(AGNC) AGNC Investment - Overview
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: REIT - Mortgage | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 11.720m USD | Total Return: 34.9% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 150M
EPS Trend: -98.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 32.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Share dilution 21.8% YoY
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
AGNC Investment Corp. is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests primarily in agency residential mortgage-backed securities. These assets carry the guarantee of U.S. government-sponsored enterprises, such as Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, which significantly mitigates credit risk compared to non-agency debt.
The company operates by utilizing leverage to fund its portfolio, profiting from the net interest margin between the yield on its mortgage assets and its short-term borrowing costs. As a REIT, AGNC is legally required to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders to maintain its tax-exempt status at the corporate level.
Founded in 2008 and based in Bethesda, Maryland, the firm provides essential liquidity to the U.S. housing market. For a deeper look into these financial metrics and valuation trends, you may want to explore ValueRay. This summary reflects the companys focus on high-quality, government-backed collateral within the broader mortgage finance sector.
- Interest rate volatility impacts net asset value and agency mortgage-backed security spreads
- Federal Reserve monetary policy shifts influence borrowing costs and net interest margins
- Narrowing spreads between Treasury yields and mortgage rates drive book value growth
- Leverage ratios and hedge positioning determine dividend sustainability in fluctuating markets
- Prepayment speeds on government-guaranteed securities affect long-term portfolio yield projections
| Net Income: 1.47b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 353.9% < 20% (prev -2.30k%; Δ 2.66k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 848.0m > Net Income 1.47b |
| Net Debt (-10.7b) to EBITDA (4.24b): -2.52 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.12b) vs 12m ago 21.77% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 76.33% > 18% (prev 0.96%; Δ 7.54k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 3.15% > 50% (prev 2.95%; Δ 0.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4.24b / Interest Expense TTM 2.89b) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 118b - Total Current Liabilities 106b) / Total Assets 119b |
| B: -0.08 (Retained Earnings -9.12b / Total Assets 119b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 4.06b / Avg Total Assets 107b) |
| D: -0.09 (Book Value of Equity -9.44b / Total Liabilities 106b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.57 = B |
As of May 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.51 with a total of 14,076,719 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.75%,
over one month by -4.27%,
over three months by -4.04% and
over the past year by +34.91%.
AGNC Investment has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AGNC.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 11.4 | 8.8% |
P/E Trailing = 7.9766
P/E Forward = 6.4893
P/S = 7.3024
P/B = 1.1521
P/EG = 3.4836
Revenue TTM = 3.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.24b USD
Long Term Debt = 56.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 87.6b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 87.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -10.7b USD (calculated: Debt 87.6b - CCE 98.3b)
Enterprise Value = 1.05b USD (11.7b + Debt 87.6b - CCE 98.3b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.40 (Ebit TTM 4.06b / Interest Expense TTM 2.89b)
EV/FCF = 1.24x (Enterprise Value 1.05b / FCF TTM 848.0m)
FCF Yield = 80.66% (FCF TTM 848.0m / Enterprise Value 1.05b)
FCF Margin = 25.12% (FCF TTM 848.0m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Net Margin = 43.60% (Net Income TTM 1.47b / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Gross Margin = 76.33% ((Revenue TTM 3.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 799.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.38% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.01 (Enterprise Value 1.05b / Total Assets 119b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.30% (Interest Expense 2.89b / Debt 87.6b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 3.21b (EBIT 4.06b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 118b / Total Current Liabilities 106b)
Debt / Equity = 7.19 (Debt 87.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.52 (Net Debt -10.7b / EBITDA 4.24b)
Debt / FCF = -12.58 (Net Debt -10.7b / FCF TTM 848.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.37% (Net Income 1.47b / Total Assets 119b)
RoE = 7.11% (Net Income TTM 1.47b / Total Stockholder Equity 20.7b)
RoCE = 19.56% (EBIT 4.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 20.7b + L.T.Debt 56.0m))
RoIC = 3.26% (NOPAT 3.21b / Invested Capital 98.3b)
WACC = 3.29% (E(11.7b)/V(99.3b) * Re(8.41%) + D(87.6b)/V(99.3b) * Rd(3.30%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 23.81%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈612.0m ; Y1≈701.6m ; Y5≈1.03b
[DCF] Fair Price = 22.83 (EV 15.5b - Net Debt -10.7b = Equity 26.2b / Shares 1.15b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -98.84 | EPS CAGR: -24.06% | SUE: 1.01 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 32.00 | Revenue CAGR: 25.90% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.38 | Chg30d=+0.69% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=12
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.38 | Chg30d=-1.26% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=+0.95% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+4.6% | GrowthRev=+152.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.51 | Chg30d=+0.89% | Revisions=+45% | GrowthEPS=-3.6% | GrowthRev=+21.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +45%