OVS Stock Analysis: OVS | MI

Apparel Manufacturing | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 1.420m EUR | 12M Return: 39.9% | IT0005043507 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Apparel, Footwear, Home Furnishings, Cosmetics
Total Rating 55
Safety 56
Buy Signal 1.13
Apparel Manufacturing
Industry Rotation: +26.5
Market Cap: 1.59B
Avg Turnover: 2.09M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.4%
VaR 5th Pctl4.65%
VaR vs Median2.91%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.31
Rel. Str. IBD75.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group88.7
Character TTM
Beta0.568
Beta Downside0.087
Hurst Exponent0.570
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD22.81%
CAGR/Max DD2.52
CAGR/Mean DD13.55

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader
Tailwind
Pullback 52w

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.5% 16
Feb +2.7% 26
Mar -7.9% 19
Apr +2.0% 14
May +5.7% 30
Jun -1.2% 14
Jul +2.9% 10
Aug -0.5% 5
Sep +0.3% 18
Oct -3.3% 21
Nov +10.8% 23
Dec +0.1% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: OVS OVS

OVS S.p.A. is an Italian fashion retailer founded in 1972 and headquartered in Mestre, Italy, operating both domestically and internationally. The company runs a multi-brand strategy through its OVS, UPIM, and Other segments, offering a broad product range that spans mens, womens, and childrens apparel, footwear, handbags, accessories, home furnishings, and fragrances and cosmetics. Its portfolio includes proprietary and licensed brands such as OVS, OVS Kids, Piombo, Les Copains, UPIM, Blukids, Croff, Stefanel, and GAP.

As a player in the Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods sub-industry, OVS competes in a highly fragmented and price-sensitive segment of consumer discretionary retail, where multi-brand portfolios and value-oriented offerings are common strategies for capturing market share across diverse customer demographics.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Italian consumer spending weakness pressures like-for-like sales growth
  • Gross margin recovery as cotton and freight costs normalize from peaks
  • GAP and Blukids brand rollout expands portfolio and addressable market
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 48.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.93 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -4.82% < 20% (prev -3.11%; Δ -1.72% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 317.9m > Net Income 48.6m
Net Debt (2.47b) to EBITDA (305.1m): 8.09 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.90 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (252.6m) vs 12m ago -8.53% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.69% > 18% (prev 57.82%; Δ -30.13% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 59.06% > 50% (prev 56.50%; Δ 2.56% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.60 > 6 (EBIT TTM 141.1m / Interest Expense TTM 88.1m)
Altman Z'' 0.72
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 733.2m - Total Current Liabilities 817.4m) / Total Assets 3.02b
B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 124.6m / Total Assets 3.02b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 141.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.96b)
D: 0.43 (Book Value of Equity 902.8m / Total Liabilities 2.12b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.72 = B
Beneish M -2.11
DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 122.5m/130.1m, Revenue 1.75b/1.63b)
GMI: 2.09 (GM 57.82% / 27.69%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.31)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 1.75b / 1.63b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 48.6m - CFO 317.9m) / TA 3.02b)
Beneish M = -2.11 (Cap -4..+1) = BB
What is the price of OVS shares?

As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 5.82 with a total of 224,446 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.26%, over one month by +6.70%, over three months by -5.60% and over the past year by +39.87%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.60 (which is 3.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is OVS a buy, sell or hold?

OVS has no consensus analysts rating.

OVS (OVS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.59b (1.42b EUR * 1.12043 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.3088
P/E Forward = 4.1946
P/S = 0.7446
P/B = 1.4886
Revenue TTM = 1.75b EUR
EBIT TTM = 141.1m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 305.1m EUR
Long Term Debt = 225.4m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 197.3m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.57b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.16b
Net Debt = 2.47b EUR (calculated: Debt 2.57b - CCE 105.2m)
Enterprise Value = 3.89b EUR (1.42b + Debt 2.57b - CCE 105.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.60 (Ebit TTM 141.1m / Interest Expense TTM 88.1m)
EV/FCF = 16.39x (Enterprise Value 3.89b / FCF TTM 237.2m)
FCF Yield = 6.10% (FCF TTM 237.2m / Enterprise Value 3.89b)
FCF Margin = 13.59% (FCF TTM 237.2m / Revenue TTM 1.75b)
Net Margin = 2.79% (Net Income TTM 48.6m / Revenue TTM 1.75b)
Gross Margin = 27.69% ((Revenue TTM 1.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 0.91% (prev 59.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.29 (Enterprise Value 3.89b / Total Assets 3.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.42% (Interest Expense 88.1m / Debt 2.57b)
Taxrate = 37.82% (29.9m / 79.1m)
NOPAT = 87.7m (EBIT 141.1m * (1 - 37.82%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 733.2m / Total Current Liabilities 817.4m)
Debt / Equity = 2.85 (Debt 2.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 902.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.09 (Net Debt 2.47b / EBITDA 305.1m)
Debt / FCF = 10.40 (Net Debt 2.47b / FCF TTM 237.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 885.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.65% (Net Income 48.6m / Total Assets 3.02b)
RoE = 5.50% (Net Income TTM 48.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 885.1m)
RoCE = 12.70% (EBIT 141.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 885.1m + L.T.Debt 225.4m))
RoIC = 3.79% (NOPAT 87.7m / Invested Capital 2.32b)
WACC = 4.21% (E(1.42b)/V(3.99b) * Re(7.98%) + D(2.57b)/V(3.99b) * Rd(3.42%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 7.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.96 | Cagr: -5.73%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈187.5m ; Y1≈215.0m ; Y5≈316.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.51 (EV 4.76b - Net Debt 2.47b = Equity 2.29b / Shares 241.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
Revenue Correlation: 99.84 | Revenue CAGR: 6.23% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=-6.04% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+15.5% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=0.46 | Chg30d=-1.43% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+14.9% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)