(ACLX) Arcellx - Ratings and Ratios
Anitocabtagene Autoleucel, ACLX-001, ACLX-002, ACLX-003, ARC-SparX
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 70.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.62% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 |
| Alpha | -11.14 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.306 |
| Beta | 1.046 |
| Beta Downside | 0.972 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.44% |
| Mean DD | 20.06% |
| Median DD | 19.91% |
Description: ACLX Arcellx November 08, 2025
Arcellx Inc. (NASDAQ: ACLX) is a U.S. biotech focused on developing cell-based immunotherapies for hematologic malignancies and solid tumors. Its lead candidate, anitocabtagene autoleucel (ddCAR), is in a Phase 2 trial for relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) and is co-developed with Kite Pharma. Additional pipelines include ACLX-001 (Phase 1 BCMA-targeted RRMM), ARC-SparX (Phase 1), ACLX-002 (Phase 1 CD123-targeted AML/MDS), and pre-clinical ACLX-003 for AML/MDS, plus early-stage solid-tumor programs.
Key data points to watch: • As of Q3 2024, Arcellx reported cash and equivalents of roughly $140 million, giving it ~12 months of runway at current burn (~$12 million per quarter). • The BCMA market is projected to exceed $10 billion by 2028, with competitors like BMS and J&J already commercialized, making market share capture a critical driver. • Arcellx’s strategic alliance with Kite provides access to Kite’s manufacturing and commercialization infrastructure, potentially lowering capital-intensive rollout costs.
If you want a more granular look at ACLX’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, ValueRay’s analyst commentary can be a useful next step.
ACLX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,203m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2022-02-04 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -8.19% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.67 of 5 |
ACLX Dividends
Currently no dividends paidACLX Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 61.27% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.21 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.06 |
| Current Volume | 847.5k |
| Average Volume | 398.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income (-217.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.15m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.31 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -31.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 985.3% (prev 289.0%; Δ 696.3pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.30 (>3.0%) and CFO -198.1m > Net Income -217.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.99 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (56.6m) change vs 12m ago 5.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -2.25% (prev 97.36%; Δ -99.61pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 5.05% (prev 20.37%; Δ -15.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -11.4k (EBITDA TTM -209.5m / Interest Expense TTM 19.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.08
| (A) 0.54 = (Total Current Assets 472.1m - Total Current Liabilities 118.4m) / Total Assets 655.9m |
| (B) -1.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -667.6m / Total Assets 655.9m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.02 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.30 = EBIT TTM -216.3m / Avg Total Assets 710.4m |
| (D) -3.10 = Book Value of Equity -666.9m / Total Liabilities 215.1m |
| Total Rating: -5.08 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 32.35
| 1. Piotroski 0.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -4.20% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.13 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -60.54)% |
| 7. RoE -51.13% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 10.91% |
| 9. EPS Trend -36.90% |
What is the price of ACLX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.46%, over one month by +3.23%, over three months by +25.26% and over the past year by +2.69%.
Is ACLX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ACLX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 113.1 | 26.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 113.1 | 26.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 120.4 | 34.4% |
ACLX Fundamental Data Overview November 18, 2025
P/S = 144.9357
P/B = 11.8066
Beta = 0.313
Revenue TTM = 35.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -216.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -209.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 51.8m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.47m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 51.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -27.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.79b USD (5.20b + Debt 51.8m - CCE 461.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.4k (Ebit TTM -216.3m / Interest Expense TTM 19.0k)
FCF Yield = -4.20% (FCF TTM -201.2m / Enterprise Value 4.79b)
FCF Margin = -560.4% (FCF TTM -201.2m / Revenue TTM 35.9m)
Net Margin = -607.0% (Net Income TTM -217.9m / Revenue TTM 35.9m)
Gross Margin = -2.25% ((Revenue TTM 35.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 36.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -609.0% (prev 78.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.31 (Enterprise Value 4.79b / Total Assets 655.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.04% (Interest Expense 19.0k / Debt 51.8m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -55.8m)
NOPAT = -216.3m (EBIT -216.3m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.99 (Total Current Assets 472.1m / Total Current Liabilities 118.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 51.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 440.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.13 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -27.2m / EBITDA -209.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -27.2m / FCF TTM -201.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 426.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -33.22% (Net Income -217.9m / Total Assets 655.9m)
RoE = -51.13% (Net Income TTM -217.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 426.2m)
RoCE = -45.26% (EBIT -216.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 426.2m + L.T.Debt 51.8m))
RoIC = -50.77% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -216.3m / Invested Capital 426.2m)
WACC = 9.77% (E(5.20b)/V(5.25b) * Re(9.87%) + D(51.8m)/V(5.25b) * Rd(0.04%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 9.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.04%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -201.2m)
EPS Correlation: -36.90 | EPS CAGR: -23.79% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 10.91 | Revenue CAGR: 69.60% | SUE: -0.51 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ACLX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle