MFEA Stock Analysis: MFE MEDIAFOREUROPE | MI

Broadcasting | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 1.767m EUR | 12M Return: -4.9% | NL0015000MZ1 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Television Broadcasting, Radio Content, Film Production, Advertising Sales
Total Rating 30
Safety 58
Buy Signal -0.19
Broadcasting
Industry Rotation: -5.1
Market Cap: 2.05B
Avg Turnover: 3.88M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.5%
VaR 5th Pctl5.68%
VaR vs Median-5.15%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.23
Rel. Str. IBD22.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group37.5
Character TTM
Beta0.355
Beta Downside0.048
Hurst Exponent0.554
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD37.06%
CAGR/Max DD0.47
CAGR/Mean DD1.47
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MFEA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": null, "2021-12": null, "2022-03": null, "2022-06": null, "2022-09": null, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": null, "2023-06": null, "2023-09": null, "2023-12": null, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": null, "2025-06": null, "2025-09": null, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": null,
Revenue Revenue of MFEA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 605.4, 2021-12: 868.5, 2022-03: 654.3, 2022-06: 721.6, 2022-09: 524.2, 2022-12: 870.3, 2023-03: 646.6, 2023-06: 710.9, 2023-09: 504.7, 2023-12: 1427.5, 2024-03: 699.8, 2024-06: 755.9, 2024-09: 528.2, 2024-12: 1473, 2025-03: 671.8, 2025-06: 1436.8, 2025-09: 502.3, 2025-12: 2053.9, 2026-03: 1463.1,
Rev. CAGR: 23.23%
Rev. Trend: 93.5%
Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 4.6 years of data

Jan +1.2% 21
Feb -1.6% 19
Mar +1.4% 0
Apr +5.4% 22
May +2.9% 23
Jun -2.5% 22
Jul +1.4% 20
Aug -6.1% 16
Sep -0.3% 11
Oct -7.5% 45
Nov -0.5% 11
Dec -0.3% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MFEA MFE MEDIAFOREUROPE

MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V. is a Milan-based broadcasting group that operates television and radio businesses primarily in Italy and Spain. Its activities span content production, third-party content acquisition, and distribution across both linear and non-linear platforms, covering free-to-air and pay-per-view services. The company also generates revenue through advertising sales for its TV and radio operations, handled via concessionaires and online channels, and manages cross-media advertising space. Additional operations include film production and distribution, licensing and merchandising, and third-party advertising concessions handled through subsidiaries such as Digitalia, Mediamond, and Publieurope. Originally incorporated in 1987 as Mediaset S.p.A., the group adopted its current name in November 2021. The company follows the typical European free-to-air broadcaster business model, combining advertising-based revenue with content distribution across multiple platforms.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Italian and Spanish ad spend cyclicality drives top-line
  • Streaming platforms erode linear TV viewership and ad share
  • ProSiebenSat.1 stake buildup and dividend payouts support valuation
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 274.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.83 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -12.05% < 20% (prev -1.54%; Δ -10.51% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 1.10b > Net Income 274.6m
Net Debt (-450.0m) to EBITDA (1.04b): -0.43 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.80 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (699.6m) vs 12m ago 24.68% < -2%
Gross Margin: 38.66% > 18% (prev 43.40%; Δ -4.74% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 76.30% > 50% (prev 71.61%; Δ 4.69% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 354.6m / Interest Expense TTM 42.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.17
A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 2.58b - Total Current Liabilities 3.24b) / Total Assets 9.51b
B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 2.02b / Total Assets 9.51b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 354.6m / Avg Total Assets 7.15b)
D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 3.47b / Total Liabilities 6.05b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.17 = BB
What is the price of MFEA shares?

As of September 02, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 2.49 with a total of 2,185,806 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.53%, over one month by -6.17%, over three months by -1.51% and over the past year by -4.93%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 2.40 (which is 3.6% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is MFEA a buy, sell or hold?

MFE MEDIAFOREUROPE has no consensus analysts rating.

MFE MEDIAFOREUROPE (MFEA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.05b (1.77b EUR * 1.1586 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 8.42
P/S = 0.367
P/B = 0.5152
Revenue TTM = 5.46b EUR
EBIT TTM = 354.6m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.04b EUR
Long Term Debt = 2.66b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 258.1m EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 198.2m EUR (Leases only: 198.2m)
Net Debt = -450.0m EUR (calculated: Debt 198.2m - CCE 648.2m)
Enterprise Value = 1.32b EUR (1.77b + Debt 198.2m - CCE 648.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.44 (Ebit TTM 354.6m / Interest Expense TTM 42.0m)
EV/FCF = 2.44x (Enterprise Value 1.32b / FCF TTM 540.4m)
FCF Yield = 41.02% (FCF TTM 540.4m / Enterprise Value 1.32b)
FCF Margin = 9.90% (FCF TTM 540.4m / Revenue TTM 5.46b)
Net Margin = 5.03% (Net Income TTM 274.6m / Revenue TTM 5.46b)
Gross Margin = 38.66% ((Revenue TTM 5.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.29% (prev 39.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.14 (Enterprise Value 1.32b / Total Assets 9.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.19% (Interest Expense 42.0m / Debt 198.2m)
Taxrate = 29.49% (117.8m / 399.5m)
NOPAT = 250.0m (EBIT 354.6m * (1 - 29.49%))
Current Ratio = 0.80 (Total Current Assets 2.58b / Total Current Liabilities 3.24b)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 198.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.43 (Net Debt -450.0m / EBITDA 1.04b)
Debt / FCF = -0.83 (Net Debt -450.0m / FCF TTM 540.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.84% (Net Income 274.6m / Total Assets 9.51b)
RoE = 8.31% (Net Income TTM 274.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.30b)
RoCE = 5.95% (EBIT 354.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.30b + L.T.Debt 2.66b))
RoIC = 4.17% (NOPAT 250.0m / Invested Capital 6.00b)
WACC = 8.01% (E(1.77b)/V(1.97b) * Re(7.23%) + D(198.2m)/V(1.97b) * Rd(21.19%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 7.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 4.58 | Cagr: 22.04%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈468.1m ; Y1≈536.6m ; Y5≈789.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 26.25 (EV 11.9b - Net Debt -450.0m = Equity 12.3b / Shares 469.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
Revenue Correlation: 93.54 | Revenue CAGR: 23.23% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=-7.32% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+13.7% | GrowthRev=+60.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=-0.04% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+20.6% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=1, down=1)