(ALGN) Align Technology - Ratings and Ratios
Clear Aligners, Retainers, Intraoral Scanners, CAD/CAM Software
ALGN EPS (Earnings per Share)
ALGN Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.3% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.57 |
| Alpha | -59.39 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.228 |
| Beta | 1.704 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.59% |
| Mean DD | 33.15% |
Description: ALGN Align Technology October 30, 2025
Align Technology (NASDAQ:ALGN) designs, manufactures, and markets the Invisalign clear-aligner system, Vivera retainers, and iTero intra-oral scanners, serving dental professionals in the United States, Switzerland, and other international markets.
The Clear Aligner segment bundles Invisalign treatments for adults, teens, and younger children (ages 6-10) through products such as Invisalign First, Invisalign Express, Lite, Moderate, and the Go line, plus ancillary tools like whitening kits, palatal expanders, and 3-D-printed orthodontic devices.
The Imaging Systems & CAD/CAM Services segment centers on the iTero scanner platform, paired with exocad design software, digital record-keeping tools, outcome simulators, and subscription-based services (e.g., pay-per-scan, scanner rentals) that support both orthodontic and restorative workflows.
Key metrics: FY 2024 revenue reached $4.9 billion, up ~13 % YoY, driven by a ~22 % increase in Invisalign case volume and a ~15 % rise in iTero scanner subscriptions. The global clear-aligner market is projected to grow at a 10-12 % CAGR through 2029, fueled by rising consumer preference for aesthetic, low-pain orthodontics and expanding dental insurance coverage for digital treatments.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of ALGN’s valuation multiples and scenario analyses.
ALGN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 10,034m |
| Sub-Industry | Health Care Supplies |
| IPO / Inception | 2001-01-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -44.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
ALGN Dividends
Currently no dividends paidALGN Growth Ratios
| CAGR | -12.23% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.18 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.37 |
| Current Volume | 1427.8k |
| Average Volume | 1075.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (378.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 239.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.30pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.25% (prev 13.48%; Δ 0.78pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 656.1m > Net Income 378.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-917.3m) to EBITDA (689.6m) ratio: -1.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.29 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (72.4m) change vs 12m ago -3.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 68.41% (prev 69.98%; Δ -1.58pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 63.22% (prev 62.21%; Δ 1.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 304.0 (EBITDA TTM 689.6m / Interest Expense TTM 1.56m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.55
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 2.53b - Total Current Liabilities 1.97b) / Total Assets 6.23b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.48b / Total Assets 6.23b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 475.4m / Avg Total Assets 6.30b |
| (D) 1.09 = Book Value of Equity 2.49b / Total Liabilities 2.28b |
| Total Rating: 3.55 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.03
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.94% = 3.47 |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.90% = 3.97 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.02 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.33 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.80)% = -6.00 |
| 7. RoE 9.75% = 0.81 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.93% = 4.87 |
| 9. EPS Trend 78.12% = 3.91 |
What is the price of ALGN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.50%, over one month by +11.54%, over three months by +7.17% and over the past year by -35.85%.
Is Align Technology a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ALGN is around 107.88 USD . This means that ALGN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -25.34%.
Is ALGN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALGN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 179.1 | 23.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 179.1 | 23.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 124.3 | -14% |
ALGN Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
P/E Trailing = 26.8275
P/E Forward = 11.976
P/S = 2.5308
P/B = 2.3842
P/EG = 0.7631
Beta = 1.704
Revenue TTM = 3.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 475.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 689.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 119.3m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 62.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 87.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -917.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.12b USD (10.03b + Debt 87.3m - CCE 1.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 304.0 (Ebit TTM 475.4m / Interest Expense TTM 1.56m)
FCF Yield = 6.94% (FCF TTM 633.2m / Enterprise Value 9.12b)
FCF Margin = 15.90% (FCF TTM 633.2m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Net Margin = 9.50% (Net Income TTM 378.4m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Gross Margin = 68.41% ((Revenue TTM 3.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.20% (prev 69.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.46 (Enterprise Value 9.12b / Total Assets 6.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.79% (Interest Expense 1.56m / Debt 87.3m)
Taxrate = 40.09% (38.0m / 94.7m)
NOPAT = 284.8m (EBIT 475.4m * (1 - 40.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 2.53b / Total Current Liabilities 1.97b)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 87.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (Net Debt -917.3m / EBITDA 689.6m)
Debt / FCF = -1.45 (Net Debt -917.3m / FCF TTM 633.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.07% (Net Income 378.4m / Total Assets 6.23b)
RoE = 9.75% (Net Income TTM 378.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.88b)
RoCE = 11.89% (EBIT 475.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.88b + L.T.Debt 119.3m))
RoIC = 7.39% (NOPAT 284.8m / Invested Capital 3.85b)
WACC = 12.19% (E(10.03b)/V(10.12b) * Re(12.29%) + D(87.3m)/V(10.12b) * Rd(1.79%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 12.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.92% ; FCFE base≈529.1m ; Y1≈603.9m ; Y5≈834.8m
Fair Price DCF = 106.9 (DCF Value 7.75b / Shares Outstanding 72.5m; 5y FCF grow 16.51% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 78.12 | EPS CAGR: 16.13% | SUE: 1.67 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 64.93 | Revenue CAGR: 3.68% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ALGN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle