(ADSK) Autodesk - NASDAQ
Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Application | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 40.924m USD | Total Return: -37.6% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 678M
EPS Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 6
Rev. Trend: 99.4%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
Altman Z'' 0.73 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Fakeout Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
Pead, Confidence, Garp
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) is a global provider of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software. The company’s portfolio includes industry-standard tools such as AutoCAD, Revit, and Maya, which facilitate building information modeling (BIM), mechanical design, and digital media production. These solutions serve the architecture, engineering, construction, and manufacturing industries, as well as the film and gaming sectors.
The company operates primarily through a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) subscription model, which provides recurring revenue and allows for continuous cloud-based updates. This transition from perpetual licensing to subscriptions is a common trend within the Application Software sub-industry to increase customer lifetime value and lower entry barriers. Autodesk utilizes a hybrid distribution strategy, selling its products directly and through a global network of resellers and distributors.
For a detailed analysis of the companys valuation and growth metrics, consider exploring the data on ValueRay. Autodesk remains a central player in the digitization of the construction lifecycle, moving from initial drafting to cloud-based project management and digital twin technology.
- Transition to direct billing model impacts short-term cash flow and deferred revenue
- Global construction and infrastructure spending drives demand for Revit and BIM software
- Subscription renewal rates and enterprise license expansion dictate recurring revenue growth
- Manufacturing sector adoption of Fusion 360 influences long-term mechanical design market share
- Integration of generative AI tools increases software value proposition and average revenue per user
| Net Income: 1.46b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.53 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -11.54% < 20% (prev -26.85%; Δ 15.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 2.78b > Net Income 1.46b |
| Net Debt (40.0m) to EBITDA (2.17b): 0.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (212.0m) vs 12m ago -1.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 91.14% > 18% (prev 90.53%; Δ 0.61% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.68% > 50% (prev 59.96%; Δ 6.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 985.0 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m) |
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 4.37b - Total Current Liabilities 5.24b) / Total Assets 11.9b |
| B: -0.11 (Retained Earnings -1.30b / Total Assets 11.9b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 1.97b / Avg Total Assets 11.3b) |
| D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 3.19b / Total Liabilities 8.74b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.73 = B |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 579.0m/494.0m, Revenue 7.51b/6.35b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 90.53% / 91.14%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.67) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 7.51b / 6.35b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 1.46b - CFO 2.78b) / TA 11.9b) |
| Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 187.72 with a total of 4,617,797 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.40%, over one month by -22.10%, over three months by -24.14% and over the past year by -37.62%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 174.30 (which is 7.1% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Autodesk has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ADSK.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 318.5 | 69.7% |
P/E Trailing = 28.2949
P/E Forward = 15.4083
P/S = 5.4515
P/B = 12.8329
P/EG = 0.7431
Revenue TTM = 7.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.97b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.96b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 240.0m
Net Debt = 40.0m USD (calculated: Debt 2.96b - CCE 2.92b)
Enterprise Value = 41.0b USD (40.9b + Debt 2.96b - CCE 2.92b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 985.0 (Ebit TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m)
EV/FCF = 15.01x (Enterprise Value 41.0b / FCF TTM 2.73b)
FCF Yield = 6.66% (FCF TTM 2.73b / Enterprise Value 41.0b)
FCF Margin = 36.35% (FCF TTM 2.73b / Revenue TTM 7.51b)
Net Margin = 19.49% (Net Income TTM 1.46b / Revenue TTM 7.51b)
Gross Margin = 91.14% ((Revenue TTM 7.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 665.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.95% (prev 91.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.43 (Enterprise Value 41.0b / Total Assets 11.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 2.96b)
Taxrate = 25.66% (505.0m / 1.97b)
NOPAT = 1.46b (EBIT 1.97b * (1 - 25.66%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 4.37b / Total Current Liabilities 5.24b)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 2.96b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt 40.0m / EBITDA 2.17b)
Debt / FCF = 0.01 (Net Debt 40.0m / FCF TTM 2.73b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.99% (Net Income 1.46b / Total Assets 11.9b)
RoE = 49.42% (Net Income TTM 1.46b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.96b)
RoCE = 36.18% (EBIT 1.97b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.96b + L.T.Debt 2.48b))
RoIC = 22.99% (NOPAT 1.46b / Invested Capital 6.37b)
WACC = 8.10% (E(40.9b)/V(43.9b) * Re(8.68%) + D(2.96b)/V(43.9b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -68.03 | Cagr: -0.83%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.29b ; Y1≈2.62b ; Y5≈3.86b
[DCF] Fair Price = 274.8 (EV 58.1b - Net Debt 40.0m = Equity 58.0b / Shares 211.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.24 | EPS CAGR: 13.13% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 99.41 | Revenue CAGR: 13.99% | SUE: 2.64 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=3.12 | Chg30d=+2.56% | Revisions=+70% | Analysts=25
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=3.15 | Chg30d=-0.33% | Revisions=-4% | Analysts=25
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=12.61 | Chg30d=+1.50% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+13.8%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=14.27 | Chg30d=+1.09% | Revisions=+65% | GrowthEPS=+13.1% | GrowthRev=+10.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +88%