(ADSK) Autodesk - Overview
Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Application | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 49.378m USD | Total Return: -17.7% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +16.9
Avg Turnover: 406M
EPS Trend: 92.2%
Qual. Beats: 5
Rev. Trend: 98.3%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Altman Z'' 0.16 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Tailwind, Confidence
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) is a global provider of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software. The company’s portfolio includes industry-standard tools such as AutoCAD, Revit, and Maya, which facilitate building information modeling (BIM), mechanical design, and digital media production. These solutions serve the architecture, engineering, construction, and manufacturing industries, as well as the film and gaming sectors.
The company operates primarily through a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) subscription model, which provides recurring revenue and allows for continuous cloud-based updates. This transition from perpetual licensing to subscriptions is a common trend within the Application Software sub-industry to increase customer lifetime value and lower entry barriers. Autodesk utilizes a hybrid distribution strategy, selling its products directly and through a global network of resellers and distributors.
For a detailed analysis of the companys valuation and growth metrics, consider exploring the data on ValueRay. Autodesk remains a central player in the digitization of the construction lifecycle, moving from initial drafting to cloud-based project management and digital twin technology.
- Transition to direct billing model impacts short-term cash flow and deferred revenue
- Global construction and infrastructure spending drives demand for Revit and BIM software
- Subscription renewal rates and enterprise license expansion dictate recurring revenue growth
- Manufacturing sector adoption of Fusion 360 influences long-term mechanical design market share
- Integration of generative AI tools increases software value proposition and average revenue per user
| Net Income: 1.12b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.16 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -12.02% < 20% (prev -27.31%; Δ 15.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 2.45b > Net Income 1.12b |
| Net Debt (485.0m) to EBITDA (1.75b): 0.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.85 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (214.0m) vs 12m ago -1.38% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 91.98% > 18% (prev 0.90%; Δ 9.11k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 61.85% > 50% (prev 56.42%; Δ 5.43% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 282.8 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.75b / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m) |
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 4.94b - Total Current Liabilities 5.81b) / Total Assets 12.47b |
| B: -0.11 (Retained Earnings -1.43b / Total Assets 12.47b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Avg Total Assets 11.65b) |
| D: 0.32 (Book Value of Equity 3.04b / Total Liabilities 9.42b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.16 = B |
| DSRI: 1.21 (Receivables 1.44b/1.01b, Revenue 7.21b/6.11b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 91.98% / 89.74%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.59 / AQ_t-1 0.65) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 7.21b / 6.11b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 1.12b - CFO 2.45b) / TA 12.47b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.14%, over one month by -0.74%, over three months by +5.99% and over the past year by -17.71%.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 325.8 | 33.8% |
P/E Forward = 19.6078
P/S = 6.8524
P/B = 16.954
P/EG = 0.9526
Revenue TTM = 7.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 52.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.73b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 485.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 49.52b USD (49.38b + Debt 2.73b - CCE 2.60b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 282.8 (Ebit TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m)
EV/FCF = 20.61x (Enterprise Value 49.52b / FCF TTM 2.40b)
FCF Yield = 4.85% (FCF TTM 2.40b / Enterprise Value 49.52b)
FCF Margin = 33.33% (FCF TTM 2.40b / Revenue TTM 7.21b)
Net Margin = 15.60% (Net Income TTM 1.12b / Revenue TTM 7.21b)
Gross Margin = 91.98% ((Revenue TTM 7.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 578.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 92.74% (prev 92.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.97 (Enterprise Value 49.52b / Total Assets 12.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 2.73b)
Taxrate = 28.99% (129.0m / 445.0m)
NOPAT = 803.1m (EBIT 1.13b * (1 - 28.99%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 4.94b / Total Current Liabilities 5.81b)
Debt / Equity = 0.90 (Debt 2.73b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.28 (Net Debt 485.0m / EBITDA 1.75b)
Debt / FCF = 0.20 (Net Debt 485.0m / FCF TTM 2.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.65% (Net Income 1.12b / Total Assets 12.47b)
RoE = 39.89% (Net Income TTM 1.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.82b)
RoCE = 21.34% (EBIT 1.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.82b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 15.29% (NOPAT 803.1m / Invested Capital 5.25b)
WACC = 8.64% (E(49.38b)/V(52.11b) * Re(9.12%) + D(2.73b)/V(52.11b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -47.88 | Cagr: -0.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 79.51% ; FCFF base≈2.05b ; Y1≈2.53b ; Y5≈4.32b
[DCF] Fair Price = 307.9 (EV 65.50b - Net Debt 485.0m = Equity 65.01b / Shares 211.1m; r=8.64% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 92.20 | EPS CAGR: 20.19% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: 98.28 | Revenue CAGR: 14.86% | SUE: 2.25 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=3.04 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=+76% | Analysts=25
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=12.42 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+19.1% | GrowthRev=+13.1%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=14.11 | Chg30d=+0.24% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+13.6% | GrowthRev=+10.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +76%