(AIOT) PowerFleet - Ratings and Ratios
AIoT Platform, SaaS Modules, Fleet Management, Asset Tracking, Data Analytics
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 68.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 94.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.57% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -49.35 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.52 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.444 |
| Beta | 2.286 |
| Beta Downside | 2.438 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 55.35% |
| Mean DD | 21.96% |
| Median DD | 17.12% |
Description: AIOT PowerFleet October 23, 2025
PowerFleet, Inc. (NASDAQ: AIOT) delivers AI-enabled Internet-of-Things (AIoT) platforms and SaaS modules that connect vehicles, video, and warehouse assets to enterprise systems, generating real-time insights for safety, utilization, fuel management, and regulatory compliance across a broad set of commercial and government customers.
Beyond its core Unity platform, the firm offers open APIs, hosting, maintenance, and consulting services under the Powerfleet, Pointer, Cellocator, MiX, and Fleet Complete brands, targeting verticals such as construction, logistics, utilities, oil & gas, and cold-chain transportation.
According to the latest earnings release (Q3 2024), PowerFleet reported a 30% year-over-year increase in annual recurring revenue (ARR) to $112 million, with gross margins hovering around 71% and a cash runway of roughly 12 months-metrics that suggest a scalable SaaS model but also highlight the need for continued cash generation.
The AIoT market is expanding at a compound annual growth rate of roughly 15% through 2029, driven by rising ESG mandates that push firms to lower emissions, the rollout of 5G networks that reduce latency for edge analytics, and tightening safety regulations in transportation and heavy equipment sectors.
Investors should monitor the adoption rate of PowerFleet’s subscription modules in the high-growth logistics segment (which currently accounts for ~45% of revenue) and watch for any slowdown in capital-expenditure cycles that could affect new device deployments.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation, you may want to explore the detailed metrics and scenario analysis available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-43.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 23.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.92% (prev 36.98%; Δ -34.07pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 17.7m > Net Income -43.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (260.3m) to EBITDA (51.9m) ratio: 5.01 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.07 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (133.7m) change vs 12m ago 24.77% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 54.30% (prev 50.53%; Δ 3.76pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 46.70% (prev 29.34%; Δ 17.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.28 (EBITDA TTM 51.9m / Interest Expense TTM 24.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.07
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 167.8m - Total Current Liabilities 156.3m) / Total Assets 936.9m |
| (B) -0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -220.3m / Total Assets 936.9m |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 6.87m / Avg Total Assets 842.6m |
| (D) -0.42 = Book Value of Equity -195.5m / Total Liabilities 467.9m |
| Total Rating: -1.07 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 35.85
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.64% |
| 3. FCF Margin -4.02% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.61 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.01 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.01)% |
| 7. RoE -9.43% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 81.74% |
| 9. EPS Trend -23.90% |
What is the price of AIOT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.38%, over one month by +3.73%, over three months by +0.57% and over the past year by -22.24%.
Is AIOT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AIOT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.7 | 102.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.7 | 102.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5 | -5.5% |
AIOT Fundamental Data Overview December 09, 2025
P/E Forward = 20.202
P/S = 1.6529
P/B = 1.5014
P/EG = 0.7606
Beta = 1.35
Revenue TTM = 393.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 6.87m USD
EBITDA TTM = 51.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 231.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 48.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 288.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 260.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 964.3m USD (703.9m + Debt 288.2m - CCE 27.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.28 (Ebit TTM 6.87m / Interest Expense TTM 24.6m)
FCF Yield = -1.64% (FCF TTM -15.8m / Enterprise Value 964.3m)
FCF Margin = -4.02% (FCF TTM -15.8m / Revenue TTM 393.5m)
Net Margin = -10.93% (Net Income TTM -43.0m / Revenue TTM 393.5m)
Gross Margin = 54.30% ((Revenue TTM 393.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 179.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.84% (prev 55.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 964.3m / Total Assets 936.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.42% (Interest Expense 6.98m / Debt 288.2m)
Taxrate = 2.39% (-304.0k / -12.7m)
NOPAT = 6.70m (EBIT 6.87m * (1 - 2.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.07 (Total Current Assets 167.8m / Total Current Liabilities 156.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.61 (Debt 288.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 468.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.01 (Net Debt 260.3m / EBITDA 51.9m)
Debt / FCF = -16.47 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 260.3m / FCF TTM -15.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 456.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.59% (Net Income -43.0m / Total Assets 936.9m)
RoE = -9.43% (Net Income TTM -43.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 456.2m)
RoCE = 1.00% (EBIT 6.87m / Capital Employed (Equity 456.2m + L.T.Debt 231.9m))
RoIC = 0.92% (NOPAT 6.70m / Invested Capital 730.5m)
WACC = 10.93% (E(703.9m)/V(992.1m) * Re(14.44%) + D(288.2m)/V(992.1m) * Rd(2.42%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 14.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 89.49%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -15.8m)
EPS Correlation: -23.90 | EPS CAGR: 1.43% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 81.74 | Revenue CAGR: 34.17% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-0.190 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+175.0% | Growth Revenue=+21.3%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=-0.068 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+188.6% | Growth Revenue=+9.3%
Additional Sources for AIOT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle