AIRO Stock Analysis: AIRO Holdings, Common Stock | NASDAQ
Aerospace & Defense | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 239m USD | 12M Return: -69.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.50M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 92.8%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 1 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-headquartered advanced aerospace and defense company that operates across the United States, Europe, and other international markets through four business segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. The Drones segment designs and manufactures unmanned aircraft, while the Avionics segment supplies flight displays, connected panels, and GPS/GNSS sensors for military and general aviation aircraft, drones, and eVTOL platforms. The Training segment delivers military pilot training services, including adversary air, close air support, ISR, JTAC support, and related consulting, and the Electric Air Mobility segment is developing a rotorcraft eVTOL for cargo use under the Jaunt brand. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia, and trades on NASDAQ under the ticker AIRO following its June 2025 IPO.
The companys Training segment operates in a specialized niche of the defense services market, where contractors provide red air adversary training that allows military pilots to practice against simulated opposing forces rather than using friendly squadron aircraft. Its Electric Air Mobility segment participates in the emerging advanced air mobility (AAM) sector, which focuses on electric-powered vertical takeoff and landing aircraft as a potential alternative to conventional rotorcraft for short-range cargo and passenger missions.
- Drones segment revenue accelerates on rising defense demand
- Military pilot training backlog expands amid pilot shortage
- Jaunt eVTOL cargo program targets FAA certification milestones
| Net Income: -17.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.89 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 70.98% < 20% (prev -69.72%; Δ 140.7% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.05 > 3% & CFO -40.1m > Net Income -17.6m |
| Net Debt (-47.3m) to EBITDA (8.74m): -5.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.94 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.4m) vs 12m ago 19.95% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 59.68% > 18% (prev 63.63%; Δ -3.95% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 12.08% > 50% (prev 12.18%; Δ -0.10% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.38 > 6 (EBIT TTM -3.75m / Interest Expense TTM 9.80m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 94.6m - Total Current Liabilities 32.1m) / Total Assets 759.1m |
| B: -0.30 (Retained Earnings -226.0m / Total Assets 759.1m) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -3.75m / Avg Total Assets 728.4m) |
| D: 19.67 (Book Value of Equity 722.4m / Total Liabilities 36.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 20.19 = AAA |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 8.61m/1.69m, Revenue 88.0m/85.0m) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 63.63% / 59.68%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.86 / AQ_t-1 0.94) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 88.0m / 85.0m) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI -17.6m - CFO -40.1m) / TA 759.1m) |
| Beneish M = -1.34 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.61 with a total of 373,641 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.59%, over one month by -23.41%, over three months by -18.19% and over the past year by -69.23%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.80 (which is 12.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
AIRO Holdings, Common Stock has no consensus analysts rating.
P/S = 2.7154
P/B = 0.333
Revenue TTM = 88.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -3.75m USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.74m USD
Long Term Debt = 500k USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.63m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.96m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.11m
Net Debt = -47.3m USD (calculated: Debt 6.96m - CCE 54.2m)
Enterprise Value = 191.7m USD (239.0m + Debt 6.96m - CCE 54.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.38 (Ebit TTM -3.75m / Interest Expense TTM 9.80m)
EV/FCF = -4.27x (Enterprise Value 191.7m / FCF TTM -44.9m)
FCF Yield = -23.41% (FCF TTM -44.9m / Enterprise Value 191.7m)
FCF Margin = -51.00% (FCF TTM -44.9m / Revenue TTM 88.0m)
Net Margin = -19.98% (Net Income TTM -17.6m / Revenue TTM 88.0m)
Gross Margin = 59.68% ((Revenue TTM 88.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 35.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.57% (prev 66.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.25 (Enterprise Value 191.7m / Total Assets 759.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 140.8% (Interest Expense 9.80m / Debt 6.96m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.97m (EBIT -3.75m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.94 (Total Current Assets 94.6m / Total Current Liabilities 32.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 6.96m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 722.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.41 (Net Debt -47.3m / EBITDA 8.74m)
Debt / FCF = 1.05 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -47.3m / FCF TTM -44.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 720.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.41% (Net Income -17.6m / Total Assets 759.1m)
RoE = -2.44% (Net Income TTM -17.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 720.2m)
RoCE = -0.52% (EBIT -3.75m / Capital Employed (Equity 720.2m + L.T.Debt 500k))
RoIC = -0.41% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.97m / Invested Capital 724.2m)
WACC = 17.28% (E(239.0m)/V(245.9m) * Re(17.78%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 17.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 43.53 | Cagr: 8.42%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -44.9m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.51 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.76 | Revenue CAGR: 79.88% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.13 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.22 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.63 | Chg30d=-22.33% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+65.4% | GrowthRev=+28.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=-15.15% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+69.8% | GrowthRev=+51.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -29% (up=1, down=3)