 28.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 6.54b / Total Current Liabilities 4.48b)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 634.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.64 (Net Debt -2.47b / EBITDA 532.8m)
Debt / FCF = -6.25 (Net Debt -2.47b / FCF TTM 395.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.73% (Net Income 290.7m / Total Assets 8.01b)
RoE = 10.36% (Net Income TTM 290.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.81b)
RoCE = 11.87% (EBIT 396.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.81b + L.T.Debt 530.9m))
RoIC = 8.52% (NOPAT 284.6m / Invested Capital 3.34b)
WACC = 8.32% (E(3.54b)/V(4.17b) * Re(9.81%) + D(634.1m)/V(4.17b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 67.95 | Cagr: 4.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈299.6m ; Y1≈343.4m ; Y5≈505.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 277.1 (EV 7.61b - Net Debt -2.47b = Equity 10.1b / Shares 36.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
Revenue Correlation: -66.81 | Revenue CAGR: -10.36% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=3.68 | Chg30d=-11.15% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+3.0% | GrowthRev=-6.5%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=4.47 | Chg30d=-9.23% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+12.0% | GrowthRev=+6.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -70% (up=0, down=7)