(ADV) Advantage Solutions - Ratings and Ratios
Brokerage, Merchandising, Marketing, Analytics, Logistics
ADV EPS (Earnings per Share)
ADV Revenue
Description: ADV Advantage Solutions
Advantage Solutions Inc. is a leading provider of business solutions to consumer packaged goods companies and retailers across North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe, operating through three key segments: Branded Services, Experiential Services, and Retailer Services. The company offers a comprehensive suite of services, including brokerage, analytical research, retail merchandising, omni-channel marketing, supply chain and logistics, and advisory and agency services. By leveraging its expertise, Advantage Solutions helps branded consumer goods manufacturers and retailers optimize their sales, marketing, and operational strategies. With a history dating back to 1987, the company has established itself as a trusted partner in the industry, headquartered in Clayton, Missouri.
Analyzing the companys current position, we can see that its stock has been subject to significant fluctuations, as indicated by the 52-week high and low of $4.09 and $1.09, respectively. The current price of $1.34 is closer to the lower end of this range, suggesting potential for recovery or growth. Furthermore, the Average True Range (ATR) of 0.14, representing 10.31% of the current price, indicates moderate volatility. The Simple Moving Averages (SMA) suggest a short-term bearish trend, with SMA20 at $1.41 and SMA50 at $1.32, both above the current price, while the long-term SMA200 at $2.44 indicates a significant decline from the long-term average.
From a fundamental perspective, Advantage Solutions Inc. has a market capitalization of $512.41 million, with a negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -45.08%, indicating that the company is currently not generating profits for its shareholders. The absence of P/E and forward P/E ratios further suggests that the company is not profitable at present. However, this could also imply that the company is investing heavily in growth initiatives, which may yield positive results in the future.
Forecasting the future performance of Advantage Solutions Inc., we can consider both technical and fundamental factors. From a technical standpoint, a breakout above the SMA20 at $1.41 could signal a potential uptrend, while a failure to do so may lead to further decline. On the fundamental side, the companys diversified service offerings and presence in multiple regions provide a solid foundation for growth. If the company can return to profitability, its market capitalization could potentially increase, driving the stock price higher. Based on these factors, a possible forecast could be that Advantage Solutions Inc. will experience a moderate recovery in the short term, potentially reaching $1.80 within the next 6-12 months, driven by a combination of technical breakout and fundamental improvements. However, this is contingent upon the companys ability to address its current profitability challenges and capitalize on its growth opportunities.
ADV Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 476m |
Sub-Industry | Movies & Entertainment |
IPO / Inception | 2016-09-15 |
ADV Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -72.7% |
Fundamental | 18.5% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -61.7% |
Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
ADV Dividends
Currently no dividends paidADV Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 14.8% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -66.7% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -77.5% |
CAGR 5y | -18.13% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.24 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.52 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.93 |
Alpha | -84.37 |
Beta | 2.203 |
Volatility | 75.89% |
Current Volume | 615.5k |
Average Volume 20d | 477.2k |
Stop Loss | 1.3 (-9.7%) |
Signal | -0.74 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
Net Income (-307.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 211.6m TTM) |
FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.71pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 12.85% (prev 14.81%; Δ -1.95pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA -0.00 (>3.0%) and CFO -5.06m > Net Income -307.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (1.55b) to EBITDA (26.3m) ratio: 58.86 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (323.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.07% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 14.22% (prev 13.53%; Δ 0.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 108.1% (prev 109.6%; Δ -1.54pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio -1.26 (EBITDA TTM 26.3m / Interest Expense TTM 141.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.55
(A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 926.7m - Total Current Liabilities 473.4m) / Total Assets 3.03b |
(B) -0.90 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.73b / Total Assets 3.03b |
(C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -178.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.26b |
(D) -1.17 = Book Value of Equity -2.73b / Total Liabilities 2.34b |
Total Rating: -3.55 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 18.51
1. Piotroski 1.50pt = -3.50 |
2. FCF Yield -2.91% = -1.46 |
3. FCF Margin -1.67% = -0.63 |
4. Debt/Equity 2.42 = 0.13 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 58.86 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.66)% = -12.50 |
7. RoE -40.06% = -2.50 |
8. Rev. Trend -76.90% = -5.77 |
9. EPS Trend -55.28% = -2.76 |
What is the price of ADV shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.26%, over one month by -26.53%, over three months by +1.41% and over the past year by -55.96%.
Is Advantage Solutions a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ADV is around 1.08 USD . This means that ADV is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -25%.
Is ADV a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ADV price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 2.8 | 96.5% |
Analysts Target Price | 2.8 | 96.5% |
ValueRay Target Price | 1.2 | -18.8% |
Last update: 2025-10-04 03:45
ADV Fundamental Data Overview
P/S = 0.1349
P/B = 0.6962
Beta = 2.203
Revenue TTM = 3.53b USD
EBIT TTM = -178.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 26.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.66b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.67b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.03b USD (475.9m + Debt 1.67b - CCE 120.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.26 (Ebit TTM -178.2m / Interest Expense TTM 141.5m)
FCF Yield = -2.91% (FCF TTM -59.0m / Enterprise Value 2.03b)
FCF Margin = -1.67% (FCF TTM -59.0m / Revenue TTM 3.53b)
Net Margin = -8.71% (Net Income TTM -307.2m / Revenue TTM 3.53b)
Gross Margin = 14.22% ((Revenue TTM 3.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.51% (prev 12.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 2.03b / Total Assets 3.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.15% (Interest Expense 35.8m / Debt 1.67b)
Taxrate = -17.90% (negative due to tax credits) (4.62m / -25.8m)
NOPAT = -210.1m (EBIT -178.2m * (1 - -17.90%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.96 (Total Current Assets 926.7m / Total Current Liabilities 473.4m)
Debt / Equity = 2.42 (Debt 1.67b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 690.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 58.86 (Net Debt 1.55b / EBITDA 26.3m)
Debt / FCF = -26.25 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.55b / FCF TTM -59.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 766.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.14% (Net Income -307.2m / Total Assets 3.03b)
RoE = -40.06% (Net Income TTM -307.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 766.9m)
RoCE = -7.33% (EBIT -178.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 766.9m + L.T.Debt 1.66b))
RoIC = -8.56% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -210.1m / Invested Capital 2.45b)
WACC = 5.10% (E(475.9m)/V(2.15b) * Re(14.13%) + D(1.67b)/V(2.15b) * Rd(2.15%) * (1-Tc(-0.18)))
Discount Rate = 14.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.58%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -59.0m)
EPS Correlation: -55.28 | EPS CAGR: -17.41% | SUE: -2.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -76.90 | Revenue CAGR: -6.50% | SUE: 0.49 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ADV Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle