(ADBE) Adobe Systems - Ratings and Ratios
Creative, Document, Experience, Advertising, Publishing
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.37% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.37 |
| Alpha | -48.72 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.496 |
| Beta | 0.870 |
| Beta Downside | 0.957 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.78% |
| Mean DD | 19.94% |
| Median DD | 17.17% |
Description: ADBE Adobe Systems December 01, 2025
Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) operates globally as a technology firm organized into three primary segments. The Digital Media segment delivers Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and related services that enable creators-from photographers to game developers-to produce and publish content via subscription-based, cloud-enabled applications. The Digital Experience segment provides an end-to-end platform for brands to design, manage, and monetize customer interactions, covering analytics, personalization, and commerce tools. The Publishing & Advertising segment adds e-learning, web-conferencing, high-end printing, and Adobe Advertising solutions, supported by consulting, training, and support services.
Key market metrics that reinforce Adobe’s growth narrative include: (1) FY 2024 total revenue of approximately $5.8 billion, reflecting a 12 % year-over-year increase driven largely by subscription renewals; (2) subscription revenue now accounts for over 90 % of total revenue, delivering an operating margin near 35 %, well above the application-software industry average of ~28 %; and (3) the company’s AI-focused partnership with HUMAIN and its own generative-AI initiatives are expected to lift average revenue per user (ARPU) by 4-6 % annually, according to internal guidance. Macro-level drivers such as sustained corporate digital-transformation spending and a rebound in global advertising budgets further underpin demand for Adobe’s Creative and Experience clouds.
If you want a data-rich, independent perspective on Adobe’s valuation and risk profile, checking out ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can be a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (6.96b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.39b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.33 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 11.59pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.75% (prev 5.12%; Δ -4.37pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.34 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.79b > Net Income 6.96b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.65b) to EBITDA (9.56b) ratio: 0.17 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (430.0m) change vs 12m ago -4.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 89.14% (prev 88.66%; Δ 0.48pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 79.14% (prev 70.22%; Δ 8.92pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 35.26 (EBITDA TTM 9.56b / Interest Expense TTM 247.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 9.64
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 9.41b - Total Current Liabilities 9.24b) / Total Assets 28.75b |
| (B) 1.51 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 43.52b / Total Assets 28.75b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.51 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.30 = EBIT TTM 8.71b / Avg Total Assets 29.29b |
| (D) 2.54 = Book Value of Equity 43.17b / Total Liabilities 16.98b |
| Total Rating: 9.64 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 95.88
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.85% |
| 3. FCF Margin 41.41% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.56 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.17 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 29.01)% |
| 7. RoE 55.19% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.90% |
| 9. EPS Trend 82.80% |
What is the price of ADBE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.66%, over one month by +4.70%, over three months by -2.75% and over the past year by -37.16%.
Is ADBE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 19
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ADBE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 449 | 30.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 449 | 30.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 321.9 | -6.5% |
ADBE Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
P/E Trailing = 20.4944
P/E Forward = 13.986
P/S = 6.0156
P/B = 11.6219
P/EG = 0.9328
Beta = 1.536
Revenue TTM = 23.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.71b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.56b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.20b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 74.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.65b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 140.14b USD (139.45b + Debt 6.64b - CCE 5.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 35.26 (Ebit TTM 8.71b / Interest Expense TTM 247.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.85% (FCF TTM 9.60b / Enterprise Value 140.14b)
FCF Margin = 41.41% (FCF TTM 9.60b / Revenue TTM 23.18b)
Net Margin = 30.01% (Net Income TTM 6.96b / Revenue TTM 23.18b)
Gross Margin = 89.14% ((Revenue TTM 23.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.52b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.28% (prev 89.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.87 (Enterprise Value 140.14b / Total Assets 28.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 67.0m / Debt 6.64b)
Taxrate = 18.98% (415.0m / 2.19b)
NOPAT = 7.06b (EBIT 8.71b * (1 - 18.98%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 9.41b / Total Current Liabilities 9.24b)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 6.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.17 (Net Debt 1.65b / EBITDA 9.56b)
Debt / FCF = 0.17 (Net Debt 1.65b / FCF TTM 9.60b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.60b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 24.19% (Net Income 6.96b / Total Assets 28.75b)
RoE = 55.19% (Net Income TTM 6.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.60b)
RoCE = 46.31% (EBIT 8.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.60b + L.T.Debt 6.20b))
RoIC = 37.85% (NOPAT 7.06b / Invested Capital 18.64b)
WACC = 8.84% (E(139.45b)/V(146.08b) * Re(9.22%) + D(6.64b)/V(146.08b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.21%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.11% ; FCFE base≈8.36b ; Y1≈8.90b ; Y5≈10.69b
Fair Price DCF = 362.3 (DCF Value 151.68b / Shares Outstanding 418.6m; 5y FCF grow 7.13% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 82.80 | EPS CAGR: 14.46% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 10
Revenue Correlation: 99.90 | Revenue CAGR: 10.56% | SUE: 0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=5.67 | Chg30d=-0.011 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=27
EPS next Year (2026-11-30): EPS=23.31 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+12.0% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%
Additional Sources for ADBE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle