NWL Stock Analysis: NewPrinces S.p.A. | MI

Packaged Foods | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 951m EUR | 12M Return: 22.8% | IT0005385213 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Pasta, Dairy, Bakery, Canned Fish
Total Rating 77
Safety 73
Buy Signal 2.13
Packaged Foods
Industry Rotation: +21.1
Market Cap: 1.06B
Avg Turnover: 2.07M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility56.0%
VaR 5th Pctl8.23%
VaR vs Median-8.63%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.57
Rel. Str. IBD94.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group96.5 pctl
Character TTM
Beta-0.244
Beta Downside-0.731
Hurst Exponent0.360
Choppyness52.5%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD41.61%
CAGR/Max DD1.32
CAGR/Mean DD3.40
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NWL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.0819, "2021-12": -0.0759, "2022-03": 0.04, "2022-06": -0.0137, "2022-09": 0.0327, "2022-12": 0.0926, "2023-03": 0.1488, "2023-06": 0.0847, "2023-09": 0.1527, "2023-12": -0.0391, "2024-03": 0.1076, "2024-06": 0.0893, "2024-09": 3.6475, "2024-12": -0.2399, "2025-03": 0.2878, "2025-06": 0.1924, "2025-09": 1.915, "2025-12": 6.2922, "2026-03": -0.5509, "2026-06": 0.313,
EPS CAGR: 263.22%
EPS Trend: 87.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of NWL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 137.657, 2021-12: 172.711, 2022-03: 165.435, 2022-06: 170.043, 2022-09: 185.715, 2022-12: 219.901, 2023-03: 207.333, 2023-06: 205.961, 2023-09: 187.372, 2023-12: 192.673, 2024-03: 199.572, 2024-06: 170.557, 2024-09: 526.178, 2024-12: 744.802, 2025-03: 672.74, 2025-06: 641.466, 2025-09: 621.931, 2025-12: 1023.795, 2026-03: 1496.61, 2026-06: 1542.084,
Rev. CAGR: 106.14%
Rev. Trend: 96.9%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Earnings Expected To Drop (P/E To P/E Forward)

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence
Tailwind

Seasonality 6.9 years of data

Jan +1.8% 20
Feb -3.2% 3
Mar +3.2% 0
Apr -1.2% 15
May +2.1% 37
Jun +0.7% 28
Jul +2.1% 21
Aug +2.3% 34
Sep -9.1% 47
Oct -1.0% 3
Nov +1.2% 0
Dec +4.7% 63

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NWL NewPrinces S.p.A.

NewPrinces S.p.A. (formerly Newlat Food S.p.A., renamed in May 2025) is an Italian-headquartered packaged food company operating across the agri-food sector in Italy, Germany, the United Kingdom, and other international markets. Founded in 2004 and based in Reggio Emilia, it is a subsidiary of Newlat Group S.A.

The company runs a diversified, multi-category business model spanning 12 operating segments, including Pasta, Milk Products, Bakery Products, Dairy Products, Instant Noodles and Bakery Mixes, Foods, Drinks, Fish, Italian Products, and Oils. Its product portfolio covers baby food, beverages, canned goods (legumes, tomatoes, vegetables, fruits), canned fish (tuna, mackerel, sardines), home baking items, dairy products, cooking oils, pasta, plant-based alternatives, and ready-to-eat meals.

NewPrinces sells through a large portfolio of owned brands, including Princes, Napolina, Branston, Birkel, Mazola, Chicken Tonight, Ragu, and Crosse & Blackwell, alongside dairy-focused labels such as Mukki, Centrale del Latte di Torino, and Polenghi Lombardo. The breadth of categories and brand count reflects a classic packaged-foods strategy of operating across multiple shelf-stable and fresh sub-segments within consumer staples.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Princes UK acquisition synergies offset by integration and debt costs
  • Durum wheat and dairy input costs pressure packaged food gross margins
  • UK private label competition pressures branded volume growth across Europe
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 343.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.19 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 11.58% < 20% (prev 23.04%; Δ -11.46% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 604.1m > Net Income 343.1m
Net Debt (826.7m) to EBITDA (659.1m): 1.25 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.25 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.8m) vs 12m ago -5.49% < -2%
Gross Margin: 20.14% > 18% (prev 17.64%; Δ 2.50% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 137.2% > 50% (prev 106.8%; Δ 30.44% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 429.1m / Interest Expense TTM 58.6m)
Altman Z'' 1.88
A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 2.68b - Total Current Liabilities 2.14b) / Total Assets 4.41b
B: -0.00 (Retained Earnings -11.1m / Total Assets 4.41b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 429.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.41b)
D: 0.22 (Book Value of Equity 776.6m / Total Liabilities 3.45b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.88 = BBB
Beneish M -2.94
DSRI: 0.35 (Receivables 275.5m/432.9m, Revenue 4.68b/2.59b)
GMI: 0.88 (GM 17.64% / 20.14%)
AQI: 1.26 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 1.81 (Revenue 4.68b / 2.59b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 343.1m - CFO 604.1m) / TA 4.41b)
Beneish M = -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NWL shares?

As of November 07, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 24.16 with a total of 263,470 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.32%, over one month by +35.27%, over three months by +50.81% and over the past year by +22.76%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 23.20 (which is 4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is NWL a buy, sell or hold?

NewPrinces S.p.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

NewPrinces S.p.A. (NWL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.06b (950.6m EUR * 1.11473 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 2.9059
P/E Forward = 42.1941
P/S = 0.2029
P/B = 1.2155
Revenue TTM = 4.68b EUR
EBIT TTM = 429.1m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 659.1m EUR
Long Term Debt = 177.8m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 329.5m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.09b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) + Leases 381.3m
Net Debt = 826.7m EUR (calculated: Debt 2.09b - CCE 1.27b)
Enterprise Value = 1.78b EUR (950.6m + Debt 2.09b - CCE 1.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.33 (Ebit TTM 429.1m / Interest Expense TTM 58.6m)
EV/FCF = 4.79x (Enterprise Value 1.78b / FCF TTM 371.1m)
FCF Yield = 20.88% (FCF TTM 371.1m / Enterprise Value 1.78b)
FCF Margin = 7.92% (FCF TTM 371.1m / Revenue TTM 4.68b)
Net Margin = 7.32% (Net Income TTM 343.1m / Revenue TTM 4.68b)
Gross Margin = 20.14% ((Revenue TTM 4.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.04% (prev 10.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.40 (Enterprise Value 1.78b / Total Assets 4.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.80% (Interest Expense 58.6m / Debt 2.09b)
Taxrate = 4.85% (18.1m / 373.6m)
NOPAT = 408.3m (EBIT 429.1m * (1 - 4.85%))
Current Ratio = 1.25 (Total Current Assets 2.68b / Total Current Liabilities 2.14b)
Debt / Equity = 2.69 (Debt 2.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 776.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.25 (Net Debt 826.7m / EBITDA 659.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.23 (Net Debt 826.7m / FCF TTM 371.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 691.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.05% (Net Income 343.1m / Total Assets 4.41b)
RoE = 49.61% (Net Income TTM 343.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 691.5m)
RoCE = 49.37% (EBIT 429.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 691.5m + L.T.Debt 177.8m))
RoIC = 17.30% (NOPAT 408.3m / Invested Capital 2.36b)
WACC = 3.34% (E(950.6m)/V(3.04b) * Re(4.83%) + D(2.09b)/V(3.04b) * Rd(2.80%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 4.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 25.89 | Cagr: 1.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.59% ; FCFF base≈354.5m ; Y1≈398.1m ; Y5≈555.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 182.0 (EV 8.40b - Net Debt 826.7m = Equity 7.57b / Shares 41.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 12.58% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 86.97 | EPS CAGR: 263.2% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.90 | Revenue CAGR: 106.1% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.78 | Chg30d=+27.96% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-152.9% | GrowthRev=+118.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=+129.69% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+105.2% | GrowthRev=+1.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +57% (up=4, down=0)