(ADSK) Autodesk - Ratings and Ratios
CAD, BIM, 3D-Design, Rendering, Cloud
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 43.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.20 |
| Alpha | -16.95 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.518 |
| Beta | 0.913 |
| Beta Downside | 0.803 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.66% |
| Mean DD | 8.14% |
| Median DD | 7.55% |
Description: ADSK Autodesk September 26, 2025
Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) is a global provider of 3-D design, engineering, and entertainment software, delivering a breadth of solutions that span architecture, engineering, construction (AEC), product design, and media creation. Its flagship offerings include AutoCAD (full-feature and LT versions), Revit for building information modeling (BIM), the Autodesk Construction Cloud suite (AutoCAD Civil 3D, Autodesk Build, BIM Collaborate Pro, BuildingConnected, and Tandem), and the product-development stack (Fusion 360, Inventor, Vault, and the Product Design & Manufacturing Collection). In the media sector, Autodesk markets Maya, 3ds Max, and the Media & Entertainment Collection for animation, visual effects, and game development.
The company distributes its software primarily through a network of resellers and direct subscriptions, emphasizing a transition to cloud-based, recurring-revenue models. A strategic alliance with Eaton Corp. focuses on AI-powered Digital Energy Twins, reflecting Autodesk’s broader push into AI-enhanced design tools. Recent earnings releases (FY 2023) reported $5.1 billion in revenue, with subscription and SaaS revenue growing ~15% YoY and an annual recurring revenue (ARR) run-rate exceeding $4 billion-both metrics that signal strong demand for cloud-first workflows in AEC and manufacturing. Macro-level drivers include accelerated digital transformation in construction, rising capital spending on green building, and sustained growth in the entertainment industry’s content-creation budgets.
Given Autodesk’s high-margin subscription base and its positioning at the intersection of AI, BIM, and cloud manufacturing, analysts should monitor ARR growth, churn rates, and the adoption speed of AI-driven features as leading indicators of future earnings momentum. For a deeper quantitative assessment, consider exploring ValueRay’s detailed valuation models and scenario analyses, which can help surface the sensitivity of Autodesk’s stock price to changes in subscription growth and AI integration timelines.
ADSK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 62,299m |
| Sub-Industry | Application Software |
| IPO / Inception | 1985-07-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -18.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.25 of 5 |
ADSK Dividends
Currently no dividends paidADSK Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 14.32% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.56 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.76 |
| Current Volume | 1359.3k |
| Average Volume | 1165.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (1.04b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 395.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.60pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -16.33% (prev -27.31%; Δ 10.99pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.93b > Net Income 1.04b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (731.0m) to EBITDA (1.60b) ratio: 0.46 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.76 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (215.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.92% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 90.57% (prev 90.42%; Δ 0.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 63.37% (prev 58.04%; Δ 5.33pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 117.4 (EBITDA TTM 1.60b / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.16
| (A) -0.10 = (Total Current Assets 3.49b - Total Current Liabilities 4.57b) / Total Assets 10.86b |
| (B) -0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.49b / Total Assets 10.86b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 1.41b / Avg Total Assets 10.41b |
| (D) 0.33 = Book Value of Equity 2.71b / Total Liabilities 8.14b |
| Total Rating: 0.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 85.99
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.00% |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.56% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.46 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.44)% |
| 7. RoE 39.47% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.31% |
| 9. EPS Trend -26.07% |
What is the price of ADSK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.87%, over one month by -6.37%, over three months by +1.66% and over the past year by -7.80%.
Is ADSK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ADSK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 360.4 | 23.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 360.4 | 23.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 293.9 | 1.1% |
ADSK Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 60.6646
P/E Forward = 26.3158
P/S = 9.432
P/B = 22.9263
P/EG = 1.4041
Beta = 1.477
Revenue TTM = 6.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.41b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.60b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.73b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 731.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 62.80b USD (62.30b + Debt 2.73b - CCE 2.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 117.4 (Ebit TTM 1.41b / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.00% (FCF TTM 1.88b / Enterprise Value 62.80b)
FCF Margin = 28.56% (FCF TTM 1.88b / Revenue TTM 6.60b)
Net Margin = 15.81% (Net Income TTM 1.04b / Revenue TTM 6.60b)
Gross Margin = 90.57% ((Revenue TTM 6.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 622.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 92.29% (prev 90.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.78 (Enterprise Value 62.80b / Total Assets 10.86b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 2.73b)
Taxrate = 31.36% (143.0m / 456.0m)
NOPAT = 967.1m (EBIT 1.41b * (1 - 31.36%))
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 3.49b / Total Current Liabilities 4.57b)
Debt / Equity = 1.01 (Debt 2.73b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.71b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.46 (Net Debt 731.0m / EBITDA 1.60b)
Debt / FCF = 0.39 (Net Debt 731.0m / FCF TTM 1.88b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.64b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.61% (Net Income 1.04b / Total Assets 10.86b)
RoE = 39.47% (Net Income TTM 1.04b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.64b)
RoCE = 27.50% (EBIT 1.41b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.64b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 19.43% (NOPAT 967.1m / Invested Capital 4.98b)
WACC = 8.99% (E(62.30b)/V(65.03b) * Re(9.38%) + D(2.73b)/V(65.03b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 9.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.23%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.22% ; FCFE base≈1.56b ; Y1≈1.92b ; Y5≈3.28b
Fair Price DCF = 205.7 (DCF Value 43.81b / Shares Outstanding 213.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -26.07 | EPS CAGR: -56.62% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.31 | Revenue CAGR: 12.96% | SUE: 2.91 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for ADSK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle