(ALAR) Alarum Technologies - Ratings and Ratios
Proxy Network, Data Collection, Web Unblocker, AI Collector
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 82.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 106% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -21.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.03 |
| Alpha | -53.02 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.524 |
| Beta | 1.639 |
| Beta Downside | 1.385 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 87.60% |
| Mean DD | 43.67% |
| Median DD | 39.46% |
Description: ALAR Alarum Technologies November 15, 2025
Alarum Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: ALAR) is a Tel-Aviv-based provider of web-data collection infrastructure, offering static and rotating residential proxies, data-center proxies, mobile proxies, SERP and social-media scraping services, as well as website-unblocking and AI-data-collector tools. Its platform is sold directly and through resellers, application publishers, and ISPs, serving advertisers, media firms, financial institutions, cyber-security outfits, industrial enterprises, online businesses, educational entities, and AI-recruitment markets. The company, originally Safe-T Group Ltd., rebranded to Alarum in January 2023 and has operated since 2013.
In the rapidly expanding web-scraping market-projected to grow at a CAGR of roughly 23 % through 2028-Alarum’s recurring revenue model is anchored by an estimated ARR of $7 million (FY 2023) with a YoY revenue increase of ~38 %, reflecting strong demand for high-quality residential IPs for AI model training and compliance-driven data sourcing. Gross margins have hovered around 55 %, consistent with peers that leverage scalable proxy-network infrastructure, while churn rates remain below 8 % thanks to multi-industry client diversification. Key economic drivers include rising AI-related data consumption, tighter data-privacy regulations that push firms toward compliant proxy solutions, and the broader digital-advertising spend rebound post-pandemic.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Alarum’s valuation dynamics-including forward-looking cash-flow projections and peer-relative multiples-exploring the detailed analyst toolkit on ValueRay can provide the granular insight needed to form a disciplined investment thesis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (1.19m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.18m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.20 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 38.52% (prev 60.21%; Δ -21.69pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO 8.89m > Net Income 1.19m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-11.3m) to EBITDA (1.47m) ratio: -7.68 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (8.54m) change vs 12m ago 24.93% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 62.85% (prev 75.73%; Δ -12.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 94.71% (prev 95.34%; Δ -0.63pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.40 (EBITDA TTM 1.47m / Interest Expense TTM 393.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -11.97
| (A) 0.32 = (Total Current Assets 24.1m - Total Current Liabilities 10.2m) / Total Assets 43.4m |
| (B) -2.21 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -95.8m / Total Assets 43.4m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.21 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 943.6k / Avg Total Assets 38.4m |
| (D) -6.72 = Book Value of Equity -83.0m / Total Liabilities 12.3m |
| Total Rating: -11.97 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.14
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 19.45% |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.20% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.10 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -7.68 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.76)% |
| 7. RoE 4.17% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.05% |
| 9. EPS Trend 76.76% |
What is the price of ALAR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.38%, over one month by -14.39%, over three months by -47.17% and over the past year by -32.91%.
Is ALAR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALAR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 23.5 | 199.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 23.5 | 199.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8 | 1.3% |
ALAR Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 37.8
P/E Forward = 29.0698
P/S = 1.5559
P/B = 1.7436
Beta = 0.672
Revenue TTM = 36.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 943.6k USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.47m USD
Long Term Debt = 32.0k USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 878.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.07m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -11.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 45.2m USD (56.5m + Debt 3.07m - CCE 14.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.40 (Ebit TTM 943.6k / Interest Expense TTM 393.0k)
FCF Yield = 19.45% (FCF TTM 8.79m / Enterprise Value 45.2m)
FCF Margin = 24.20% (FCF TTM 8.79m / Revenue TTM 36.3m)
Net Margin = 3.28% (Net Income TTM 1.19m / Revenue TTM 36.3m)
Gross Margin = 62.85% ((Revenue TTM 36.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.59% (prev 61.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 45.2m / Total Assets 43.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.79% (Interest Expense 393.0k / Debt 3.07m)
Taxrate = 73.63% (148.0k / 201.0k)
NOPAT = 248.8k (EBIT 943.6k * (1 - 73.63%))
Current Ratio = 2.38 (Total Current Assets 24.1m / Total Current Liabilities 10.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.10 (Debt 3.07m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 31.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -7.68 (Net Debt -11.3m / EBITDA 1.47m)
Debt / FCF = -1.28 (Net Debt -11.3m / FCF TTM 8.79m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.74% (Net Income 1.19m / Total Assets 43.4m)
RoE = 4.17% (Net Income TTM 1.19m / Total Stockholder Equity 28.5m)
RoCE = 3.30% (EBIT 943.6k / Capital Employed (Equity 28.5m + L.T.Debt 32.0k))
RoIC = 0.85% (NOPAT 248.8k / Invested Capital 29.2m)
WACC = 11.61% (E(56.5m)/V(59.6m) * Re(12.06%) + D(3.07m)/V(59.6m) * Rd(12.79%) * (1-Tc(0.74)))
Discount Rate = 12.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 19.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.49% ; FCFE base≈7.14m ; Y1≈8.81m ; Y5≈15.0m
Fair Price DCF = 19.41 (DCF Value 139.2m / Shares Outstanding 7.17m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 76.76 | EPS CAGR: 31.93% | SUE: -1.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.05 | Revenue CAGR: 38.94% | SUE: 1.60 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+83.3% | Growth Revenue=+30.1%
Additional Sources for ALAR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle