ADSK Stock Analysis: Autodesk | NASDAQ
Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 41.439m USD | 12M Return: -36.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 702M
EPS Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 6
Rev. Trend: 99.4%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) is a U.S. application software company that provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions to customers worldwide. Its product portfolio is organized around three main end markets: architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC) - including AutoCAD Civil 3D, Revit, Autodesk Build, BIM Collaborate Pro, BuildingConnected, and the Tandem digital-twin platform; design and manufacturing - including AutoCAD, AutoCAD LT, Fusion, Inventor, and Vault data management; and media and entertainment - including Maya, 3ds Max, Flow Production Tracking, and the Media & Entertainment Collection. The company distributes its software through a global network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk is headquartered in San Francisco, California, was incorporated in 1982, and trades on NASDAQ as a large-cap Information Technology stock. The business has shifted from perpetual licenses to a subscription and cloud-based delivery model, with revenue increasingly tied to recurring term-based contracts and SaaS offerings such as BIM Collaborate Pro, BuildingConnected, and Tandem.
- AEC construction segment faces commercial real estate weakness
- Subscription ARR growth sustains double digit recurring revenue expansion
- Media and Entertainment recovery accelerates following Hollywood strike resolution
| Net Income: 1.46b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.53 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -11.54% < 20% (prev -26.85%; Δ 15.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 2.78b > Net Income 1.46b |
| Net Debt (40.0m) to EBITDA (2.17b): 0.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (212.0m) vs 12m ago -1.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 91.14% > 18% (prev 90.53%; Δ 0.61% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.68% > 50% (prev 59.96%; Δ 6.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 985.0 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m) |
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 4.37b - Total Current Liabilities 5.24b) / Total Assets 11.9b |
| B: -0.11 (Retained Earnings -1.30b / Total Assets 11.9b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 1.97b / Avg Total Assets 11.3b) |
| D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 3.19b / Total Liabilities 8.74b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.73 = B |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 579.0m/494.0m, Revenue 7.51b/6.35b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 90.53% / 91.14%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.67) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 7.51b / 6.35b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 1.46b - CFO 2.78b) / TA 11.9b) |
| Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 195.24 with a total of 2,546,668 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.01%, over one month by -15.59%, over three months by -17.16% and over the past year by -36.93%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 182.80 (which is 6.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Autodesk has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ADSK.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 318.5 | 63.1% |
P/E Trailing = 28.6511
P/E Forward = 15.625
P/S = 5.5201
P/B = 12.9945
P/EG = 0.7525
Revenue TTM = 7.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.97b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.96b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 240.0m
Net Debt = 40.0m USD (calculated: Debt 2.96b - CCE 2.92b)
Enterprise Value = 41.5b USD (41.4b + Debt 2.96b - CCE 2.92b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 985.0 (Ebit TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m)
EV/FCF = 15.20x (Enterprise Value 41.5b / FCF TTM 2.73b)
FCF Yield = 6.58% (FCF TTM 2.73b / Enterprise Value 41.5b)
FCF Margin = 36.35% (FCF TTM 2.73b / Revenue TTM 7.51b)
Net Margin = 19.49% (Net Income TTM 1.46b / Revenue TTM 7.51b)
Gross Margin = 91.14% ((Revenue TTM 7.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 665.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.95% (prev 91.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.48 (Enterprise Value 41.5b / Total Assets 11.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 2.96b)
Taxrate = 25.66% (505.0m / 1.97b)
NOPAT = 1.46b (EBIT 1.97b * (1 - 25.66%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 4.37b / Total Current Liabilities 5.24b)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 2.96b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt 40.0m / EBITDA 2.17b)
Debt / FCF = 0.01 (Net Debt 40.0m / FCF TTM 2.73b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.99% (Net Income 1.46b / Total Assets 11.9b)
RoE = 49.42% (Net Income TTM 1.46b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.96b)
RoCE = 36.18% (EBIT 1.97b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.96b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 22.99% (NOPAT 1.46b / Invested Capital 6.37b)
WACC = 8.08% (E(41.4b)/V(44.4b) * Re(8.65%) + D(2.96b)/V(44.4b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.07 | Cagr: -0.83%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.29b ; Y1≈2.62b ; Y5≈3.86b
[DCF] Fair Price = 274.8 (EV 58.1b - Net Debt 40.0m = Equity 58.0b / Shares 211.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.24 | EPS CAGR: 13.13% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 99.41 | Revenue CAGR: 13.99% | SUE: 2.64 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=3.12 | Chg30d=+2.56% | Revisions=+70% | Analysts=25
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=3.15 | Chg30d=-0.33% | Revisions=-4% | Analysts=25
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=12.61 | Chg30d=+1.50% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+13.8%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=14.27 | Chg30d=+1.09% | Revisions=+65% | GrowthEPS=+13.1% | GrowthRev=+10.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +88%