(ALGN) Align Technology - Ratings and Ratios
Clear Aligners, Intraoral Scanners, CAD/CAM Software, Whitening System
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 61.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.29% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.41 |
| Alpha | -45.02 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.454 |
| Beta | 1.249 |
| Beta Downside | 0.706 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.59% |
| Mean DD | 36.71% |
| Median DD | 39.27% |
Description: ALGN Align Technology January 02, 2026
Align Technology (NASDAQ: ALGN) operates two core segments: the Clear Aligner segment, which markets the Invisalign family of clear aligners, Vivera retainers, and related orthodontic accessories for patients ranging from children to adults; and the Imaging Systems & CAD/CAM Services segment, which sells iTero intra-oral scanners, exocad design software, and a suite of digital workflow tools for restorative and orthodontic practices.
In its most recent fiscal year (2023), Align reported revenue of roughly $5.1 billion, a year-over-year increase of about 20 %, and an adjusted operating margin near 22 %. The company shipped roughly 12 million Invisalign aligners and over 1.2 million iTero scanners, reflecting continued market penetration and strong repeat-purchase rates among dental professionals.
Key growth drivers include the expanding global demand for cosmetic orthodontics (the market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~7 % through 2028), accelerating adoption of digital dentistry platforms that improve treatment efficiency, and macro-level trends such as higher discretionary spending in developed economies and an aging population seeking aesthetic dental solutions.
For a deeper, data-driven look at ALGN’s valuation and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform provides a concise, research-ready overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income: 378.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.25% < 20% (prev 13.48%; Δ 0.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 656.1m > Net Income 378.4m |
| Net Debt (-883.3m) to EBITDA (745.3m): -1.19 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (72.4m) vs 12m ago -3.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 68.41% > 18% (prev 0.70%; Δ 6771 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.22% > 50% (prev 62.21%; Δ 1.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 365.5 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 745.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.56m) |
Altman Z'' 3.62
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 2.53b - Total Current Liabilities 1.97b) / Total Assets 6.23b |
| B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 2.42b / Total Assets 6.23b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 571.7m / Avg Total Assets 6.30b) |
| D: 1.09 (Book Value of Equity 2.48b / Total Liabilities 2.28b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.62 = AA |
Beneish M -3.04
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 1.14b/1.16b, Revenue 3.98b/3.96b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 68.41% / 69.98%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 3.98b / 3.96b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 378.4m - CFO 656.1m) / TA 6.23b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.04 = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.65
| 1. Piotroski: 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 4.91% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 14.23% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.03 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: -1.19 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: -1.60% |
| 7. RoE: 9.75% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 35.36% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -16.57% |
What is the price of ALGN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.61%, over one month by +7.64%, over three months by +24.07% and over the past year by -28.17%.
Is ALGN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALGN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 180.5 | 7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 180.5 | 7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 162.2 | -3.9% |
ALGN Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 16.0
P/S = 3.1212
P/B = 3.1092
P/EG = 1.0252
Revenue TTM = 3.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 571.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 745.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 121.3m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 34.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 121.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -883.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.55b USD (12.43b + Debt 121.3m - CCE 1.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 365.5 (Ebit TTM 571.7m / Interest Expense TTM 1.56m)
EV/FCF = 20.38x (Enterprise Value 11.55b / FCF TTM 566.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.91% (FCF TTM 566.6m / Enterprise Value 11.55b)
FCF Margin = 14.23% (FCF TTM 566.6m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Net Margin = 9.50% (Net Income TTM 378.4m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Gross Margin = 68.41% ((Revenue TTM 3.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.20% (prev 69.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.85 (Enterprise Value 11.55b / Total Assets 6.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 1.56m / Debt 121.3m)
Taxrate = 40.09% (38.0m / 94.7m)
NOPAT = 342.5m (EBIT 571.7m * (1 - 40.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 2.53b / Total Current Liabilities 1.97b)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 121.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.19 (Net Debt -883.3m / EBITDA 745.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.56 (Net Debt -883.3m / FCF TTM 566.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.01% (Net Income 378.4m / Total Assets 6.23b)
RoE = 9.75% (Net Income TTM 378.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.88b)
RoCE = 14.29% (EBIT 571.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.88b + L.T.Debt 121.3m))
RoIC = 8.83% (NOPAT 342.5m / Invested Capital 3.88b)
WACC = 10.43% (E(12.43b)/V(12.55b) * Re(10.52%) + D(121.3m)/V(12.55b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 10.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.05% ; FCFF base≈489.2m ; Y1≈558.3m ; Y5≈769.9m
Fair Price DCF = 136.3 (EV 8.90b - Net Debt -883.3m = Equity 9.78b / Shares 71.7m; r=10.43% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 16.51% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -16.57 | EPS CAGR: -47.18% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 35.36 | Revenue CAGR: -0.93% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.43 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.00 | Chg30d=+0.043 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+7.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
Additional Sources for ALGN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle