ABNB Stock Analysis: Airbnb | NASDAQ

Travel Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 87.346m USD | 12M Return: 9.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Stays, Experiences, Bookings, Gift Cards
Total Rating 47
Safety 71
Buy Signal 0.13
Travel Services
Industry Rotation: -15.5
Market Cap: 87.3B
Avg Turnover: 538M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.3%
VaR 5th Pctl5.75%
VaR vs Median1.89%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.33
Rel. Str. IBD58.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group48.2
Character TTM
Beta1.452
Beta Downside1.794
Hurst Exponent0.630
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD37.16%
CAGR/Max DD0.12
CAGR/Mean DD0.25
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ABNB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.11, "2021-09": 1.23, "2021-12": 0.08, "2022-03": -0.01, "2022-06": 0.65, "2022-09": 1.79, "2022-12": 0.48, "2023-03": 0.18, "2023-06": 0.98, "2023-09": 6.63, "2023-12": 0.76, "2024-03": 0.41, "2024-06": 0.86, "2024-09": 2.13, "2024-12": 0.73, "2025-03": 0.24, "2025-06": 1.03, "2025-09": 2.21, "2025-12": 0.56, "2026-03": 0.26,
EPS CAGR: -19.69%
EPS Trend: -52.3%
Last SUE: -0.44
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ABNB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1335.196, 2021-09: 2237.432, 2021-12: 1532.196, 2022-03: 1509, 2022-06: 2104, 2022-09: 2884, 2022-12: 1901.546, 2023-03: 1818, 2023-06: 2484, 2023-09: 3397, 2023-12: 2218, 2024-03: 2142, 2024-06: 2748, 2024-09: 3732, 2024-12: 2480, 2025-03: 2272, 2025-06: 3096, 2025-09: 4095, 2025-12: 2778, 2026-03: 2678,
Rev. CAGR: 11.78%
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: 0.81
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 5.5 years of data

Jan -0.6% 0
Feb +4.0% 44
Mar -0.5% 0
Apr -2.4% 0
May -6.9% 29
Jun +1.1% 0
Jul +7.5% 0
Aug -7.7% 15
Sep -1.0% 0
Oct +2.3% 14
Nov -2.0% 14
Dec -4.9% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ABNB Airbnb

Airbnb, Inc. (NASDAQ: ABNB) operates a global online marketplace that connects hosts and guests for short-term stays, experiences, and related services, accessible via web and mobile devices. The company also sells gift cards and generates revenue primarily through booking fees charged to both guests and hosts.

The company was founded in 2007 as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc., was renamed Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010, and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. It went public on December 10, 2020, and is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines sub-industry). Airbnbs business model is asset-light: rather than owning lodging properties, it earns commissions by facilitating transactions between independent hosts and travelers, positioning it as a platform-based participant in the broader travel and accommodation industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Nights and Experiences Booked growth drives revenue beat
  • Short-term rental regulations tighten in major global cities
  • Share buybacks accelerate as free cash flow surges
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 2.52b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.54 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 57.22% < 20% (prev 40.64%; Δ 16.58% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 4.57b > Net Income 2.52b
Net Debt (-9.47b) to EBITDA (2.85b): -3.33 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.44 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (608.0m) vs 12m ago -3.80% < -2%
Gross Margin: 82.91% > 18% (prev 83.05%; Δ -0.14% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 48.75% > 50% (prev 44.83%; Δ 3.92% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 2.12
A: 0.27 (Total Current Assets 23.6b - Total Current Liabilities 16.4b) / Total Assets 26.8b
B: -0.24 (Retained Earnings -6.40b / Total Assets 26.8b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 2.76b / Avg Total Assets 25.9b)
D: 0.40 (Book Value of Equity 7.64b / Total Liabilities 19.2b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.12 = BBB
Beneish M -3.80
DSRI: 0.10 (Receivables 191.0m/9.35b, Revenue 12.6b/11.2b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 83.05% / 82.91%)
AQI: 0.80 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.14)
SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 12.6b / 11.2b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 2.52b - CFO 4.57b) / TA 26.8b)
Beneish M = -3.80 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of ABNB shares?

As of July 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 148.93 with a total of 3,496,700 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.97%, over one month by +11.48%, over three months by +17.44% and over the past year by +9.11%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 142.80 (which is 4.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is ABNB a buy, sell or hold?

Airbnb has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.36. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ABNB.

  • StrongBuy: 12
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 25
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 4

What are the forecasts/targets for the ABNB price?
Analysts Target Price 156.7 5.2%
Airbnb (ABNB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 87.3b (87.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 36.3383
P/E Forward = 28.2486
P/S = 6.9065
P/B = 11.4387
P/EG = 1.36
Revenue TTM = 12.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.76b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.85b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 59.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 59.0m
Net Debt = -9.47b USD (calculated: Debt 2.59b - CCE 12.1b)
Enterprise Value = 77.9b USD (87.3b + Debt 2.59b - CCE 12.1b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 2.76b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 17.12x (Enterprise Value 77.9b / FCF TTM 4.55b)
FCF Yield = 5.84% (FCF TTM 4.55b / Enterprise Value 77.9b)
FCF Margin = 35.97% (FCF TTM 4.55b / Revenue TTM 12.6b)
Net Margin = 19.90% (Net Income TTM 2.52b / Revenue TTM 12.6b)
Gross Margin = 82.91% ((Revenue TTM 12.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.30% (prev 82.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.90 (Enterprise Value 77.9b / Total Assets 26.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 2.59b)
Taxrate = 22.43% (728.0m / 3.25b)
NOPAT = 2.14b (EBIT 2.76b * (1 - 22.43%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 23.6b / Total Current Liabilities 16.4b)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 2.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.64b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.33 (Net Debt -9.47b / EBITDA 2.85b)
Debt / FCF = -2.08 (Net Debt -9.47b / FCF TTM 4.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.70% (Net Income 2.52b / Total Assets 26.8b)
RoE = 31.24% (Net Income TTM 2.52b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.06b)
RoCE = 26.18% (EBIT 2.76b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.06b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 21.62% (NOPAT 2.14b / Invested Capital 9.89b)
WACC = 10.77% (E(87.3b)/V(89.9b) * Re(11.09%) + D(2.59b)/V(89.9b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 11.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.91 | Cagr: -2.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.04% ; FCFF base≈4.48b ; Y1≈4.64b ; Y5≈5.23b
[DCF] Fair Price = 159.4 (EV 57.1b - Net Debt -9.47b = Equity 66.6b / Shares 417.9m; r=10.77% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 3.76% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -52.33 | EPS CAGR: -19.69% | SUE: -0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.46 | Revenue CAGR: 11.78% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.75 | Chg30d=+0.36% | Revisions=+52% | Analysts=29
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.09 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+26.2% | GrowthRev=+14.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.05 | Chg30d=+0.33% | Revisions=+59% | GrowthEPS=+18.9% | GrowthRev=+10.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +59%