RACE Stock Analysis: Ferrari | MI

Auto Manufacturers | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 65.226m EUR | 12M Return: -8.7% | NL0011585146 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Sports Cars, Supercars, Spare Parts, Engines
Total Rating 69
Safety 89
Buy Signal 1.49
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: +5.5
Market Cap: 76.2B
Avg Turnover: 164M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.6%
VaR 5th Pctl5.66%
VaR vs Median-0.64%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.19
Rel. Str. IBD49.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group85.4
Character TTM
Beta0.576
Beta Downside0.620
Hurst Exponent0.507
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD43.45%
CAGR/Max DD0.23
CAGR/Mean DD0.66
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RACE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.11, "2021-09": 1.11, "2021-12": 1.16, "2022-03": 1.29, "2022-06": 1.36, "2022-09": 1.23, "2022-12": 1.21, "2023-03": 1.62, "2023-06": 1.83, "2023-09": 1.82, "2023-12": 1.62, "2024-03": 1.95, "2024-06": 2.29, "2024-09": 2.08, "2024-12": 2.14, "2025-03": 2.3, "2025-06": 2.38, "2025-09": 2.14, "2025-12": 2.14, "2026-03": 2.33, "2026-06": 2.62,
EPS CAGR: 13.34%
EPS Trend: 94.2%
Last SUE: 0.90
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of RACE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1034.388, 2021-09: 1053.225, 2021-12: 1172.001, 2022-03: 1185.982, 2022-06: 1291.491, 2022-09: 1249.814, 2022-12: 1367.967, 2023-03: 1429.006, 2023-06: 1473.708, 2023-09: 1544.032, 2023-12: 1523, 2024-03: 1584.629, 2024-06: 1712.059, 2024-09: 1644.439, 2024-12: 1735.541, 2025-03: 1790.75, 2025-06: 1787.553, 2025-09: 1766.156, 2025-12: 1801.309, 2026-03: 1848.074, 2026-06: 1937.769,
Rev. CAGR: 8.96%
Rev. Trend: 98.4%
Last SUE: 1.51
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Idiosyncratic Leader
Tailwind
Confidence

Seasonality 10.6 years of data

Jan +0.5% 13
Feb +1.2% 5
Mar +0.1% 0
Apr +0.2% 16
May +2.6% 29
Jun -0.3% 0
Jul -0.6% 13
Aug -0.2% 8
Sep -3.0% 23
Oct +0.1% 11
Nov +3.7% 9
Dec -5.5% 55

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RACE Ferrari

Ferrari N.V. is an Italian luxury automaker founded in 1947 and headquartered in Maranello, designing, engineering, producing, and selling high-performance sports cars globally. Its product range covers sports cars, track cars, one-offs, road cars, and supercars, positioning the company at the top of the global luxury performance car segment, which is characterized by limited production volumes and premium pricing.

Beyond vehicle sales, Ferrari generates revenue from spare parts, engines, after-sales, repair, maintenance, and restoration services, as well as brand licensing to third-party producers and retailers of luxury and lifestyle goods-a model common in the luxury sector that allows brand monetization without manufacturing involvement. The company further operates Ferrari museums in Modena and Maranello, the Il Cavallino restaurant, theme parks in Abu Dhabi and Spain, franchised and owned retail stores, and offers financing and leasing services to its customer base.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Order backlog extends past 2026 on supercar demand
  • Purosangue SUV launch expands volumes and customer mix
  • Electric supercar rollout pressured by EU emissions regulation costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 1.64b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.00 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 31.46% < 20% (prev 37.05%; Δ -5.59% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.54 > 3% & CFO 5.48b > Net Income 1.64b
Net Debt (-1.33b) to EBITDA (2.85b): -0.47 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.80 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (175.9m) vs 12m ago -0.14% < -2%
Gross Margin: 51.62% > 18% (prev 51.20%; Δ 0.41% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 74.03% > 50% (prev 72.10%; Δ 1.93% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 87.32 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.17b / Interest Expense TTM 24.8m)
Altman Z'' 4.70
A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 5.22b - Total Current Liabilities 2.90b) / Total Assets 10.2b
B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 3.64b / Total Assets 10.2b)
C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 2.17b / Avg Total Assets 9.93b)
D: 0.56 (Book Value of Equity 3.66b / Total Liabilities 6.55b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.70 = AA
Beneish M -3.68
DSRI: 0.23 (Receivables 464.2m/1.94b, Revenue 7.35b/6.96b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 51.20% / 51.62%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.28)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 7.35b / 6.96b)
TATA: -0.38 (NI 1.64b - CFO 5.48b) / TA 10.2b)
Beneish M = -3.68 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of RACE shares?

As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 363.75 with a total of 395,028 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.58%, over one month by +14.33%, over three months by +17.34% and over the past year by -8.71%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 353.60 (which is 2.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is RACE a buy, sell or hold?

Ferrari has no consensus analysts rating.

Ferrari (RACE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 76.2b (65.2b EUR * 1.1683 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 39.9892
P/E Forward = 37.594
P/S = 8.8703
P/B = 17.8297
P/EG = 4.0739
Revenue TTM = 7.35b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.17b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.85b EUR
Long Term Debt = 2.10b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 910.2m EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 157.1m EUR (Leases only: 157.1m)
Net Debt = -1.33b EUR (calculated: Debt 157.1m - CCE 1.49b)
Enterprise Value = 63.9b EUR (65.2b + Debt 157.1m - CCE 1.49b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 87.32 (Ebit TTM 2.17b / Interest Expense TTM 24.8m)
EV/FCF = 44.43x (Enterprise Value 63.9b / FCF TTM 1.44b)
FCF Yield = 2.25% (FCF TTM 1.44b / Enterprise Value 63.9b)
FCF Margin = 19.56% (FCF TTM 1.44b / Revenue TTM 7.35b)
Net Margin = 22.25% (Net Income TTM 1.64b / Revenue TTM 7.35b)
Gross Margin = 51.62% ((Revenue TTM 7.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.59% (prev 51.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.26 (Enterprise Value 63.9b / Total Assets 10.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 15.81% (Interest Expense 24.8m / Debt 157.1m)
Taxrate = 23.01% (489.7m / 2.13b)
NOPAT = 1.67b (EBIT 2.17b * (1 - 23.01%))
Current Ratio = 1.80 (Total Current Assets 5.22b / Total Current Liabilities 2.90b)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 157.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.47 (Net Debt -1.33b / EBITDA 2.85b)
Debt / FCF = -0.92 (Net Debt -1.33b / FCF TTM 1.44b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.85b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.47% (Net Income 1.64b / Total Assets 10.2b)
RoE = 42.53% (Net Income TTM 1.64b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.85b)
RoCE = 36.49% (EBIT 2.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.85b + L.T.Debt 2.10b))
RoIC = 24.05% (NOPAT 1.67b / Invested Capital 6.94b)
WACC = 8.02% (E(65.2b)/V(65.4b) * Re(8.01%) + D(157.1m)/V(65.4b) * Rd(15.81%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -68.49 | Cagr: -0.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.18% ; FCFF base≈1.41b ; Y1≈1.48b ; Y5≈1.72b
[DCF] Fair Price = 158.5 (EV 26.5b - Net Debt -1.33b = Equity 27.9b / Shares 175.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 5.81% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.17 | EPS CAGR: 13.34% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.39 | Revenue CAGR: 8.96% | SUE: 1.51 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.47 | Chg30d=+1.23% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.85 | Chg30d=+2.39% | Revisions=+72% | GrowthEPS=+10.0% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.00 | Chg30d=+2.17% | Revisions=+61% | GrowthEPS=+11.8% | GrowthRev=+8.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +74% (up=28, down=3)