(ADSK) Autodesk - Overview
Stock: CAD, BIM, 3D, Cloud, Engineering
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.28% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.80 |
| Alpha | -37.65 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.921 |
| Beta Downside | 0.779 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.32% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.10 |
Description: ADSK Autodesk January 27, 2026
Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK) delivers a broad portfolio of subscription-based software for 3D design, engineering, construction, and media-entertainment, including flagship products such as AutoCAD, Revit, Fusion 360, and Maya, as well as cloud-centric platforms like Autodesk Build, BIM Collaborate Pro, and BuildingConnected that enable end-to-end project lifecycle management.
In its latest fiscal quarter (Q3 FY2024), Autodesk reported revenue of $1.34 billion, a 13% year-over-year increase driven primarily by growth in subscription and cloud services, which now represent roughly 85% of total revenue. The company’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $13.2 billion, and free cash flow grew to $1.1 billion, reflecting strong operating leverage. Macro-level drivers include a 5% YoY rise in U.S. construction spending and an estimated 8% CAGR for the global AEC software market through 2028, both of which bolster demand for Autodesk’s BIM and construction-tech solutions.
For a data-rich, quantitative deep-dive on Autodesk’s valuation dynamics, consult the ValueRay analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 1.11b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -12.21% < 20% (prev -26.38%; Δ 14.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 2.15b > Net Income 1.11b |
| Net Debt (745.0m) to EBITDA (1.67b): 0.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.82 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (215.0m) vs 12m ago -0.92% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 91.25% > 18% (prev 0.90%; Δ 9035 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.53% > 50% (prev 58.70%; Δ 5.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 117.6 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.67b / Interest Expense TTM 9.00m) |
Altman Z'' 0.12
| A: -0.08 (Total Current Assets 3.90b - Total Current Liabilities 4.74b) / Total Assets 11.20b |
| B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -1.43b / Total Assets 11.20b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 1.06b / Avg Total Assets 10.67b) |
| D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 2.89b / Total Liabilities 8.30b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.12 = B |
Beneish M -3.06
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 806.0m/702.0m, Revenue 6.88b/5.95b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 91.25% / 90.30%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.64 / AQ_t-1 0.68) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 6.88b / 5.95b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 1.11b - CFO 2.15b) / TA 11.20b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ADSK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.18%, over one month by -16.58%, over three months by -20.70% and over the past year by -21.37%.
Is ADSK a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ADSK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 363.2 | 50.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 363.2 | 50.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 218.3 | -9.4% |
ADSK Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 22.1729
P/S = 7.9031
P/B = 18.5304
P/EG = 1.1461
Revenue TTM = 6.88b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.67b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 57.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.73b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 745.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 54.88b USD (54.44b + Debt 2.73b - CCE 2.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 117.6 (Ebit TTM 1.06b / Interest Expense TTM 9.00m)
EV/FCF = 25.95x (Enterprise Value 54.88b / FCF TTM 2.12b)
FCF Yield = 3.85% (FCF TTM 2.12b / Enterprise Value 54.88b)
FCF Margin = 30.73% (FCF TTM 2.12b / Revenue TTM 6.88b)
Net Margin = 16.14% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 6.88b)
Gross Margin = 91.25% ((Revenue TTM 6.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 602.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 92.44% (prev 92.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.90 (Enterprise Value 54.88b / Total Assets 11.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 2.73b)
Taxrate = 26.71% (125.0m / 468.0m)
NOPAT = 775.4m (EBIT 1.06b * (1 - 26.71%))
Current Ratio = 0.82 (Total Current Assets 3.90b / Total Current Liabilities 4.74b)
Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 2.73b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.45 (Net Debt 745.0m / EBITDA 1.67b)
Debt / FCF = 0.35 (Net Debt 745.0m / FCF TTM 2.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.42% (Net Income 1.11b / Total Assets 11.20b)
RoE = 40.97% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.71b)
RoCE = 20.37% (EBIT 1.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.71b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 15.22% (NOPAT 775.4m / Invested Capital 5.10b)
WACC = 8.87% (E(54.44b)/V(57.17b) * Re(9.31%) + D(2.73b)/V(57.17b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.23%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.49% ; FCFF base≈1.78b ; Y1≈2.19b ; Y5≈3.73b
Fair Price DCF = 249.6 (EV 53.65b - Net Debt 745.0m = Equity 52.91b / Shares 212.0m; r=8.87% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -4.88 | EPS CAGR: -42.92% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.71 | Revenue CAGR: 12.04% | SUE: 2.78 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=2.59 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+4 | Analysts=23
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=11.64 | Chg30d=+0.047 | Revisions Net=+21 | Growth EPS=+13.8% | Growth Revenue=+11.4%