MONC Stock Analysis: Moncler | MI
Apparel Manufacturing | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 13.491m EUR | 12M Return: -0.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 49.1M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Moncler S.p.A. is an Italian luxury fashion company that designs, produces, and distributes apparel, footwear, eyewear, leather goods, bags, and accessories under the Moncler and Stone Island brands. Founded in 1952 and headquartered in Milan, the group sells its products through a multi-channel network that includes directly operated retail stores, shop-in-shops in luxury department stores, airport locations, e-concessions, multi-brand outlets, and its own moncler.com e-commerce platform. Operations span Italy, the rest of Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States, making Moncler a globally diversified luxury house with a hybrid wholesale-and-direct-to-consumer distribution model that is typical of the high-end apparel and accessories segment.
- China luxury demand recovery accelerates Asia same-store sales
- Stone Island brand integration drives consolidated revenue growth
- Direct-to-consumer expansion lifts operating margins above expectations
| Net Income: 626.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 44.47% < 20% (prev 38.05%; Δ 6.42% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 1.18b > Net Income 626.7m |
| Net Debt (-116.9m) to EBITDA (1.25b): -0.09 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.42 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (271.6m) vs 12m ago 0.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 78.10% > 18% (prev 78.05%; Δ 0.05% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 54.64% > 50% (prev 56.48%; Δ -1.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 21.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 913.4m / Interest Expense TTM 42.8m) |
| A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 2.37b - Total Current Liabilities 979.8m) / Total Assets 5.96b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 626.7m / Total Assets 5.96b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 913.4m / Avg Total Assets 5.73b) |
| D: 1.82 (Book Value of Equity 3.85b / Total Liabilities 2.11b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.86 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 292.1m/326.4m, Revenue 3.13b/3.11b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 78.05% / 78.10%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 3.13b / 3.11b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 626.7m - CFO 1.18b) / TA 5.96b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 49.60 with a total of 1,104,956 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.35%, over one month by -11.21%, over three months by -5.70% and over the past year by -0.43%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 47.80 (which is 3.6% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Moncler has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 21.4719
P/E Forward = 20.9644
P/S = 4.3071
P/B = 3.5396
P/EG = 2.7802
Revenue TTM = 3.13b EUR
EBIT TTM = 913.4m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.25b EUR
Long Term Debt = 6.03m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.1m EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.11b EUR (Leases only: 1.11b)
Net Debt = -116.9m EUR (calculated: Debt 1.11b - CCE 1.23b)
Enterprise Value = 13.4b EUR (13.5b + Debt 1.11b - CCE 1.23b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.34 (Ebit TTM 913.4m / Interest Expense TTM 42.8m)
EV/FCF = 18.06x (Enterprise Value 13.4b / FCF TTM 740.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.54% (FCF TTM 740.4m / Enterprise Value 13.4b)
FCF Margin = 23.64% (FCF TTM 740.4m / Revenue TTM 3.13b)
Net Margin = 20.01% (Net Income TTM 626.7m / Revenue TTM 3.13b)
Gross Margin = 78.10% ((Revenue TTM 3.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 685.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.90% (prev 76.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.24 (Enterprise Value 13.4b / Total Assets 5.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.86% (Interest Expense 42.8m / Debt 1.11b)
Taxrate = 29.36% (260.5m / 887.2m)
NOPAT = 645.2m (EBIT 913.4m * (1 - 29.36%))
Current Ratio = 2.42 (Total Current Assets 2.37b / Total Current Liabilities 979.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 1.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.09 (Net Debt -116.9m / EBITDA 1.25b)
Debt / FCF = -0.16 (Net Debt -116.9m / FCF TTM 740.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.93% (Net Income 626.7m / Total Assets 5.96b)
RoE = 18.01% (Net Income TTM 626.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.48b)
RoCE = 26.20% (EBIT 913.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.48b + L.T.Debt 6.03m))
RoIC = 13.38% (NOPAT 645.2m / Invested Capital 4.82b)
WACC = 7.34% (E(13.5b)/V(14.6b) * Re(7.72%) + D(1.11b)/V(14.6b) * Rd(3.86%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 7.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 29.02 | Cagr: 1.67%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.47% ; FCFF base≈762.0m ; Y1≈721.6m ; Y5≈679.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 39.82 (EV 10.7b - Net Debt -116.9m = Equity 10.8b / Shares 272.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -6.79% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 19.96 | EPS CAGR: 2.31% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 87.58 | Revenue CAGR: 3.79% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2025-09-30): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=-0.90% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=2.19 | Chg30d=-0.02% | Revisions=+6% | GrowthEPS=-7.0% | GrowthRev=-1.3%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.39 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=-21% | GrowthEPS=+3.3% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -4% (up=12, down=13)