(ALGN) Align Technology - Ratings and Ratios
Clear Aligners, Intraoral Scanners, CAD/CAM Software, Whitening System
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.31% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.19 |
| Alpha | -43.61 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.411 |
| Beta | 1.246 |
| Beta Downside | 0.702 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.59% |
| Mean DD | 36.04% |
| Median DD | 38.93% |
Description: ALGN Align Technology January 02, 2026
Align Technology (NASDAQ: ALGN) operates two core segments: the Clear Aligner segment, which markets the Invisalign family of clear aligners, Vivera retainers, and related orthodontic accessories for patients ranging from children to adults; and the Imaging Systems & CAD/CAM Services segment, which sells iTero intra-oral scanners, exocad design software, and a suite of digital workflow tools for restorative and orthodontic practices.
In its most recent fiscal year (2023), Align reported revenue of roughly $5.1 billion, a year-over-year increase of about 20 %, and an adjusted operating margin near 22 %. The company shipped roughly 12 million Invisalign aligners and over 1.2 million iTero scanners, reflecting continued market penetration and strong repeat-purchase rates among dental professionals.
Key growth drivers include the expanding global demand for cosmetic orthodontics (the market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~7 % through 2028), accelerating adoption of digital dentistry platforms that improve treatment efficiency, and macro-level trends such as higher discretionary spending in developed economies and an aging population seeking aesthetic dental solutions.
For a deeper, data-driven look at ALGN’s valuation and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform provides a concise, research-ready overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (378.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 239.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.23pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.25% (prev 13.48%; Δ 0.78pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 656.1m > Net Income 378.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-883.3m) to EBITDA (745.3m) ratio: -1.19 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.29 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (72.4m) change vs 12m ago -3.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 68.41% (prev 69.98%; Δ -1.58pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 63.22% (prev 62.21%; Δ 1.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 365.5 (EBITDA TTM 745.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.56m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.62
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 2.53b - Total Current Liabilities 1.97b) / Total Assets 6.23b |
| (B) 0.39 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.42b / Total Assets 6.23b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 571.7m / Avg Total Assets 6.30b |
| (D) 1.09 = Book Value of Equity 2.48b / Total Liabilities 2.28b |
| Total Rating: 3.62 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.94
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.43% |
| 3. FCF Margin 14.23% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.03 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.19 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.58)% |
| 7. RoE 9.75% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 35.36% |
| 9. EPS Trend -16.57% |
What is the price of ALGN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.74%, over one month by +8.67%, over three months by +31.03% and over the past year by -18.54%.
Is ALGN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALGN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 179.8 | 4.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 179.8 | 4.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 173.5 | 0.4% |
ALGN Fundamental Data Overview January 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.556
P/S = 2.8398
P/B = 2.8311
P/EG = 0.9335
Beta = 1.859
Revenue TTM = 3.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 571.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 745.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 121.3m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 34.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 121.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -883.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.43b USD (11.31b + Debt 121.3m - CCE 1.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 365.5 (Ebit TTM 571.7m / Interest Expense TTM 1.56m)
FCF Yield = 5.43% (FCF TTM 566.6m / Enterprise Value 10.43b)
FCF Margin = 14.23% (FCF TTM 566.6m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Net Margin = 9.50% (Net Income TTM 378.4m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Gross Margin = 68.41% ((Revenue TTM 3.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.20% (prev 69.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.67 (Enterprise Value 10.43b / Total Assets 6.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 1.56m / Debt 121.3m)
Taxrate = 40.09% (38.0m / 94.7m)
NOPAT = 342.5m (EBIT 571.7m * (1 - 40.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 2.53b / Total Current Liabilities 1.97b)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 121.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.19 (Net Debt -883.3m / EBITDA 745.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.56 (Net Debt -883.3m / FCF TTM 566.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.01% (Net Income 378.4m / Total Assets 6.23b)
RoE = 9.75% (Net Income TTM 378.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.88b)
RoCE = 14.29% (EBIT 571.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.88b + L.T.Debt 121.3m))
RoIC = 8.83% (NOPAT 342.5m / Invested Capital 3.88b)
WACC = 10.41% (E(11.31b)/V(11.43b) * Re(10.51%) + D(121.3m)/V(11.43b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 10.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.11% ; FCFF base≈489.2m ; Y1≈558.3m ; Y5≈769.9m
Fair Price DCF = 136.7 (EV 8.92b - Net Debt -883.3m = Equity 9.80b / Shares 71.7m; r=10.41% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 16.51% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -16.57 | EPS CAGR: -47.18% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 35.36 | Revenue CAGR: -0.93% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.42 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.95 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+7.5% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%
Additional Sources for ALGN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle