(ADBE) Adobe Systems - Ratings and Ratios
Creative, Document, Experience, Advertising, Publishing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.31% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.70 |
| Alpha | -36.40 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.01 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.484 |
| Beta | 0.834 |
| Beta Downside | 1.005 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.78% |
| Mean DD | 21.10% |
| Median DD | 18.67% |
Description: ADBE Adobe Systems December 01, 2025
Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) operates globally as a technology firm organized into three primary segments. The Digital Media segment delivers Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and related services that enable creators-from photographers to game developers-to produce and publish content via subscription-based, cloud-enabled applications. The Digital Experience segment provides an end-to-end platform for brands to design, manage, and monetize customer interactions, covering analytics, personalization, and commerce tools. The Publishing & Advertising segment adds e-learning, web-conferencing, high-end printing, and Adobe Advertising solutions, supported by consulting, training, and support services.
Key market metrics that reinforce Adobe’s growth narrative include: (1) FY 2024 total revenue of approximately $5.8 billion, reflecting a 12 % year-over-year increase driven largely by subscription renewals; (2) subscription revenue now accounts for over 90 % of total revenue, delivering an operating margin near 35 %, well above the application-software industry average of ~28 %; and (3) the company’s AI-focused partnership with HUMAIN and its own generative-AI initiatives are expected to lift average revenue per user (ARPU) by 4-6 % annually, according to internal guidance. Macro-level drivers such as sustained corporate digital-transformation spending and a rebound in global advertising budgets further underpin demand for Adobe’s Creative and Experience clouds.
If you want a data-rich, independent perspective on Adobe’s valuation and risk profile, checking out ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can be a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (7.13b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.43b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.33 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.52pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -0.16% (prev 3.31%; Δ -3.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.34 (>3.0%) and CFO 10.03b > Net Income 7.13b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.22b) to EBITDA (9.75b) ratio: 0.12 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.00 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (417.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.87% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 89.11% (prev 89.04%; Δ 0.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 79.59% (prev 71.14%; Δ 8.46pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 33.96 (EBITDA TTM 9.75b / Interest Expense TTM 263.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 9.66
| (A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 10.16b - Total Current Liabilities 10.20b) / Total Assets 29.50b |
| (B) 1.54 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 45.35b / Total Assets 29.50b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.54 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.30 = EBIT TTM 8.93b / Avg Total Assets 29.86b |
| (D) 2.52 = Book Value of Equity 45.11b / Total Liabilities 17.87b |
| Total Rating: 9.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 96.59
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.63% |
| 3. FCF Margin 41.45% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.57 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.12 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 31.32)% |
| 7. RoE 59.50% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.91% |
| 9. EPS Trend 99.11% |
What is the price of ADBE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.72%, over one month by -0.02%, over three months by -2.79% and over the past year by -19.20%.
Is ADBE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 19
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ADBE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 431 | 27.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 431 | 27.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 328 | -3.3% |
ADBE Fundamental Data Overview January 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.8588
P/S = 6.2462
P/B = 12.6048
P/EG = 0.991
Beta = 1.54
Revenue TTM = 23.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.93b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.20b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 77.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.65b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 148.52b USD (148.47b + Debt 6.65b - CCE 6.59b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 33.96 (Ebit TTM 8.93b / Interest Expense TTM 263.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.63% (FCF TTM 9.85b / Enterprise Value 148.52b)
FCF Margin = 41.45% (FCF TTM 9.85b / Revenue TTM 23.77b)
Net Margin = 30.00% (Net Income TTM 7.13b / Revenue TTM 23.77b)
Gross Margin = 89.11% ((Revenue TTM 23.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 88.92% (prev 89.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.04 (Enterprise Value 148.52b / Total Assets 29.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.99% (Interest Expense 66.0m / Debt 6.65b)
Taxrate = 18.02% (408.0m / 2.26b)
NOPAT = 7.32b (EBIT 8.93b * (1 - 18.02%))
Current Ratio = 1.00 (Total Current Assets 10.16b / Total Current Liabilities 10.20b)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 6.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.12 (Net Debt 1.22b / EBITDA 9.75b)
Debt / FCF = 0.12 (Net Debt 1.22b / FCF TTM 9.85b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.98b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.88% (Net Income 7.13b / Total Assets 29.50b)
RoE = 59.50% (Net Income TTM 7.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.98b)
RoCE = 49.11% (EBIT 8.93b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.98b + L.T.Debt 6.20b))
RoIC = 40.06% (NOPAT 7.32b / Invested Capital 18.28b)
WACC = 8.74% (E(148.47b)/V(155.11b) * Re(9.09%) + D(6.65b)/V(155.11b) * Rd(0.99%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 9.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.68%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.81% ; FCFF base≈9.04b ; Y1≈9.65b ; Y5≈11.67b
Fair Price DCF = 425.8 (EV 179.45b - Net Debt 1.22b = Equity 178.23b / Shares 418.6m; r=8.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 7.51% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 99.11 | EPS CAGR: 13.95% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 13
Revenue Correlation: 99.91 | Revenue CAGR: 10.48% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=5.87 | Chg30d=+0.201 | Revisions Net=+22 | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2026-11-30): EPS=23.46 | Chg30d=+0.098 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+12.0% | Growth Revenue=+9.6%
EPS next Year (2027-11-30): EPS=26.33 | Chg30d=+0.111 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+12.2% | Growth Revenue=+9.0%
Additional Sources for ADBE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle