ADSK Stock Analysis: Autodesk | NASDAQ
Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 57.132m USD | 12M Return: -19% | US0527691069 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 452M
EPS Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: 7
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Qual. Beats: 6
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) is a U.S. application software company that provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions to customers worldwide. Its product portfolio is organized around three main end markets: architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC) - including AutoCAD Civil 3D, Revit, Autodesk Build, BIM Collaborate Pro, BuildingConnected, and the Tandem digital-twin platform; design and manufacturing - including AutoCAD, AutoCAD LT, Fusion, Inventor, and Vault data management; and media and entertainment - including Maya, 3ds Max, Flow Production Tracking, and the Media & Entertainment Collection. The company distributes its software through a global network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk is headquartered in San Francisco, California, was incorporated in 1982, and trades on NASDAQ as a large-cap Information Technology stock. The business has shifted from perpetual licenses to a subscription and cloud-based delivery model, with revenue increasingly tied to recurring term-based contracts and SaaS offerings such as BIM Collaborate Pro, BuildingConnected, and Tandem.
- AEC construction segment faces commercial real estate weakness
- Subscription ARR growth sustains double digit recurring revenue expansion
- Media and Entertainment recovery accelerates following Hollywood strike resolution
| Net Income: 1.64b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -12.30% < 20% (prev -16.31%; Δ 4.01% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 2.90b > Net Income 1.64b |
| Net Debt (-210.0m) to EBITDA (2.26b): -0.09 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.86 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (212.0m) vs 12m ago -1.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 91.25% > 18% (prev 90.61%; Δ 0.63% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 65.36% > 50% (prev 60.84%; Δ 4.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 37.29 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.16b / Interest Expense TTM 58.0m) |
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 5.67b - Total Current Liabilities 6.63b) / Total Assets 13.0b |
| B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -1.23b / Total Assets 13.0b) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 2.16b / Avg Total Assets 11.9b) |
| D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 3.38b / Total Liabilities 9.60b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.80 = B |
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 684.0m/532.0m, Revenue 7.79b/6.61b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 90.61% / 91.25%) |
| AQI: 0.83 (AQ_t 0.55 / AQ_t-1 0.66) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 7.79b / 6.61b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 1.64b - CFO 2.90b) / TA 13.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 258.53 with a total of 1,822,714 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.62%, over one month by +10.39%, over three months by +4.18% and over the past year by -19.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 237.90 (which is 8% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Autodesk has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ADSK.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 314.6 | 21.7% |
P/E Trailing = 37.1676
P/E Forward = 20.1613
P/S = 7.6105
P/B = 16.8684
P/EG = 0.9721
Revenue TTM = 7.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.16b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.54b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 240.0m
Net Debt = -210.0m USD (calculated: Debt 3.94b - CCE 4.16b)
Enterprise Value = 56.9b USD (57.1b + Debt 3.94b - CCE 4.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 37.29 (Ebit TTM 2.16b / Interest Expense TTM 58.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.10x (Enterprise Value 56.9b / FCF TTM 2.83b)
FCF Yield = 4.98% (FCF TTM 2.83b / Enterprise Value 56.9b)
FCF Margin = 36.35% (FCF TTM 2.83b / Revenue TTM 7.79b)
Net Margin = 21.08% (Net Income TTM 1.64b / Revenue TTM 7.79b)
Gross Margin = 91.25% ((Revenue TTM 7.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 682.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 91.40% (prev 90.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.38 (Enterprise Value 56.9b / Total Assets 13.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.47% (Interest Expense 58.0m / Debt 3.94b)
Taxrate = 22.00% (463.0m / 2.10b)
NOPAT = 1.69b (EBIT 2.16b * (1 - 22.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.86 (Total Current Assets 5.67b / Total Current Liabilities 6.63b)
Debt / Equity = 1.17 (Debt 3.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.09 (Net Debt -210.0m / EBITDA 2.26b)
Debt / FCF = -0.07 (Net Debt -210.0m / FCF TTM 2.83b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.78% (Net Income 1.64b / Total Assets 13.0b)
RoE = 52.50% (Net Income TTM 1.64b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.13b)
RoCE = 38.55% (EBIT 2.16b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.13b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 22.47% (NOPAT 1.69b / Invested Capital 7.51b)
WACC = 7.07% (E(57.1b)/V(61.1b) * Re(7.48%) + D(3.94b)/V(61.1b) * Rd(1.47%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.11 | Cagr: -1.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.45b ; Y1≈2.81b ; Y5≈4.14b
[DCF] Fair Price = 295.9 (EV 62.3b - Net Debt -210.0m = Equity 62.5b / Shares 211.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.70 | EPS CAGR: 11.23% | SUE: 1.54 | # QB: 7
Revenue Correlation: 99.48 | Revenue CAGR: 14.77% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=3.14 | Chg30d=-0.23% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=12.60 | Chg30d=-0.18% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+20.8% | GrowthRev=+13.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=14.23 | Chg30d=-0.21% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+13.0% | GrowthRev=+10.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +10% (up=4, down=3)