ADSK Stock Analysis: Autodesk | NASDAQ
Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 44.308m USD | 12M Return: -28.5% | US0527691069 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 463M
EPS Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: 7
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Qual. Beats: 6
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Autodesk, Inc. is a global provider of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions, operating in the Application Software segment of the Information Technology sector. The companys software portfolio addresses multiple end markets, including architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC); product design and manufacturing; and media and entertainment. Key offerings include AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT for drafting and design, Revit and Civil 3D for building information modeling (BIM) and infrastructure workflows, Fusion and Inventor for 3D mechanical design and engineering, and Maya and 3ds Max for animation, modeling, and visual effects used in film, games, and design visualization.
In addition to desktop software, Autodesk sells a growing suite of cloud-based products such as Autodesk Build, BIM Collaborate Pro, BuildingConnected, Tandem, and Flow Production Tracking, many of which are delivered on a subscription (SaaS) basis. The shift to subscription-based licensing has been a defining feature of the broader application software industry, and Autodesk transitioned its flagship products to recurring revenue models over the past several years. The company distributes its products and services through a global network of resellers and distributors and is headquartered in San Francisco, California, having been incorporated in 1982.
- AEC billings face headwinds from slowing construction activity
- AI integration and price hikes lift subscription revenue retention
- Foreign exchange volatility pressures international revenue growth
| Net Income: 1.64b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -12.30% < 20% (prev -16.31%; Δ 4.01% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 2.90b > Net Income 1.64b |
| Net Debt (-223.0m) to EBITDA (2.31b): -0.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.86 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (212.0m) vs 12m ago -1.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 91.25% > 18% (prev 90.61%; Δ 0.63% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 65.36% > 50% (prev 60.84%; Δ 4.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.05k > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.11b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m) |
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 5.67b - Total Current Liabilities 6.63b) / Total Assets 13.0b |
| B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -1.23b / Total Assets 13.0b) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 2.11b / Avg Total Assets 11.9b) |
| D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 3.38b / Total Liabilities 9.60b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.76 = B |
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 684.0m/532.0m, Revenue 7.79b/6.61b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 90.61% / 91.25%) |
| AQI: 0.83 (AQ_t 0.55 / AQ_t-1 0.66) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 7.79b / 6.61b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 1.64b - CFO 2.90b) / TA 13.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 231.28 with a total of 2,201,541 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.83%, over one month by +8.99%, over three months by +11.44% and over the past year by -28.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 219.60 (which is 5.1% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Autodesk has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.47. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ADSK.
- StrongBuy: 23
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 307.5 | 33% |
P/E Trailing = 27.3902
P/E Forward = 17.6056
P/S = 5.6878
P/B = 13.568
P/EG = 0.845
Revenue TTM = 7.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.11b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.31b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.99b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.54b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.93b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 227.0m
Net Debt = -223.0m USD (calculated: Debt 3.93b - CCE 4.16b)
Enterprise Value = 44.1b USD (44.3b + Debt 3.93b - CCE 4.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.05k (Ebit TTM 2.11b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m)
EV/FCF = 15.57x (Enterprise Value 44.1b / FCF TTM 2.83b)
FCF Yield = 6.42% (FCF TTM 2.83b / Enterprise Value 44.1b)
FCF Margin = 36.35% (FCF TTM 2.83b / Revenue TTM 7.79b)
Net Margin = 21.08% (Net Income TTM 1.64b / Revenue TTM 7.79b)
Gross Margin = 91.25% ((Revenue TTM 7.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 682.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 91.40% (prev 90.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.40 (Enterprise Value 44.1b / Total Assets 13.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.05% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 3.93b)
Taxrate = 22.00% (463.0m / 2.10b)
NOPAT = 1.64b (EBIT 2.11b * (1 - 22.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.86 (Total Current Assets 5.67b / Total Current Liabilities 6.63b)
Debt / Equity = 1.16 (Debt 3.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.10 (Net Debt -223.0m / EBITDA 2.31b)
Debt / FCF = -0.08 (Net Debt -223.0m / FCF TTM 2.83b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.78% (Net Income 1.64b / Total Assets 13.0b)
RoE = 52.50% (Net Income TTM 1.64b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.13b)
RoCE = 41.21% (EBIT 2.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.13b + L.T.Debt 1.99b))
RoIC = 21.88% (NOPAT 1.64b / Invested Capital 7.51b)
WACC = 7.02% (E(44.3b)/V(48.2b) * Re(7.64%) + D(3.93b)/V(48.2b) * Rd(0.05%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.11 | Cagr: -1.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.45b ; Y1≈2.81b ; Y5≈4.14b
[DCF] Fair Price = 299.0 (EV 62.3b - Net Debt -223.0m = Equity 62.5b / Shares 209.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.70 | EPS CAGR: 11.23% | SUE: 1.54 | # QB: 7
Revenue Correlation: 99.48 | Revenue CAGR: 14.77% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=3.07 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=-79% | Analysts=28
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=12.61 | Chg30d=+0.14% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+15.5%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=14.20 | Chg30d=+0.08% | Revisions=-11% | GrowthEPS=+12.6% | GrowthRev=+11.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -27% (up=30, down=53)