ACGL Stock Analysis: Arch Capital | NASDAQ
Insurance - Diversified | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 33.881m USD | 12M Return: 9% | BMG0450A1053 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 185M
EPS Trend: 71.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 94.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) is a Bermuda-domiciled insurer operating through three segments-Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage-serving clients across the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The Insurance and Reinsurance segments write commercial lines such as casualty, property, marine and aviation, and specialty products, while the Mortgage segment provides U.S. primary mortgage insurance largely on loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, alongside credit-risk transfer reinsurance and international mortgage business. Products are distributed exclusively through independent retail and wholesale brokers, a model widely used in commercial property and casualty underwriting. Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda-a leading offshore hub for insurance and reinsurance companies-Arch Capital is classified in the Financials sectors Property & Casualty Insurance sub-industry.
- Mortgage insurance losses rise as housing market deteriorates
- Reinsurance pricing softens amid moderating catastrophe activity
- Insurance segment combined ratio improves on disciplined underwriting
| Net Income: 4.69b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.34 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -211.3% < 20% (prev -89.91%; Δ -121.4% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 7.29b > Net Income 4.69b |
| Net Debt (3.18b) to EBITDA (5.60b): 0.57 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.21 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (348.8m) vs 12m ago -8.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.19% > 18% (prev 33.51%; Δ 12.68% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 25.54% > 50% (prev 24.20%; Δ 1.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 34.90 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.44b / Interest Expense TTM 156.0m) |
| A: -0.57 (Total Current Assets 10.5b - Total Current Liabilities 51.1b) / Total Assets 71.5b |
| B: 0.41 (Retained Earnings 29.1b / Total Assets 71.5b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 5.44b / Avg Total Assets 75.2b) |
| D: 0.51 (Book Value of Equity 24.0b / Total Liabilities 47.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.37 = CCC |
As of August 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 98.03 with a total of 1,053,151 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.27%, over one month by -4.88%, over three months by +5.05% and over the past year by +8.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 94.60 (which is 3.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Arch Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ACGL.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 111.4 | 13.6% |
P/E Trailing = 7.751
P/E Forward = 10.7411
P/S = 1.7605
P/B = 1.4773
P/EG = 1.0547
Revenue TTM = 19.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.44b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.60b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.73b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 4.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.18b USD (calculated: Debt 4.29b - CCE 1.11b)
Enterprise Value = 37.1b USD (33.9b + Debt 4.29b - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 34.90 (Ebit TTM 5.44b / Interest Expense TTM 156.0m)
EV/FCF = 5.12x (Enterprise Value 37.1b / FCF TTM 7.24b)
FCF Yield = 19.52% (FCF TTM 7.24b / Enterprise Value 37.1b)
FCF Margin = 37.69% (FCF TTM 7.24b / Revenue TTM 19.2b)
Net Margin = 24.44% (Net Income TTM 4.69b / Revenue TTM 19.2b)
Gross Margin = 46.19% ((Revenue TTM 19.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.89% (prev 52.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.52 (Enterprise Value 37.1b / Total Assets 71.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.64% (Interest Expense 156.0m / Debt 4.29b)
Taxrate = 12.77% (687.0m / 5.38b)
NOPAT = 4.75b (EBIT 5.44b * (1 - 12.77%))
Current Ratio = 0.21 (Total Current Assets 10.5b / Total Current Liabilities 51.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 4.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 24.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.57 (Net Debt 3.18b / EBITDA 5.60b)
Debt / FCF = 0.44 (Net Debt 3.18b / FCF TTM 7.24b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.24% (Net Income 4.69b / Total Assets 71.5b)
RoE = 19.52% (Net Income TTM 4.69b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.0b)
RoCE = 20.34% (EBIT 5.44b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.0b + L.T.Debt 2.73b))
RoIC = 7.52% (NOPAT 4.75b / Invested Capital 63.1b)
WACC = 5.27% (E(33.9b)/V(38.2b) * Re(5.53%) + D(4.29b)/V(38.2b) * Rd(3.64%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 5.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -78.72 | Cagr: -3.79%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈6.79b ; Y1≈7.79b ; Y5≈11.5b
[DCF] Fair Price = 496.0 (EV 172b - Net Debt 3.18b = Equity 169b / Shares 341.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 71.23 | EPS CAGR: 7.42% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.78 | Revenue CAGR: 19.12% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.84 | Chg30d=-0.20% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.39 | Chg30d=+1.14% | Revisions=-11% | GrowthEPS=-4.6% | GrowthRev=-4.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.76 | Chg30d=-1.24% | Revisions=-39% | GrowthEPS=+4.0% | GrowthRev=+0.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33% (up=14, down=29)