Overview Dividends

(ADTN) ADTRAN - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US00486H1059

Networking, Equipment, Software, Solutions, Services

ADTN EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of ADTN over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09-30": 0.16, "2020-12-31": 0.11, "2021-03-31": 0.13, "2021-06-30": 0.16, "2021-09-30": -0.02, "2021-12-31": 0.1, "2022-03-31": 0.2, "2022-06-30": 0.19, "2022-09-30": 0.11, "2022-12-31": 0.12, "2023-03-31": -0.06, "2023-06-30": -0.4254, "2023-09-30": -0.14, "2023-12-31": -1.09, "2024-03-31": -0.02, "2024-06-30": -0.24, "2024-09-30": -0.05, "2024-12-31": -0.5805, "2025-03-31": 0.03, "2025-06-30": -0.2387,
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -11.60%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -22.9%

ADTN Revenue

Revenue of ADTN over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09-30: 133.143, 2020-12-31: 130.129, 2021-03-31: 127.533, 2021-06-30: 143.232, 2021-09-30: 138.081, 2021-12-31: 154.158, 2022-03-31: 154.518, 2022-06-30: 172.038, 2022-09-30: 340.709, 2022-12-31: 358.271, 2023-03-31: 323.912, 2023-06-30: 327.378, 2023-09-30: 272.331, 2023-12-31: 225.479, 2024-03-31: 226.173, 2024-06-30: 225.991, 2024-09-30: 227.704, 2024-12-31: 242.852, 2025-03-31: 247.744, 2025-06-30: 265.068,
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -8.72%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -74.2%

Description: ADTN ADTRAN

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is a leading provider of networking and communications solutions, offering a comprehensive portfolio of platforms, software, systems, and services to service providers, enterprises, and governments worldwide. The companys product and service offerings cater to the growing demand for high-speed data transmission, network security, and cloud connectivity.

The companys two business segments, Network Solutions and Services & Support, work in tandem to deliver a broad range of solutions, including residential gateways, optical network units, and network interface devices, as well as software applications such as Mosaic One SaaS and n-Command. ADTRANs customer base includes large, medium, and small service providers, alternative service providers, cable/MSOs, and SMBs and distributed enterprises, positioning the company for growth in a diverse and expanding market.

With a strong presence in the communications equipment industry, ADTRAN has established itself as a key player in the provision of next-generation network infrastructure. The companys products and services are designed to enable service providers and enterprises to deliver high-speed, secure, and reliable connectivity to their customers. ADTRANs commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction has earned it a reputation as a trusted partner in the industry.

Analyzing the , we observe that the stock has been trending upwards, with the short-term and long-term moving averages indicating a positive momentum. The Average True Range (ATR) suggests a moderate level of volatility. Considering the , the companys market capitalization and forward P/E ratio indicate a relatively high valuation, potentially reflecting the markets expectations for future growth. However, the negative RoE raises concerns about the companys current profitability.

Based on the analysis of and , our forecast suggests that ADTNs stock price may continue to rise in the short term, potentially reaching $9.50, driven by the positive momentum and the companys strong position in the communications equipment industry. However, the high valuation and negative RoE may lead to a correction in the long term, potentially around $7.50. Investors should closely monitor the companys future earnings reports and industry trends to adjust their strategies accordingly.

ADTN Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 709m
Sub-Industry Communications Equipment
IPO / Inception 1994-08-09

ADTN Stock Ratings

Growth Rating -19.2%
Fundamental 30.6%
Dividend Rating 6.75%
Return 12m vs S&P 500 32.1%
Analyst Rating 4.29 of 5

ADTN Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

ADTN Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 28.3%
Growth Correlation 12m 41.9%
Growth Correlation 5y -67.1%
CAGR 5y -21.86%
CAGR/Max DD 3y -0.27
CAGR/Mean DD 3y -0.35
Sharpe Ratio 12m 0.62
Alpha 0.14
Beta 0.197
Volatility 100.74%
Current Volume 10814.4k
Average Volume 20d 725.4k
Stop Loss 8.2 (-6.5%)
Signal 0.26

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5

Net Income (-109.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 59.0m TTM)
FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 11.56pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 30.26% (prev 39.85%; Δ -9.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 121.9m > Net Income -109.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (-78.5m) to EBITDA (26.3m) ratio: -2.98 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (79.7m) change vs 12m ago 1.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 37.69% (prev 32.06%; Δ 5.62pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 78.45% (prev 73.60%; Δ 4.85pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -2.07 (EBITDA TTM 26.3m / Interest Expense TTM 19.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -1.59

(A) 0.24 = (Total Current Assets 607.2m - Total Current Liabilities 309.7m) / Total Assets 1.22b
(B) -0.59 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -719.2m / Total Assets 1.22b
(C) -0.03 = EBIT TTM -41.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.25b
(D) -0.99 = Book Value of Equity -640.0m / Total Liabilities 644.6m
Total Rating: -1.59 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.63

1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50
2. FCF Yield 5.17% = 2.59
3. FCF Margin 5.80% = 1.45
4. Debt/Equity 2.95 = -0.69
5. Debt/Ebitda 18.99 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= -14.87)% = -12.50
7. RoE -66.34% = -2.50
8. Rev. Trend -74.21% = -5.57
9. EPS Trend -22.86% = -1.14

What is the price of ADTN shares?

As of September 18, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 8.77 with a total of 10,814,402 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -15.18%, over one month by -0.68%, over three months by +12.44% and over the past year by +56.61%.

Is ADTRAN a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, ADTRAN (NASDAQ:ADTN) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 30.63 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ADTN is around 7.61 USD . This means that ADTN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -13.23%.

Is ADTN a buy, sell or hold?

ADTRAN has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ADTN.
  • Strong Buy: 4
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ADTN price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 12 36.8%
Analysts Target Price 12 36.8%
ValueRay Target Price 8.2 -7%

Last update: 2025-09-17 04:30

ADTN Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 709.3m (709.3m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 106.3m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 23.2019
P/S = 0.7213
P/B = 4.9274
P/EG = 11.04
Beta = 1.391
Revenue TTM = 983.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -41.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 26.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 190.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 309.7m USD (from totalCurrentLiabilities, last quarter)
Debt = 499.8m USD (Calculated: Short Term 309.7m + Long Term 190.2m)
Net Debt = -78.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.10b USD (709.3m + Debt 499.8m - CCE 106.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.07 (Ebit TTM -41.1m / Interest Expense TTM 19.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.17% (FCF TTM 57.0m / Enterprise Value 1.10b)
FCF Margin = 5.80% (FCF TTM 57.0m / Revenue TTM 983.4m)
Net Margin = -11.08% (Net Income TTM -109.0m / Revenue TTM 983.4m)
Gross Margin = 37.69% ((Revenue TTM 983.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 612.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -1.72 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 1.10b / Book Value Of Equity -640.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.91% (Interest Expense 4.56m / Debt 499.8m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -41.1m (EBIT -41.1m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 1.96 (Total Current Assets 607.2m / Total Current Liabilities 309.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.95 (Debt 499.8m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 169.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 18.99 (Net Debt -78.5m / EBITDA 26.3m)
Debt / FCF = 8.76 (Debt 499.8m / FCF TTM 57.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 164.2m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -8.96% (Net Income -109.0m, Total Assets 1.22b )
RoE = -66.34% (Net Income TTM -109.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 164.2m)
RoCE = -11.60% (Ebit -41.1m / (Equity 164.2m + L.T.Debt 190.2m))
RoIC = -10.62% (NOPAT -41.1m / Invested Capital 387.1m)
WACC = 4.25% (E(709.3m)/V(1.21b) * Re(6.74%)) + (D(499.8m)/V(1.21b) * Rd(0.91%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.00 | Cagr: 0.80%
Discount Rate = 6.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈57.0m ; Y1≈37.4m ; Y5≈17.1m
Fair Price DCF = 4.20 (DCF Value 336.6m / Shares Outstanding 80.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -22.86 | EPS CAGR: -11.60% | SUE: -0.57 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -74.21 | Revenue CAGR: -8.72% | SUE: 3.11 | # QB: 1

Additional Sources for ADTN Stock

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