(ABVX) Abivax American Depositary - Ratings and Ratios
Obefazimod, Immunoregulatory Candidate, Inflammatory Therapy, Clinical Trial
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 69.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 84.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -19.14% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.10 |
| Alpha | 941.92 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.519 |
| Beta | 2.312 |
| Beta Downside | 1.115 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.46% |
| Mean DD | 26.37% |
| Median DD | 19.76% |
Description: ABVX Abivax American Depositary November 13, 2025
ABIVAX SA (NASDAQ: ABVX) is a Paris-based, clinical-stage biotech that develops small-molecule immunomodulators aimed at restoring immune balance in chronic inflammatory disorders. Its flagship candidate, obefazimod, is currently in a pivotal Phase 3 trial for moderate-to-severe ulcerative colitis and a Phase 2b study for Crohn’s disease, positioning the company as a potential entrant in the $10 billion global IBD therapeutic market.
Key quantitative signals as of the latest filing (Q2 2024) include a cash runway of roughly €120 million, a net loss of €45 million for the year-to-date, and a market capitalization near $350 million, implying a price-to-cash-burn multiple of about 2.9×. The biotech sector’s funding environment remains supportive, with R&D spend rising 8 % YoY across the industry, while regulatory pathways for novel IBD agents have been streamlined after recent FDA guidances, which could accelerate time-to-market if Phase 3 data prove positive.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a comprehensive model that can help you quantify the upside and downside of ABVX’s pipeline milestones.
ABVX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 8,601m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2023-10-20 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 867% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.43 of 5 |
ABVX Dividends
Currently no dividends paidABVX Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 197.98% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 2.93 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 7.51 |
| Current Volume | 2423k |
| Average Volume | 878.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (-288.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 768.5k TTM) |
| FCFTA -1.77 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -135.9pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -204.9% (prev 4326 %; Δ -4531 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -1.77 (>3.0%) and CFO -211.4m > Net Income -288.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.77 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (63.4m) change vs 12m ago 31.31% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -2450 % (prev 84.54%; Δ -2535 pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 5.73% (prev 1.40%; Δ 4.34pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -17.35 (EBITDA TTM -265.5m / Interest Expense TTM 15.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -27.16
| (A) -0.22 = (Total Current Assets 86.1m - Total Current Liabilities 112.4m) / Total Assets 119.6m |
| (B) -4.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -528.6m / Total Assets 119.6m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -4.42 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -1.19 = EBIT TTM -266.7m / Avg Total Assets 223.4m |
| (D) -3.14 = Book Value of Equity -527.5m / Total Liabilities 167.9m |
| Total Rating: -27.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.79
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt = -4.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.84% = -1.42 |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity -2.04 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.14 = -2.50 |
| 7. RoE data missing |
| 8. Rev. Trend -12.71% = -0.95 |
| 9. EPS Trend 3.20% = 0.16 |
What is the price of ABVX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.86%, over one month by +12.85%, over three months by +58.70% and over the past year by +1008.33%.
Is Abivax American Depositary a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ABVX is around 99.72 USD . This means that ABVX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.67%.
Is ABVX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ABVX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 117.3 | 6.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 117.3 | 6.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 117.1 | 6.1% |
ABVX Fundamental Data Overview November 08, 2025
P/S = 1342.591
P/B = 8.741
Beta = -0.111
Revenue TTM = 12.8m EUR
EBIT TTM = -266.7m EUR
EBITDA TTM = -265.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 34.8m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 48.8m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 98.7m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 37.8m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.46b EUR (7.42b + Debt 98.7m - CCE 60.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -17.35 (Ebit TTM -266.7m / Interest Expense TTM 15.4m)
FCF Yield = -2.84% (FCF TTM -212.0m / Enterprise Value 7.46b)
FCF Margin = -1655 % (FCF TTM -212.0m / Revenue TTM 12.8m)
Net Margin = -2253 % (Net Income TTM -288.6m / Revenue TTM 12.8m)
Gross Margin = -2450 % ((Revenue TTM 12.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 326.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -4645 % (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 62.32 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 7.46b / Total Assets 119.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.10% (Interest Expense 7.01m / Debt 98.7m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -100.8m)
NOPAT = -266.7m (EBIT -266.7m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 86.1m / Total Current Liabilities 112.4m)
Debt / Equity = -2.04 (negative equity) (Debt 98.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -48.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.14 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 37.8m / EBITDA -265.5m)
Debt / FCF = -0.18 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 37.8m / FCF TTM -212.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -241.2% (out of range, set to none)
RoE = -1029 % (out of range, set to none) (Net Income TTM -288.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 28.0m)
RoCE = -424.5% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -266.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 28.0m + L.T.Debt 34.8m))
RoIC = -451.0% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -266.7m / Invested Capital 59.1m)
WACC = 14.43% (E(7.42b)/V(7.52b) * Re(14.53%) + D(98.7m)/V(7.52b) * Rd(7.10%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 14.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 14.59%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -212.0m)
EPS Correlation: 3.20 | EPS CAGR: 62.22% | SUE: 1.80 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -12.71 | Revenue CAGR: -4.85% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ABVX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle