(AAL) American Airlines - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US02376R1023
Stock: Passenger Flights, Cargo Services
Total Rating 25
Risk 34
Buy Signal 0.64
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 53.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.7% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.01 |
| Alpha | -35.42 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.835 |
| Beta Downside | 1.646 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.76% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.04 |
Description: AAL American Airlines January 07, 2026
American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) operates a global network carrier serving the United States, Latin America, Atlantic, and Pacific regions, with primary hubs in nine U.S. cities and partner gateways in major international hubs such as London, Doha, and Tokyo. The airline’s mainline fleet comprises roughly 977 aircraft, and it offers both passenger and cargo services.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was approximately $48.9 billion, with an industry-average load factor of about 81 % and an operating margin of roughly 4 % after accounting for elevated fuel and labor costs. The carrier is actively modernizing its fleet, adding A321neo and Boeing 777-200LR jets to improve fuel efficiency and reduce per-available-seat-mile (CASM) costs-a critical driver given the sector’s sensitivity to jet fuel price swings and fluctuating discretionary travel demand.
For a deeper, data-driven view of AAL’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the analytics available on ValueRay to see how these fundamentals stack up against peers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 111.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -22.49% < 20% (prev -20.55%; Δ -1.94% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 3.10b > Net Income 111.0m |
| Net Debt (34.28b) to EBITDA (3.88b): 8.84 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.50 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (661.9m) vs 12m ago -8.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.42% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2821 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.43% > 50% (prev 87.74%; Δ 0.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.11 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.88b / Interest Expense TTM 1.72b) |
Altman Z'' -1.63
| A: -0.20 (Total Current Assets 12.21b - Total Current Liabilities 24.49b) / Total Assets 61.77b |
| B: -0.11 (Retained Earnings -6.73b / Total Assets 61.77b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 1.91b / Avg Total Assets 61.78b) |
| D: -0.17 (Book Value of Equity -11.11b / Total Liabilities 65.50b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.63 = D |
Beneish M -3.29
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 2.08b/2.01b, Revenue 54.63b/54.21b) |
| GMI: 0.74 (GM 28.42% / 21.15%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 54.63b / 54.21b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 111.0m - CFO 3.10b) / TA 61.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.29 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of AAL shares?
As of February 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.24 with a total of 55,350,535 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.59%, over one month by -2.74%, over three months by +15.89% and over the past year by -10.67%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.59%, over one month by -2.74%, over three months by +15.89% and over the past year by -10.67%.
Is AAL a buy, sell or hold?
American Airlines has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.92.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy AAL.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AAL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17.7 | 16.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17.7 | 16.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.1 | 5.7% |
AAL Fundamental Data Overview February 01, 2026
P/E Trailing = 78.2353
P/E Forward = 7.1839
P/S = 0.1607
P/EG = 0.4215
Revenue TTM = 54.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.91b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.88b USD
Long Term Debt = 25.11b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 4.81b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 35.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 34.28b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 38.18b USD (8.78b + Debt 35.97b - CCE 6.57b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.11 (Ebit TTM 1.91b / Interest Expense TTM 1.72b)
EV/FCF = -56.15x (Enterprise Value 38.18b / FCF TTM -680.0m)
FCF Yield = -1.78% (FCF TTM -680.0m / Enterprise Value 38.18b)
FCF Margin = -1.24% (FCF TTM -680.0m / Revenue TTM 54.63b)
Net Margin = 0.20% (Net Income TTM 111.0m / Revenue TTM 54.63b)
Gross Margin = 28.42% ((Revenue TTM 54.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 39.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.15% (prev 17.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 38.18b / Total Assets 61.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 423.0m / Debt 35.97b)
Taxrate = 29.79% (42.0m / 141.0m)
NOPAT = 1.34b (EBIT 1.91b * (1 - 29.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.50 (Total Current Assets 12.21b / Total Current Liabilities 24.49b)
Debt / Equity = -9.65 (negative equity) (Debt 35.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.84 (Net Debt 34.28b / EBITDA 3.88b)
Debt / FCF = -50.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 34.28b / FCF TTM -680.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -4.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.18% (Net Income 111.0m / Total Assets 61.77b)
RoE = -2.76% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 111.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -4.02b)
RoCE = 9.03% (EBIT 1.91b / Capital Employed (Equity -4.02b + L.T.Debt 25.11b))
RoIC = 5.30% (NOPAT 1.34b / Invested Capital 25.23b)
WACC = 3.15% (E(8.78b)/V(44.75b) * Re(12.68%) + D(35.97b)/V(44.75b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 12.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.36%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -680.0m)
EPS Correlation: 0.46 | EPS CAGR: 167.0% | SUE: -0.85 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.25 | Revenue CAGR: 12.84% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.28 | Chg30d=+0.023 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.08 | Chg30d=+0.202 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+478.6% | Growth Revenue=+8.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.72 | Chg30d=+0.141 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+30.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
P/E Forward = 7.1839
P/S = 0.1607
P/EG = 0.4215
Revenue TTM = 54.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.91b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.88b USD
Long Term Debt = 25.11b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 4.81b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 35.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 34.28b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 38.18b USD (8.78b + Debt 35.97b - CCE 6.57b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.11 (Ebit TTM 1.91b / Interest Expense TTM 1.72b)
EV/FCF = -56.15x (Enterprise Value 38.18b / FCF TTM -680.0m)
FCF Yield = -1.78% (FCF TTM -680.0m / Enterprise Value 38.18b)
FCF Margin = -1.24% (FCF TTM -680.0m / Revenue TTM 54.63b)
Net Margin = 0.20% (Net Income TTM 111.0m / Revenue TTM 54.63b)
Gross Margin = 28.42% ((Revenue TTM 54.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 39.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.15% (prev 17.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 38.18b / Total Assets 61.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 423.0m / Debt 35.97b)
Taxrate = 29.79% (42.0m / 141.0m)
NOPAT = 1.34b (EBIT 1.91b * (1 - 29.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.50 (Total Current Assets 12.21b / Total Current Liabilities 24.49b)
Debt / Equity = -9.65 (negative equity) (Debt 35.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.84 (Net Debt 34.28b / EBITDA 3.88b)
Debt / FCF = -50.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 34.28b / FCF TTM -680.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -4.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.18% (Net Income 111.0m / Total Assets 61.77b)
RoE = -2.76% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 111.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -4.02b)
RoCE = 9.03% (EBIT 1.91b / Capital Employed (Equity -4.02b + L.T.Debt 25.11b))
RoIC = 5.30% (NOPAT 1.34b / Invested Capital 25.23b)
WACC = 3.15% (E(8.78b)/V(44.75b) * Re(12.68%) + D(35.97b)/V(44.75b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 12.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.36%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -680.0m)
EPS Correlation: 0.46 | EPS CAGR: 167.0% | SUE: -0.85 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.25 | Revenue CAGR: 12.84% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.28 | Chg30d=+0.023 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.08 | Chg30d=+0.202 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+478.6% | Growth Revenue=+8.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.72 | Chg30d=+0.141 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+30.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%