RACE Stock Analysis: Ferrari | MI

Auto Manufacturers | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 58.260m EUR | 12M Return: -20.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Sports Cars, Supercars, Spare Parts, Engines
Total Rating 60
Safety 86
Buy Signal -0.15
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: -5.8
Market Cap: 66.4B
Avg Turnover: 184M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.56%
VaR vs Median-0.92%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Rel. Str. IBD21.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group70
Character TTM
Beta0.568
Beta Downside0.496
Hurst Exponent0.465
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD43.45%
CAGR/Max DD0.13
CAGR/Mean DD0.39
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RACE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.11, "2021-09": 1.11, "2021-12": 1.16, "2022-03": 1.29, "2022-06": 1.36, "2022-09": 1.23, "2022-12": 1.21, "2023-03": 1.62, "2023-06": 1.83, "2023-09": 1.82, "2023-12": 1.62, "2024-03": 1.95, "2024-06": 2.29, "2024-09": 2.08, "2024-12": 2.14, "2025-03": 2.3, "2025-06": 2.38, "2025-09": 2.14, "2025-12": 2.14, "2026-03": 2.33,
EPS CAGR: 16.51%
EPS Trend: 94.9%
Last SUE: -0.19
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of RACE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1034.388, 2021-09: 1053.225, 2021-12: 1172.001, 2022-03: 1185.982, 2022-06: 1291.491, 2022-09: 1249.814, 2022-12: 1367.967, 2023-03: 1429.006, 2023-06: 1473.708, 2023-09: 1544.032, 2023-12: 1523, 2024-03: 1584.629, 2024-06: 1712.059, 2024-09: 1644.439, 2024-12: 1735.541, 2025-03: 1790.75, 2025-06: 1787.553, 2025-09: 1766.156, 2025-12: 1801.309, 2026-03: 1848.074,
Rev. CAGR: 10.10%
Rev. Trend: 98.2%
Last SUE: 0.43
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +0.5% 13
Feb +1.2% 5
Mar +0.1% 0
Apr +0.2% 16
May +2.6% 29
Jun -0.3% 0
Jul -0.8% 19
Aug -0.2% 8
Sep -3.0% 23
Oct +0.1% 11
Nov +3.7% 9
Dec -5.5% 55

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RACE Ferrari

Ferrari N.V. is an Italian luxury automaker founded in 1947 and headquartered in Maranello, designing, engineering, producing, and selling high-performance sports cars globally. Its product range covers sports cars, track cars, one-offs, road cars, and supercars, positioning the company at the top of the global luxury performance car segment, which is characterized by limited production volumes and premium pricing.

Beyond vehicle sales, Ferrari generates revenue from spare parts, engines, after-sales, repair, maintenance, and restoration services, as well as brand licensing to third-party producers and retailers of luxury and lifestyle goods-a model common in the luxury sector that allows brand monetization without manufacturing involvement. The company further operates Ferrari museums in Modena and Maranello, the Il Cavallino restaurant, theme parks in Abu Dhabi and Spain, franchised and owned retail stores, and offers financing and leasing services to its customer base.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Order backlog extends past 2026 on supercar demand
  • Purosangue SUV launch expands volumes and customer mix
  • Electric supercar rollout pressured by EU emissions regulation costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 1.60b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.00 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 48.14% < 20% (prev 41.72%; Δ 6.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.61 > 3% & CFO 6.28b > Net Income 1.60b
Net Debt (-1.70b) to EBITDA (2.80b): -0.60 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.85 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (176.5m) vs 12m ago 0.78% < -2%
Gross Margin: 51.61% > 18% (prev 50.52%; Δ 1.09% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 71.49% > 50% (prev 69.43%; Δ 2.06% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 106.1 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.12b / Interest Expense TTM 20.0m)
Altman Z'' 5.60
A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 5.35b - Total Current Liabilities 1.88b) / Total Assets 10.2b
B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 4.02b / Total Assets 10.2b)
C: 0.21 (EBIT TTM 2.12b / Avg Total Assets 10.1b)
D: 0.65 (Book Value of Equity 4.05b / Total Liabilities 6.18b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.60 = AAA
Beneish M -3.74
DSRI: 0.18 (Receivables 378.9m/2.01b, Revenue 7.20b/6.88b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 50.52% / 51.61%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.27)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 7.20b / 6.88b)
TATA: -0.46 (NI 1.60b - CFO 6.28b) / TA 10.2b)
Beneish M = -3.74 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of RACE shares?

As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 327.60 with a total of 649,143 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.18%, over one month by +7.16%, over three months by +9.51% and over the past year by -20.94%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 316.00 (which is 3.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is RACE a buy, sell or hold?

Ferrari has no consensus analysts rating.

Ferrari (RACE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 66.4b (58.3b EUR * 1.1405 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 36.9175
P/E Forward = 33.67
P/S = 8.0882
P/B = 14.3912
P/EG = 4.0578
Revenue TTM = 7.20b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.12b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.80b EUR
Long Term Debt = 2.77b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 161.3m EUR (Leases only: 161.3m)
Net Debt = -1.70b EUR (calculated: Debt 161.3m - CCE 1.86b)
Enterprise Value = 56.6b EUR (58.3b + Debt 161.3m - CCE 1.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 106.1 (Ebit TTM 2.12b / Interest Expense TTM 20.0m)
EV/FCF = 40.59x (Enterprise Value 56.6b / FCF TTM 1.39b)
FCF Yield = 2.46% (FCF TTM 1.39b / Enterprise Value 56.6b)
FCF Margin = 19.35% (FCF TTM 1.39b / Revenue TTM 7.20b)
Net Margin = 22.19% (Net Income TTM 1.60b / Revenue TTM 7.20b)
Gross Margin = 51.61% ((Revenue TTM 7.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.49b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.83% (prev 51.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.52 (Enterprise Value 56.6b / Total Assets 10.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.38% (Interest Expense 20.0m / Debt 161.3m)
Taxrate = 22.75% (471.4m / 2.07b)
NOPAT = 1.64b (EBIT 2.12b * (1 - 22.75%))
Current Ratio = 2.85 (Total Current Assets 5.35b / Total Current Liabilities 1.88b)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 161.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.60 (Net Debt -1.70b / EBITDA 2.80b)
Debt / FCF = -1.22 (Net Debt -1.70b / FCF TTM 1.39b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.86% (Net Income 1.60b / Total Assets 10.2b)
RoE = 41.86% (Net Income TTM 1.60b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.82b)
RoCE = 32.19% (EBIT 2.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.82b + L.T.Debt 2.77b))
RoIC = 20.47% (NOPAT 1.64b / Invested Capital 8.00b)
WACC = 7.98% (E(58.3b)/V(58.4b) * Re(7.98%) + D(161.3m)/V(58.4b) * Rd(12.38%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -42.22 | Cagr: -0.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.82% ; FCFF base≈1.34b ; Y1≈1.47b ; Y5≈1.86b
[DCF] Fair Price = 171.4 (EV 28.5b - Net Debt -1.70b = Equity 30.2b / Shares 175.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 11.44% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.87 | EPS CAGR: 16.51% | SUE: -0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.22 | Revenue CAGR: 10.10% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.50 | Chg30d=-0.23% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.41 | Chg30d=+0.63% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.61 | Chg30d=+0.23% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+7.2% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.67 | Chg30d=+1.06% | Revisions=+58% | GrowthEPS=+10.8% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=11, down=6)