(ACAD) ACADIA Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
Parkinsons Psychosis Drug, Rett Syndrome Treatment, Schizophrenia Candidate, Alzheimers Psychosis Drug, Essential Tremor Candidate
ACAD EPS (Earnings per Share)
ACAD Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.6% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.71 |
| Alpha Jensen | 24.64 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.365 |
| Beta | 0.682 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.87% |
| Mean DD | 31.00% |
Description: ACAD ACADIA Pharmaceuticals November 09, 2025
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ACAD) is a U.S.-based biopharma focused on central nervous system (CNS) disorders and rare diseases, commercializing NUPLAZID (pimavanserin) for Parkinson’s disease psychosis and developing a pipeline of novel agents across schizophrenia, Prader-Willi syndrome, Alzheimer’s disease psychosis, essential tremor, treatment-resistant depression, Rett syndrome, and Fragile X.
NUPLAZID generated $215 million in 2023 revenue, representing roughly 70 % of ACAD’s total sales, and the drug benefits from a 10-year orphan exclusivity period that underpins a stable cash flow in a niche market.
The pipeline’s most advanced candidates include pimavanserin for negative-symptom schizophrenia (Phase III completed), ACP-101 for hyperphagia in Prader-Willi syndrome (Phase III completed), and ACP-204 for Alzheimer’s disease and Lewy-body dementia psychosis (Phase II completed); collectively these address indications with an estimated addressable market of >$8 billion in the U.S. alone.
As of the latest 10-Q, ACAD held $450 million of cash and marketable securities, giving it roughly 18 months of runway at current burn rates; R&D expense averaged $120 million annually, reflecting a heavy investment in late-stage trials.
The CNS biotech sector is being propelled by an aging population, rising prevalence of neurodegenerative disorders, and favorable regulatory pathways for rare-disease therapies, all of which create a supportive macro environment for ACAD’s focus areas.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of ACAD’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
ACAD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,818m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2004-05-27 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 16.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.95 of 5 |
ACAD Dividends
Currently no dividends paidACAD Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 16.85% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.29 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.54 |
| Current Volume | 2390.6k |
| Average Volume | 1660.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (261.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 62.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 68.74% (prev 47.82%; Δ 20.93pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 198.9m <= Net Income 261.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-215.0m) to EBITDA (105.5m) ratio: -2.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (170.7m) change vs 12m ago 2.69% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 91.92% (prev 91.61%; Δ 0.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 90.75% (prev 95.12%; Δ -4.37pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.27 (EBITDA TTM 105.5m / Interest Expense TTM -215.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.52
| (A) 0.54 = (Total Current Assets 1.08b - Total Current Liabilities 356.6m) / Total Assets 1.33b |
| (B) -1.57 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.09b / Total Assets 1.33b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.57 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 58.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.15b |
| (D) -5.04 = Book Value of Equity -2.09b / Total Liabilities 413.5m |
| Total Rating: -6.52 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 86.09
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.56% = 3.28 |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.89% = 4.72 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.05 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -2.04 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 37.69)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 32.27% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 88.17% = 6.61 |
| 9. EPS Trend 69.42% = 3.47 |
What is the price of ACAD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.06%, over one month by +20.29%, over three months by -5.19% and over the past year by +34.58%.
Is ACADIA Pharmaceuticals a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ACAD is around 22.00 USD . This means that ACAD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -8.83%.
Is ACAD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ACAD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 29.1 | 20.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 29.1 | 20.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 24.5 | 1.6% |
ACAD Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 14.5613
P/E Forward = 20.7469
P/S = 3.6466
P/B = 4.3861
P/EG = -0.42
Beta = 0.682
Revenue TTM = 1.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 58.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 105.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 52.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 19.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 43.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -215.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.01b USD (3.82b + Debt 43.0m - CCE 847.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.27 (Ebit TTM 58.7m / Interest Expense TTM -215.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.56% (FCF TTM 197.8m / Enterprise Value 3.01b)
FCF Margin = 18.89% (FCF TTM 197.8m / Revenue TTM 1.05b)
Net Margin = 24.94% (Net Income TTM 261.2m / Revenue TTM 1.05b)
Gross Margin = 91.92% ((Revenue TTM 1.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 84.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 92.23% (prev 92.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.27 (Enterprise Value 3.01b / Total Assets 1.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.08% (Interest Expense 9.07m / Debt 43.0m)
Taxrate = -60.96% (out of range, set to none) (-27.2m / 44.6m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 3.02 (Total Current Assets 1.08b / Total Current Liabilities 356.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 43.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 917.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.04 (Net Debt -215.0m / EBITDA 105.5m)
Debt / FCF = -1.09 (Net Debt -215.0m / FCF TTM 197.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 809.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.63% (Net Income 261.2m / Total Assets 1.33b)
RoE = 32.27% (Net Income TTM 261.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 809.4m)
RoCE = 6.81% (EBIT 58.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 809.4m + L.T.Debt 52.0m))
RoIC = 46.12% (EBIT 58.7m / (Assets 1.33b - Curr.Liab 356.6m - Cash 847.0m))
WACC = 8.43% (E(3.82b)/V(3.86b) * Re(8.53%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.24%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.29% ; FCFE base≈199.7m ; Y1≈131.1m ; Y5≈60.0m
Fair Price DCF = 6.42 (DCF Value 1.09b / Shares Outstanding 169.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 69.42 | EPS CAGR: 81.76% | SUE: 1.27 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 88.17 | Revenue CAGR: 29.63% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ACAD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle