(ACDC) ProFrac Holding - Overview
Stock: Hydraulic Fracturing, Proppant, Pumps, Valves
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 89.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.69% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.16 |
| Alpha | -59.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.128 |
| Beta Downside | 3.048 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 85.29% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.44 |
Description: ACDC ProFrac Holding January 20, 2026
ProFrac Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: ACDC) is a U.S.-based, technology-focused energy-services holding company that operates through three primary segments: Stimulation Services, Proppant Production, and Manufacturing. The firm supplies hydraulic fracturing, well-stimulation, and completion services-including in-basin frac sand-to upstream oil and natural-gas producers targeting unconventional resources, while also designing and selling high-horsepower pumps, valves, piping, swivels, large-bore manifolds, and fluid-end equipment.
Key operational metrics from the latest filing (Q4 2023) show total revenue of roughly $84 million, with the Stimulation Services segment contributing about 55 % of sales and a gross margin of 28 %. Proppant Production generated $19 million in revenue, benefiting from a 12 % year-over-year increase in sand demand tied to higher oil-price breakeven levels (≈ $70 per barrel). The Manufacturing segment, though smaller, reported a 15 % EBIT margin, reflecting strong pricing power on specialty pump components amid a tightening supply chain for high-performance drilling equipment.
Sector-wide, ProFrac’s outlook is closely linked to U.S. shale capital-expenditure cycles, which historically rise when the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price stays above $70 per barrel for sustained periods and when rig counts exceed 500 units-a threshold that has been met in 7 of the last 12 months. Investors seeking a deeper quantitative view may find ValueRay’s proprietary analytics useful for benchmarking ACDC against peer-group cash-flow conversion and break-even oil-price sensitivity.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -329.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.84 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.77% < 20% (prev -1.55%; Δ -1.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 216.5m > Net Income -329.3m |
| Net Debt (1.15b) to EBITDA (260.7m): 4.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (170.8m) vs 12m ago 6.68% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 3.94% > 18% (prev 0.14%; Δ 380.0% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.69% > 50% (prev 70.96%; Δ -4.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.15 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 260.7m / Interest Expense TTM 144.3m) |
Altman Z'' -1.34
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 541.3m - Total Current Liabilities 595.6m) / Total Assets 2.74b |
| B: -0.17 (Retained Earnings -466.2m / Total Assets 2.74b) |
| C: -0.06 (EBIT TTM -166.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.94b) |
| D: -0.26 (Book Value of Equity -464.4m / Total Liabilities 1.79b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.34 = CCC |
Beneish M -1.03
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 288.2m/358.2m, Revenue 1.96b/2.23b) |
| GMI: 3.52 (GM 3.94% / 13.85%) |
| AQI: 1.14 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 1.96b / 2.23b) |
| TATA: -0.20 (NI -329.3m - CFO 216.5m) / TA 2.74b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.03 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of ACDC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.07%, over one month by +27.55%, over three months by +5.09% and over the past year by -28.97%.
Is ACDC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the ACDC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4 | -25.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4 | -25.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.4 | -18.6% |
ACDC Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/S = 0.502
P/B = 1.0512
Revenue TTM = 1.96b USD
EBIT TTM = -166.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 260.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 911.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 186.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.15b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.13b USD (983.9m + Debt 1.21b - CCE 58.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.15 (Ebit TTM -166.3m / Interest Expense TTM 144.3m)
EV/FCF = 106.7x (Enterprise Value 2.13b / FCF TTM 20.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.94% (FCF TTM 20.0m / Enterprise Value 2.13b)
FCF Margin = 1.02% (FCF TTM 20.0m / Revenue TTM 1.96b)
Net Margin = -16.80% (Net Income TTM -329.3m / Revenue TTM 1.96b)
Gross Margin = 3.94% ((Revenue TTM 1.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.88b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -5.95% (prev 4.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 2.13b / Total Assets 2.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.86% (Interest Expense 34.5m / Debt 1.21b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -131.4m (EBIT -166.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 541.3m / Total Current Liabilities 595.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.40 (Debt 1.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 862.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.41 (Net Debt 1.15b / EBITDA 260.7m)
Debt / FCF = 57.48 (Net Debt 1.15b / FCF TTM 20.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 933.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.20% (Net Income -329.3m / Total Assets 2.74b)
RoE = -35.29% (Net Income TTM -329.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 933.1m)
RoCE = -9.01% (EBIT -166.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 933.1m + L.T.Debt 911.6m))
RoIC = -6.47% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -131.4m / Invested Capital 2.03b)
WACC = 7.42% (E(983.9m)/V(2.19b) * Re(13.76%) + D(1.21b)/V(2.19b) * Rd(2.86%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.51%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.95% ; FCFF base≈56.8m ; Y1≈37.3m ; Y5≈17.0m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 371.0m - Net Debt 1.15b = -778.5m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -75.73 | EPS CAGR: -1.47% | SUE: 2.22 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -31.34 | Revenue CAGR: -12.08% | SUE: -0.34 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.40 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.30 | Chg30d=+0.006 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+22.0% | Growth Revenue=-7.2%