UCG Stock Analysis: UniCredit S.p.A. | MI

Banks - Regional | MI, Italy | Market Cap: 122.589m EUR | 12M Return: 50.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Commercial Banking, Wealth Management, Corporate Finance, Trade Finance
Total Rating 49
Safety 50
Buy Signal 0.71
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +3.8
Market Cap: 140B
Avg Turnover: 431M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility24.9%
VaR 5th Pctl4.31%
VaR vs Median4.99%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.27
Rel. Str. IBD83.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group93.8
Character TTM
Beta0.671
Beta Downside0.330
Hurst Exponent0.430
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.17%
CAGR/Max DD2.65
CAGR/Mean DD14.78
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UCG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.46, "2021-09": 0.49, "2021-12": 2.65, "2022-03": 0.53, "2022-06": 0.84, "2022-09": 0.81, "2022-12": 0.43, "2023-03": 1.06, "2023-06": 1.12, "2023-09": 1.3, "2023-12": 0.67, "2024-03": 1.52, "2024-06": 1.61, "2024-09": 1.58, "2024-12": 1.03, "2025-03": 1.79, "2025-06": 2.03, "2025-09": 1.68, "2025-12": 1.09, "2026-03": 2.09,
EPS CAGR: 28.26%
EPS Trend: 97.3%
Last SUE: 1.34
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of UCG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 5010, 2021-09: 4375, 2021-12: 2111, 2022-03: 4957, 2022-06: 5139, 2022-09: 4854, 2022-12: 5544, 2023-03: 5912, 2023-06: 5859, 2023-09: 5956, 2023-12: 5844, 2024-03: 6373, 2024-06: 6308, 2024-09: 6130, 2024-12: 6016, 2025-03: 6554, 2025-06: 6993, 2025-09: null, 2025-12: 5348, 2026-03: 7073,
Rev. CAGR: 6.12%
Rev. Trend: 93.5%
Last SUE: 0.35
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +2.1% 28
Feb +3.8% 15
Mar -5.3% 38
Apr +1.9% 12
May +2.4% 14
Jun +0.0% 0
Jul +1.4% 26
Aug -2.0% 21
Sep +1.6% 20
Oct -2.7% 20
Nov +0.2% 19
Dec -0.9% 16

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UCG UniCredit S.p.A.

UniCredit S.p.A. is a major European commercial bank headquartered in Milan, Italy, founded in 1870. The bank operates across Italy, Germany, Central Europe, and Eastern Europe, serving retail clients, SMEs, large corporates, multinationals, financial institutions, public sector entities, and wealth/family office clients through its regional banks classification under the Financials sector.

The companys business model spans the full spectrum of retail and wholesale banking, including retail and private banking, wealth management, corporate and investment banking services such as M&A advisory, capital structure advisory, sustainable finance, securities services, and structured finance. It also provides trade and export finance, project and commodity finance, correspondent banking, and payments solutions, reflecting the diversified revenue model typical of large universal banks that combine deposit-taking with fee-based advisory and transaction banking services.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin expansion lifts Italian and German profitability
  • Russia exposure wind-down removes earnings drag
  • Share buybacks accelerate on strong capital generation
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 11.5b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.91 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 8.53b > Net Income 11.5b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (cannot be calculated)
Current Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct Total Current Assets and Liabilities)
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.50b) vs 12m ago -2.82% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 3.06% > 50% (prev 3.12%; Δ -0.06% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.11 > 6 (EBIT TTM 14.2b / Interest Expense TTM 12.8b)
What is the price of UCG shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 82.21 with a total of 4,779,004 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.05%, over one month by +14.69%, over three months by +34.98% and over the past year by +50.28%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 79.70 (which is 3.1% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is UCG a buy, sell or hold?

UniCredit S.p.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

UniCredit S.p.A. (UCG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 140b (123b EUR * 1.1405 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.2545
P/E Forward = 11.2613
P/S = 4.8142
P/B = 1.7947
P/EG = 1.265
Revenue TTM = 26.0b EUR
EBIT TTM = 14.2b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 15.4b EUR
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = unknown
 Net Debt = unknown
 Enterprise Value = 74.4b EUR (123b + (null Debt) - CCE 48.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.11 (Ebit TTM 14.2b / Interest Expense TTM 12.8b)
EV/FCF = 10.25x (Enterprise Value 74.4b / FCF TTM 7.26b)
FCF Yield = 9.76% (FCF TTM 7.26b / Enterprise Value 74.4b)
FCF Margin = 27.95% (FCF TTM 7.26b / Revenue TTM 26.0b)
Net Margin = 44.35% (Net Income TTM 11.5b / Revenue TTM 26.0b)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 26.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.08 (Enterprise Value 74.4b / Total Assets 902b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 12.8b / Debt none)
 Taxrate = 18.69% (2.66b / 14.2b)
NOPAT = 11.6b (EBIT 14.2b * (1 - 18.69%))
 Current Ratio = unknown (Total Current Assets 48.2b / Total Current Liabilities none)
 Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
 Debt / EBITDA = unknown (Net Debt none / EBITDA 15.4b)
 Debt / FCF = unknown (Net Debt none / FCF TTM 7.26b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 67.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.36% (Net Income 11.5b / Total Assets 902b)
RoE = 17.09% (Net Income TTM 11.5b / Total Stockholder Equity 67.4b)
 RoCE = unknown (EBIT 14.2b / Capital Employed )
 RoIC = unknown (NOPAT 11.6b, Invested Capital 0.0, EBIT 14.2b)
 WACC = 8.34% (E(123b)/V(123b) * Re(8.34%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 8.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.89 | Cagr: -11.56%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈7.26b ; Y1≈7.29b ; Y5≈7.72b
[DCF] Fair Price = 80.15 (EV 120b - Net Debt 0.0 = Equity 120b / Shares 1.50b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.34 | EPS CAGR: 28.26% | SUE: 1.34 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 93.52 | Revenue CAGR: 6.12% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.84 | Chg30d=-3.41% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.86 | Chg30d=+1.40% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.38 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+13.4% | GrowthRev=+6.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.31 | Chg30d=+0.71% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+12.6% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +53% (up=10, down=2)