ADSK Stock Analysis: Autodesk | NASDAQ
Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 44.288m USD | 12M Return: -25.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 461M
EPS Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 6
Rev. Trend: 99.4%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) is a U.S. application software company that provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions to customers worldwide. Its product portfolio is organized around three main end markets: architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC) - including AutoCAD Civil 3D, Revit, Autodesk Build, BIM Collaborate Pro, BuildingConnected, and the Tandem digital-twin platform; design and manufacturing - including AutoCAD, AutoCAD LT, Fusion, Inventor, and Vault data management; and media and entertainment - including Maya, 3ds Max, Flow Production Tracking, and the Media & Entertainment Collection. The company distributes its software through a global network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk is headquartered in San Francisco, California, was incorporated in 1982, and trades on NASDAQ as a large-cap Information Technology stock. The business has shifted from perpetual licenses to a subscription and cloud-based delivery model, with revenue increasingly tied to recurring term-based contracts and SaaS offerings such as BIM Collaborate Pro, BuildingConnected, and Tandem.
- AEC construction segment faces commercial real estate weakness
- Subscription ARR growth sustains double digit recurring revenue expansion
- Media and Entertainment recovery accelerates following Hollywood strike resolution
| Net Income: 1.46b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.53 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -11.54% < 20% (prev -26.85%; Δ 15.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 2.78b > Net Income 1.46b |
| Net Debt (40.0m) to EBITDA (2.17b): 0.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (212.0m) vs 12m ago -1.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 91.14% > 18% (prev 90.53%; Δ 0.61% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.68% > 50% (prev 59.96%; Δ 6.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 985.0 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m) |
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 4.37b - Total Current Liabilities 5.24b) / Total Assets 11.9b |
| B: -0.11 (Retained Earnings -1.30b / Total Assets 11.9b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 1.97b / Avg Total Assets 11.3b) |
| D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 3.19b / Total Liabilities 8.74b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.73 = B |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 579.0m/494.0m, Revenue 7.51b/6.35b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 90.53% / 91.14%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.67) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 7.51b / 6.35b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 1.46b - CFO 2.78b) / TA 11.9b) |
| Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 225.91 with a total of 2,300,994 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.72%, over one month by +15.71%, over three months by -3.88% and over the past year by -25.80%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 209.80 (which is 7.1% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Autodesk has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ADSK.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 316.1 | 39.9% |
P/E Trailing = 30.5758
P/E Forward = 16.6945
P/S = 5.8995
P/B = 13.8877
P/EG = 0.8042
Revenue TTM = 7.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.97b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.96b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 240.0m
Net Debt = 40.0m USD (calculated: Debt 2.96b - CCE 2.92b)
Enterprise Value = 44.3b USD (44.3b + Debt 2.96b - CCE 2.92b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 985.0 (Ebit TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m)
EV/FCF = 16.24x (Enterprise Value 44.3b / FCF TTM 2.73b)
FCF Yield = 6.16% (FCF TTM 2.73b / Enterprise Value 44.3b)
FCF Margin = 36.35% (FCF TTM 2.73b / Revenue TTM 7.51b)
Net Margin = 19.49% (Net Income TTM 1.46b / Revenue TTM 7.51b)
Gross Margin = 91.14% ((Revenue TTM 7.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 665.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.95% (prev 91.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.72 (Enterprise Value 44.3b / Total Assets 11.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 2.96b)
Taxrate = 25.66% (505.0m / 1.97b)
NOPAT = 1.46b (EBIT 1.97b * (1 - 25.66%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 4.37b / Total Current Liabilities 5.24b)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 2.96b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt 40.0m / EBITDA 2.17b)
Debt / FCF = 0.01 (Net Debt 40.0m / FCF TTM 2.73b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.99% (Net Income 1.46b / Total Assets 11.9b)
RoE = 49.42% (Net Income TTM 1.46b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.96b)
RoCE = 36.18% (EBIT 1.97b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.96b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 22.99% (NOPAT 1.46b / Invested Capital 6.37b)
WACC = 7.98% (E(44.3b)/V(47.3b) * Re(8.51%) + D(2.96b)/V(47.3b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -82.47 | Cagr: -0.83%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.29b ; Y1≈2.62b ; Y5≈3.86b
[DCF] Fair Price = 274.8 (EV 58.1b - Net Debt 40.0m = Equity 58.0b / Shares 211.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.24 | EPS CAGR: 13.13% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 99.41 | Revenue CAGR: 13.99% | SUE: 2.64 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=3.12 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=26
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=3.15 | Chg30d=+0.03% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=26
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=12.62 | Chg30d=+0.01% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+13.8%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=14.25 | Chg30d=-0.09% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+13.0% | GrowthRev=+10.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +36% (up=8, down=3)