(ADSK) Autodesk - Ratings and Ratios
CAD, BIM, Cloud, 3D, Animation
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.02 |
| Alpha | -11.25 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.65 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.508 |
| Beta | 0.900 |
| Beta Downside | 0.848 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.66% |
| Mean DD | 8.12% |
| Median DD | 7.54% |
Description: ADSK Autodesk December 02, 2025
Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) delivers a portfolio of subscription-based software for 3D design, engineering, construction, and media & entertainment, including flagship products such as AutoCAD, Revit, Fusion 360, Inventor, Maya, and 3ds Max, as well as cloud-centric solutions like Autodesk Build, BIM Collaborate Pro, BuildingConnected, and Tandem that span the entire built-asset lifecycle.
In FY 2024 the company reported revenue of roughly $5.2 billion, with subscription revenue growing at a 14% year-over-year rate-a key driver given the industry-wide shift from perpetual licenses to recurring SaaS models. Autodesk’s construction-tech segment (Build, BIM Collaborate, BuildingConnected) now represents over 30% of total revenue, benefitting from the broader $1.5 trillion U.S. construction spend and the acceleration of digital-first project delivery. The firm is also expanding AI capabilities, exemplified by its partnership with Eaton to create an AI-powered Digital Energy Twin, aligning with the growing demand for data-driven energy-efficiency solutions.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard to see how these trends translate into valuation metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (1.11b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 412.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -12.21% (prev -26.38%; Δ 14.17pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.15b > Net Income 1.11b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (745.0m) to EBITDA (1.67b) ratio: 0.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (215.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.92% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 91.25% (prev 90.30%; Δ 0.95pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 64.53% (prev 58.70%; Δ 5.83pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 117.6 (EBITDA TTM 1.67b / Interest Expense TTM 9.00m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.12
| (A) -0.08 = (Total Current Assets 3.90b - Total Current Liabilities 4.74b) / Total Assets 11.20b |
| (B) -0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.43b / Total Assets 11.20b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 1.06b / Avg Total Assets 10.67b |
| (D) 0.35 = Book Value of Equity 2.89b / Total Liabilities 8.30b |
| Total Rating: 0.12 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.32
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.25% |
| 3. FCF Margin 30.73% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.95 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.45 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.26)% |
| 7. RoE 40.97% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.71% |
| 9. EPS Trend 92.38% |
What is the price of ADSK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.12%, over one month by +1.92%, over three months by -6.01% and over the past year by +0.51%.
Is ADSK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ADSK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 365.1 | 19% |
| Analysts Target Price | 365.1 | 19% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 313 | 2.1% |
ADSK Fundamental Data Overview November 30, 2025
P/E Trailing = 58.7868
P/E Forward = 27.1739
P/S = 9.3803
P/B = 22.1894
P/EG = 1.4481
Beta = 1.477
Revenue TTM = 6.88b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.67b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 57.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.73b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 745.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 65.06b USD (64.61b + Debt 2.73b - CCE 2.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 117.6 (Ebit TTM 1.06b / Interest Expense TTM 9.00m)
FCF Yield = 3.25% (FCF TTM 2.12b / Enterprise Value 65.06b)
FCF Margin = 30.73% (FCF TTM 2.12b / Revenue TTM 6.88b)
Net Margin = 16.14% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 6.88b)
Gross Margin = 91.25% ((Revenue TTM 6.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 602.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 92.44% (prev 92.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.81 (Enterprise Value 65.06b / Total Assets 11.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 2.73b)
Taxrate = 26.71% (125.0m / 468.0m)
NOPAT = 775.4m (EBIT 1.06b * (1 - 26.71%))
Current Ratio = 0.82 (Total Current Assets 3.90b / Total Current Liabilities 4.74b)
Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 2.73b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.45 (Net Debt 745.0m / EBITDA 1.67b)
Debt / FCF = 0.35 (Net Debt 745.0m / FCF TTM 2.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.92% (Net Income 1.11b / Total Assets 11.20b)
RoE = 40.97% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.71b)
RoCE = 20.37% (EBIT 1.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.71b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 15.22% (NOPAT 775.4m / Invested Capital 5.10b)
WACC = 8.95% (E(64.61b)/V(67.35b) * Re(9.33%) + D(2.73b)/V(67.35b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.23%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.37% ; FCFE base≈1.78b ; Y1≈2.19b ; Y5≈3.74b
Fair Price DCF = 237.6 (DCF Value 50.38b / Shares Outstanding 212.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 92.38 | EPS CAGR: 16.62% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 97.71 | Revenue CAGR: 12.04% | SUE: 2.78 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=2.59 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=23
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=11.55 | Chg30d=+0.199 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+12.9% | Growth Revenue=+11.1%
Additional Sources for ADSK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle