ALGT Stock Analysis: Allegiant Travel | NASDAQ
Airlines | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.831m USD | 12M Return: 4.5% | US01748X1028 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 32.1M
EPS Trend: -3.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 77.4%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ: ALGT) is a U.S.-based leisure travel company founded in 1997 and headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada. It operates a point-to-point business model focused on nonstop flights between under-served cities and leisure destinations, using a fleet of 106 Airbus A320 series and 16 Boeing 737 series aircraft as of February 1, 2026.
In addition to scheduled air service, Allegiant generates revenue through ancillary fees such as baggage, seat assignments, priority boarding, and on-board purchases, as well as third-party travel products including hotel rooms, rental cars, and travel insurance. The company also offers charter services and operates a golf course, reflecting its diversified leisure-focused offerings beyond core air transportation.
As a mid-cap passenger airline listed in the GICS Industrials sector, Allegiants model aligns with the ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) approach, which relies heavily on ancillary revenue streams and a lean, single-class fleet to maintain low operating costs and serve leisure travelers in smaller markets.
- Jet fuel price volatility pressures operating margins
- Ancillary fee revenue growth drives unit profitability
- Sunseeker resort development weighs on capital allocation
| Net Income: 26.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -9.48% < 20% (prev 4.39%; Δ -13.86% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 420.3m > Net Income 26.0m |
| Net Debt (1.87b) to EBITDA (406.2m): 4.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.9m) vs 12m ago 26.99% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.10% > 18% (prev 27.73%; Δ 16.37% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 53.43% > 50% (prev 58.74%; Δ -5.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.17 > 6 (EBIT TTM 160.2m / Interest Expense TTM 136.4m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.36b - Total Current Liabilities 1.63b) / Total Assets 6.44b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 996.2m / Total Assets 6.44b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 160.2m / Avg Total Assets 5.42b) |
| D: 0.38 (Book Value of Equity 1.78b / Total Liabilities 4.67b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.82 = B |
| DSRI: 1.28 (Receivables 107.3m/74.9m, Revenue 2.89b/2.58b) |
| GMI: 0.63 (GM 27.73% / 44.10%) |
| AQI: 2.45 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 2.89b / 2.58b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 26.0m - CFO 420.3m) / TA 6.44b) |
| Beneish M = -2.20 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
As of October 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 67.67 with a total of 365,891 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.03%, over one month by -12.41%, over three months by -28.38% and over the past year by +4.45%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 62.40 (which is 7.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Allegiant Travel has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.43. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ALGT.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 117.4 | 73.5% |
P/E Trailing = 57.2479
P/E Forward = 6.4392
P/S = 0.6327
P/B = 1.1888
P/EG = 0.8493
Revenue TTM = 2.89b USD
EBIT TTM = 160.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 406.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 333.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.92b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 72.7m
Net Debt = 1.87b USD (calculated: Debt 2.92b - CCE 1.05b)
Enterprise Value = 3.70b USD (1.83b + Debt 2.92b - CCE 1.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.17 (Ebit TTM 160.2m / Interest Expense TTM 136.4m)
EV/FCF = 31.73x (Enterprise Value 3.70b / FCF TTM 116.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.15% (FCF TTM 116.7m / Enterprise Value 3.70b)
FCF Margin = 4.03% (FCF TTM 116.7m / Revenue TTM 2.89b)
Net Margin = 0.90% (Net Income TTM 26.0m / Revenue TTM 2.89b)
Gross Margin = 44.10% ((Revenue TTM 2.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.43% (prev 65.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 3.70b / Total Assets 6.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.66% (Interest Expense 136.4m / Debt 2.92b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 126.6m (EBIT 160.2m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 1.36b / Total Current Liabilities 1.63b)
Debt / Equity = 1.65 (Debt 2.92b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.78b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.61 (Net Debt 1.87b / EBITDA 406.2m)
Debt / FCF = 16.04 (Net Debt 1.87b / FCF TTM 116.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.48% (Net Income 26.0m / Total Assets 6.44b)
RoE = 2.10% (Net Income TTM 26.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.24b)
RoCE = 5.49% (EBIT 160.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.24b + L.T.Debt 1.68b))
RoIC = 2.53% (NOPAT 126.6m / Invested Capital 5.00b)
WACC = 7.19% (E(1.83b)/V(4.76b) * Re(12.78%) + D(2.92b)/V(4.76b) * Rd(4.66%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 12.54%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 60.10 | Cagr: 12.13%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.92% ; FCFF base≈110.7m ; Y1≈126.6m ; Y5≈185.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 33.42 (EV 2.79b - Net Debt 1.87b = Equity 913.7m / Shares 27.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 14.67% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -3.65 | EPS CAGR: -3.25% | SUE: 2.02 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 77.38 | Revenue CAGR: 3.61% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.50 | Chg30d=+17.76% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.50 | Chg30d=-10.65% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+44.9% | GrowthRev=+42.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.85 | Chg30d=-12.05% | Revisions=-81% | GrowthEPS=+78.9% | GrowthRev=+22.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -58% (up=6, down=27)